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Journal Article
What Drives Demand for State-Run Lotteries? Evidence and Welfare Implications
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Benjamin B Lockwood and others
The Review of Economic Studies, rdae086, https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdae086
Published: 21 August 2024
... in state-run lotteries and a new nationally representative survey to provide reduced-form and structural estimates of risk preferences and behavioural biases in lottery demand, and to explore the implications for optimal lottery design. We find that sales respond more to the expected value of the jackpot...
Journal Article
Single-Crossing Differences in Convex Environments
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Navin Kartik and others
The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 91, Issue 5, October 2024, Pages 2981–3012, https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdad103
Published: 26 October 2023
... ( a ) u ( a 1 , θ ) + λ 2 ( a ) u ( a 2 , θ ) + λ 3 ( a ) u ( a 3 , θ ) , In the context of expected utility, there are canonical (von Neumann–Morgenstern) functional forms that induce SCD over lotteries: in mechanism design and screening, u ( ( q , t...
Journal Article
Optimal allocation of vaccines in a pandemic
Joshua S Gans
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 38, Issue 4, Winter 2022, Pages 912–923, https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grac027
Published: 14 December 2022
...-term scarcity into account. vaccines shortage rationing lotteries epidemiology How should vaccines be allocated in a pandemic-driven shortage? While there were significant doubts expressed initially that vaccines would be available in a timely manner to assist in controlling the Covid-19 pandemic...
Journal Article
Beliefs and preferences for food-safety policies: a discrete choice model under uncertainty
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Simone Cerroni and others
European Review of Agricultural Economics, Volume 46, Issue 5, December 2019, Pages 769–799, https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jby038
Published: 14 November 2018
..., 2015 ). Part of this literature relies on hypothetical surveys (see Manski, 2004 for a review). The other on financial incentives and incentive compatible methods (see Harrison, 2014 for a discussion). These methods generally ask respondents to choose between lotteries or prospects. The implied...
Journal Article
Endowment Effects in the Field: Evidence from India’s IPO Lotteries
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Santosh Anagol and others
The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 85, Issue 4, October 2018, Pages 1971–2004, https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdy014
Published: 01 February 2018
... in which 1.5 million stock investors face lotteries for the random allocation of shares. We find that the winners of these randomly assigned initial public offering (IPO) lottery shares are significantly more likely to hold them than lottery losers 1, 6, and even 24 months after the random allocation...
Journal Article
Topical Review: Behavioral Economics as a Promising Framework for Promoting Treatment Adherence to Pediatric Regimens
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Jack Stevens
Journal of Pediatric Psychology, Volume 39, Issue 10, November/December 2014, Pages 1097–1103, https://doi.org/10.1093/jpepsy/jsu071
Published: 12 September 2014
... of rare events. Interventionists can make the most of this bias by creating lottery-based incentive systems that feature infrequent large prizes ( Loewenstein, John, & Volpp, 2013 ). For instance, Haisley and colleagues (2012) found that adults who were offered a lottery-based system for completing...
Journal Article
To be fair
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Benjamin L. Curtis
in
Analysis
Analysis, Volume 74, Issue 1, January 2014, Pages 47–57, https://doi.org/10.1093/analys/ant093
Published: 12 December 2013
... as I know) has laid down a theory of precisely what one must do in order to be fair. The theory offered here does just this. Fairness Broome lotteries claims In this article I present a theory of what it is to be fair. I take my cue from Broome’s well-known 1990 account of fairness. Broome’s basic...
Journal Article
Repeated Rounds with Price Feedback in Experimental Auction Valuation: An Adversarial Collaboration
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Jay R. Corrigan and others
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 94, Issue 1, January 2012, Pages 97–115, https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aar066
Published: 16 November 2011
.... We conducted two experiments to determine how rationally subjects behave with and without price feedback in a second-price auction. Results from an auction for lotteries show that subjects exposed to price feedback are significantly more likely to commit preference reversals. However...
Journal Article
Modelling the Probability Distribution of Prize Winnings in the UK National Lottery: Consequences of Conscious Selection
R. D. Baker and I. G. McHale
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, Volume 172, Issue 4, October 2009, Pages 813–834, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00599.x
Published: 01 June 2009
... is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model ( https://dbpia.nl.go.kr/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model ) Summary In the statistical and economics literature on lotteries, the problem of designing...
Journal Article
The Development of the UK National Lottery: 1992–96
Peter G. Moore
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, Volume 160, Issue 2, March 1997, Pages 169–185, https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-985X.00055
Published: 09 October 2008
...:https://dbpia.nl.go.kr/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model ) Summary This paper outlines the build-up of the National Lottery launch, from the government 1992 white paper, the subsequent Parliamentary procedures leading to the National Lottery Act, the choice of Camelot...
Journal Article
Participation in the National Lottery—Evidence from the Family Expenditure Survey
J. R. B. King
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, Volume 160, Issue 2, March 1997, Pages 207–212, https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-985X.00057
Published: 09 October 2008
...:https://dbpia.nl.go.kr/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model ) Summary The limitations of survey data for monitoring the National Lottery are discussed, including problems of recording expenditure on the National Lottery. Data from the Family Expenditure Survey are used...
Journal Article
The Statistics of the National Lottery
John Haigh
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, Volume 160, Issue 2, March 1997, Pages 187–206, https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-985X.00056
Published: 09 October 2008
... under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model ( https://dbpia.nl.go.kr/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model ) Summary Some methods to test the randomness of the numbers drawn in the UK National Lottery are described...
Journal Article
Using Maximum Entropy to Double One's Expected Winnings in the UK National Lottery
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Simon J. Cox and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D: The Statistician, Volume 47, Issue 4, December 1998, Pages 629–641, https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00160
Published: 05 January 2002
... tickets being chosen by players in the UK National Lottery. As data, we used the numbers of winners in the three-, four- and five-match categories and the total number of tickets sold in each of the first 113 draws. We have computed the marginal distributions for players choosing single numbers and pairs...
Journal Article
Nonparametric Test of the Expected Utility Hypothesis
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Ziv Bar-Shira
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 74, Issue 3, August 1992, Pages 523–533, https://doi.org/10.2307/1242565
Published: 01 August 1992
...Ziv Bar-Shira C520 expected utility hypothesis lotteries nonparametric test Abstract A nonparametric test of the expected utility hypothesis is developed in this paper. The expected utility hypothesis is shown to hold if there exists a feasible solution to a particular system of linear...
Chapter
Published: 21 February 2019
...The state lottery in the eighteenth century was a striking success, both as a support to public finance and as a financial product. This chapter seeks to explain this success, but also examine who adventured in the lottery and with what motivations. Systematic data on purchase of tickets is sparse...
Chapter
Playing the Lottery for Marriage and Profit
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Amy M. Froide
Published: 13 October 2016
...Figure 2.1. William Hogarth The South Sea Bubble (L, 1721). From Collection of the Author. Figure 2.2. The Lottery: Or, The Characters of several ingenious designing Gentlewomen that have put into it (L, 1740). Reproduced by permission of © Trustees...
Chapter
Introduction
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Stephen M. Stigler
Published: 07 October 2022
...The French lottery of this book was unusual in scale and in the type of risk accepted by the state, but it did have antecedents. The main other types of lotteries that were held in Europe before 1750 are reviewed, as is the French experience with experimental approaches to finance, including John...
Chapter
Published: 30 December 2012
..., will make the group smarter. The argument further translates into a defense of descriptive representation and the selection of representatives through random lotteries rather than election. cognitive artifacts deliberation inclusive Dewey John epistemic argument for democracy Hong Lu individual...
Chapter
Policy-Constraining Amendments
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John Dinan
Published: 05 April 2018
... regard for the long-term public interest. An early wave of nineteenth-century amendments prohibited legislatures from chartering or operating lotteries. In the mid-nineteenth century, amendments prevented legislatures from investing in banks and other corporations and undertaking internal improvement...
Chapter
Published: 13 April 2020
...This chapter explores the emergence of state lotteries during the 1960s and 1970s. With police authority to arrest known gamblers on sight now curbed by the Supreme Court, police officials in New York and elsewhere sought to be relieved of the burden of gambling enforcement. Government lotteries...
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