...’. The 2024 British general election appears to offer a clear-cut example, with voters removing the Conservatives after 14 years in government. However, FPTP ensures that the principal alternative to a Conservative government is a Labour government. This article argues that ‘throwing the rascals out’ works...

... of uncertainty charges the decision-making situation in disinformation attribution. Drawing on three contemporary empirical cases—interference in the US presidential election of 2016, the Bundestag election in Germany in 2021 and the EU response to the COVID-19 ‘infodemic’ which erupted in 2020, the article...

... more than just the electoral process. In this review article, we argue that Donald Trump's election just as urgently threatens substantive democratic guarantees—like the freedom to dissent, equal citizenship, and the rule of law—that make democratic procedures worth defending. In our view...

...). In 2021, Gibson was elected as an Honorary Foreign Associate of the Academy of Science of South Africa. © The Author(s) 2025. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Academy of Political Science. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact [email protected] for reprints...

... in the context of election projection for small areas. Adjusted maximum likelihood Election projection Model based imputation Parametric bootstrap Statement of Significance The paper focuses on granular-level estimation where statistical data integration is used to combine information from multiple databases...

...:https://dbpia.nl.go.kr/pages/standard-publication-reuse-rights ) Abstract Since 2012, voters in U.S. presidential elections have faced increasingly long wait times, depressing turnout, and undermining public confidence in the vote. While past studies have quantified differing levels of actual wait times, voters...

... on the article page on our site—for further information please contact [email protected]. Abstract Counting and certifying election results in the United States can take days and even weeks following election day. These delays are often linked to distrust in elections but does delay cause...

... With historic misses in the 2016 and 2020 US Presidential elections, interest in measuring polling errors has increased. The most common method for measuring directional errors and non-sampling excess variability during a postmortem for an election is by assessing the difference between the poll result...

... a closed political process. Political systems that are more open, where millions of voters choose their party’s candidates through primaries and leaders through free and fair elections, should more ideally spawn younger mavericks who can enter and win primaries and challenge the established leadership...

... via the Permissions link on the article page on our site—for further information please contact [email protected]. Abstract Political advertising on social media has become a central element in election campaigns. However, granular information about political advertising on social media...

...J Marshall Palmer; Alex Wilner Yet despite the amount of recent research and policy development on foreign election intervention (FEI), scholars and practitioners have not fully considered how this phenomenon fits within the framework of deterrence theory and practice. For example, Hollis...

... recent book (with Eugenia Nazrullaeva) is The Puzzle of Clientelism: Political Discretion and Elections Around the World (Cambridge University Press, 2023). © The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Academy of Political Science. All rights reserved...

... by the winner/loser effect in election outcomes. Also, SB 202 did boost Republicans’ confidence in Georgia's election system, which, in turn, increased their individual- and state-level voter confidence in the 2022 midterm. In contrast, Georgia Democrats overwhelmingly opposed SB 202; therefore, the bill did...

...Marta Corrêa Machado CONTACT Marta Corrêa Machado [email protected] Departamento de Artes, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC), Florianópolis, Santa Catarina, Brasil It is also important to mention that, from the 1994 election, comparative studies between elections began to emerge...

..., are illustrated in  figure 1 . Further information on the corpus is provided in online appendix A1 . Abstract After the Cold War, election monitoring activities increased significantly, and research on the topic has risen sharply in the last ten years. These are valuable contributions, but we believe one point...

... indicated increased concern about social and health care service access and enrollment among immigrant and mixed-status households, especially after Trump won the election. ^15–19 Following through on threats, after the inauguration, the Trump Administration dramatically increased anti-immigrant...

... registration systems deployed in Colorado, Ohio, and Wisconsin (three US states with different models of voter registration) and Panama (for an example outside the USA). Based on information from a range of public sources (such as a state’s election code), we compile a detailed description of each...

...Gary C Jacobson Gary C. Jacobson is Distinguished Professor of Political Science Emeritus at the University of California, San Diego. He specializes in the study of U.S. elections, parties, campaign finance, public opinion, and Congress. His most recent book is Presidents and Parties...

...Gary C Jacobson Gary C. Jacobson is Distinguished Professor of Political Science Emeritus at the University of California, San Diego. He specializes in the study of U.S. elections, parties, campaign finance, public opinion, and Congress. His most recent book is Presidents and Parties...

... be used to account for informative sampling of survey data through the use of a pseudo-likelihood. We illustrate the effectiveness of this methodology through simulation and data application involving American National Election Studies data. American National Election Studies Pólya-Gamma pseudo...