
Contents
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International Relations: Recent Thinking about Space Security International Relations: Recent Thinking about Space Security
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Cold War History and Space Stability: A Brief Overview Cold War History and Space Stability: A Brief Overview
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Changes in Post–Cold War Space Security Changes in Post–Cold War Space Security
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Factors to Watch in Future Space Security Factors to Watch in Future Space Security
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Conclusion: Charting Future Space Security Conclusion: Charting Future Space Security
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References References
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43 The Future of Space Security: Assessing the Prospects for Peaceful Outcomes
Get accessJames Clay Moltz is a Professor in the Department of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School and former Dean of the Graduate School of International and Defense Studies.
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Published:22 February 2024
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Abstract
This chapter examines the future prospects for peaceful outcomes in space by surveying the history of international cooperation, current political dynamics, and emerging technological challenges. It begins by reviewing the international relations literature on space, identifying five main schools of thought on the sources of space stability and instability. It then briefly summarizes the conditions that supported stability and conflict avoidance in space during the Cold War. The chapter next analyzes the set of political, technical, and geostrategic factors that are creating new concerns about possible twenty-first-century space conflict. Finally, it highlights a series of markers to follow in tracking the prospects for peaceful outcomes in space in the future, based on international success or failure in dealing with orbital debris, space weapons, and the rise of new actors, including particularly the growing commercial sector. The chapter’s conclusion summarizes a set of possible recommendations for preventing conflict and promoting more institutionalized forms of space security.
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