
Contents
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How Space Became Both a Force Multiplier and an Achilles Heel How Space Became Both a Force Multiplier and an Achilles Heel
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Space Support to Nuclear Missions Space Support to Nuclear Missions
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Growing Support to Conventional Military Operations Growing Support to Conventional Military Operations
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Space Support and Western Conventional Military Dominance Space Support and Western Conventional Military Dominance
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Space: A Force Multiplier and an Achilles Heel Space: A Force Multiplier and an Achilles Heel
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Deterrence in Theory and in Space Deterrence in Theory and in Space
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The Fundamentals of Deterrence The Fundamentals of Deterrence
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Punishment-Based Deterrence in Space Punishment-Based Deterrence in Space
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Denial-Based Deterrence in Space Denial-Based Deterrence in Space
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Mixed Strategies for Deterrence in Space. Mixed Strategies for Deterrence in Space.
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Emerging Trends Offer Hope for Bolstering Deterrence in Space Emerging Trends Offer Hope for Bolstering Deterrence in Space
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From Deterrence to Responsible Behavior in Space From Deterrence to Responsible Behavior in Space
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References References
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12 Deterring Attacks on Space Systems
Get accessForrest E. Morgan is a Senior Lecturer at Carnegie Mellon University, a former Space Operator for the US Air Force, and a former Senior Political Scientist at RAND Corporation.
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Published:22 February 2024
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Abstract
This chapter examines prospects for deterring attacks on national security space capabilities. Since the First Gulf War in 1991, the military forces of developed nations have become increasingly dependent on support from orbital assets. This is especially true of Western states, as they typically conduct expeditionary operations, making them highly reliant on space support. As a result, potential adversaries are developing counterspace capabilities in hopes of reducing the effectiveness of Western forces in war. Satellites are difficult to defend, so military and political leaders sometimes ask whether potential adversaries can be deterred from attacking friendly space systems. This chapter explores that question. Applying the fundamentals of punishment-based and denial-based deterrence, it finds that strategies to deter attack on national security space systems face several difficult challenges. However, emerging trends in technology and commercialization offer hope that mixed strategies will make deterrence in space more robust, promoting responsible behavior in that domain.
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