Abstract

Background and Aims

An increased risk of mortality and hospitalization has been consistently demonstrated in patients with CKD who are additionally affected by corona virus disease 19 (COVID-19). In this study, we tried to identify predictive factors of mortality and hospitalizations, especially the ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes (NLR), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), c-reactive protein (CRP), disease status of COVID-19, telomere length in peripheral blood cells (TL) and 2-year risk score.

Method

A total of 130 chronic hemodialysis patients, were enrolled in the present study and followed up for 18 months. Routine laboratory parameters including LDH, were determined by standard automated methods, redox status parameters SOD and O2. - Using spectrophotometric methods.TL was determined using the modified Cawthon method and was calculated as the T/S ratio. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to test survival predictors.

Results

Patients in deceased group (30%) were significantly older (p <0.001), with higher body mass index (BMI), (p < 0.01) than survived patients. Also, patients in the deceased group had higher levels of LDH, NLR index, CRP compared to survivors. Lower lymphocytes and shortened TL were characteristic of these patient groups, but the deceased group had the lowest lymphocytes (p < 0.005) and telomeres (p<0.002), and had the highest NLR (0.004). The difference in 2-years risk score also was significant (p < 0.001), with higher scores in the deceased group. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed six parameters were significant predictors in the following order of significance: COVID-19 status, 2-years risk score, NLR, TL, CRP, LDH. Using binary logistic regression analysis Summary risk score, a combination of these six parameters revealed as the best predictor of patients’ survival in this group of parameters (Log rank=25.4, P < 0.001).

Conclusion

Independent predictors of mortality in chronic haemodialysis patients are higher NLR, CRP, LDH, Lower lymphocytes and shortened TL, and COVID -19 made the situation even worse by significantly arising these patients’ mortality rate.

Kaplan-Meier overall survival analysis in hemodialysis patients during 18 months of follow-up for the COVID-19 status, LTL (after dialysis), LDH, CRP, NLR, 2 years risk score and Summary risk generated from 6 selected parameters – predictors of mortality.
Figure:

Kaplan-Meier overall survival analysis in hemodialysis patients during 18 months of follow-up for the COVID-19 status, LTL (after dialysis), LDH, CRP, NLR, 2 years risk score and Summary risk generated from 6 selected parameters – predictors of mortality.

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