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Maria A. J. de Ridder, Theo Stijnen, Anita C. S. Hokken-Koelega, Prediction Model for Adult Height of Small for Gestational Age Children at the Start of Growth Hormone Treatment, The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, Volume 93, Issue 2, 1 February 2008, Pages 477–483, https://doi.org/10.1210/jc.2007-1381
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Abstract
Context: GH treatment is approved for short children born small for gestational age (SGA). The optimal dose is not yet established.
Objective: Our objective was to develop a model for prediction of height at the onset of puberty and of adult height (AH).
Design and Setting: Two GH studies were performed in short SGA children.
Patients/Intervention: A total of 150 SGA children with height sd scores (SDS) less than −2, age 3 yr or older, no signs of catch-up growth, available height at the onset of puberty, and at least 1 yr of GH treatment before the onset of puberty were studied. In one study, patients were randomly assigned to either 0.033 or 0.067 mg/kg·d; in the other study all received 0.033 mg/kg·d. In 71 children, AH was reached.
Main Outcome Measures: Height SDS at the onset of puberty and AH SDS were calculated.
Results: Determinants positively related to height SDS at the onset of puberty were: height SDS at the start; target height SDS; and GH dose, whereas age at the start and female gender were negatively related. Positively related to AH SDS were: height SDS and chronological age − bone age at the start; target height SDS; and GH dose, whereas serum IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-3 SDS at the start was negatively related. There was a significant interaction between GH dose and IGFBP-3 SDS, indicating a smaller GH dose effect for higher levels of IGFBP-3. The final model explained 57% of the variance in height SDS at the onset of puberty and 41% of AH SDS.
Conclusions: The prediction model for height SDS at the onset of puberty and AH SDS of short SGA children treated with GH provides useful information about the expected long-term growth. Because GH dosage is one of the determinants, the model aids in determining the optimal GH dose for each child.