... of evidence through the Bayes’ factor. A generalization for such a logical measure of the evidence is also presented and justified. Bayes’ Theorem Radical Probabilism Bayesian conditionalization Probability Kinematics Bayes’ factor evidence evaluation […] be the sensible man who tailors his beliefs...

... by c², and this would be equivalent to conditionalizing on the same piece of evidence twice, as if you had two independent pieces of evidence rather than just one. And that looks irrational as the evidence now seems to have an unduly large influence on the preference ranking over the possible acts...

...The goal of this chapter is to respond to a criticism of objective Bayesianism that concerns the updating of degrees of belief. Objective Bayesianism has often been dismissed on account of differences between its form of updating and Bayesian conditionalization (§4.1)—such that such differences...

... Young A W Capgras delusion face processing prosopagnosia Coltheart M beliefs brain executive function delusions memoirs of alcoholics prefrontal cortex working memory Garety P A Hemsley D R Bayesian approach delusions simple conditionalization Lipton P abductive inference inference...

...An agent's self-locating credences capture her opinions about who she is, where she is, and what time it is. Most authors agree that self-locating credences cannot be rationally updated simply by applying traditional Bayesian conditionalization. After explaining why this is, I catalog alternative...

... idealization logical modest modelers non ideal Plato science sciences dice playing normative Carroll Sean conditionalization consciousness credence error assertions Stalnaker Robert action actions decision theorists skeptical cognitive epistemic external world idealized models mental...

... will find the “shadow priors”—the probability functions that, of all those that meet all the synchronic constraints, are closest to this doxastic shadow. Then the probability functions that constitute the angel’s opinions are those that result from conditionalizing...

... theory, higher-order evidence, the normativity of logic, epistemic permissivism, and conditionalization. It also considers and criticizes some popular ways of trying to account for the existence and force of coherence requirements in the formally inclined philosophical literature—namely, Dutch book...

.... Various arguments for probabilism (dutch-book arguments, accuracy arguments, and the representation theorem) are set out, and some problems with these are briefly raised. Finally, some other rules for rationality are discussed, including conditionalization, the Principal Principle, and the Reflection...

..., even though they say nothing about how such an agent will in fact update. The chapter treats Conditionalization in particular. conditionalization conditionalization rule principles of rationality updating plan Dutch book arguments decision principles Greaves Hilary Wallace David van Fraassen...

...Diachronic principles of rationality are principles stating how your attitudes at different times ought to be related to each other. We consider Conditionalization, a prominent proposed diachronic principle for degrees of belief, before addressing analogous diachronic principles for preferences...

... the view that all updating on evidence is by conditionalisation. Descartes René Hume David Okasha Samir Weatherson Brian Williamson Timothy induction knowledge Moorean arguments scepticism BonJour Laurence Vogel Jonathan Yablo Stephen conditionalization empiricism learning rationalism...

.... The basic example is Simple Conditionalization (often characterized as the application of Bayes's rule or Bayes's theorem, sometimes called Bayesian Conditionalization, and sometimes accepted as the sole admissible form of opinion change), but more advanced patterns (beginning with Jeffrey...

...: in terms of their deductive correctness and in terms of their inductive strength. This chapter introduces the successive-conditionalization approach to conditional reasoning. It shows that this approach measures the knowledge-based component, which essentially represents the inductive strength involved...

... −0.60 0 TOTAL −0.05 −0.05 −0.05 This chapter assesses Dutch Book arguments. We present Dutch Book arguments for probabilism and updating by Conditionalization. An attempt is made to “depragmatize” these arguments and present them with plausible epistemological conclusions...

...This chapter presents objections to the Conditionalization updating rule stemming from cases involving memory loss, and cases in which an agent loses track of the time, her identity, or her location. A number of examples are considered, then alternative updating schemes are proposed and assessed...

...This chapter introduces Subjective Bayesianism and describes its recent rise to prominence in many areas of philosophy, especially epistemology. The chapter then discusses how Bayesianism’s traditional updating norm for degrees of belief—updating by Conditionalization—fails for applications...

... represents an aspect of an agent’s doxastic state. Among CLF’s core constraints are Kolmogorov’s axioms, requiring agents’ degrees of belief to satisfy the probability calculus. This chapter also introduces Conditionalization, the traditional Bayesian norm for updating degrees of belief over time. Finally...

...Subjective Bayesianism is one of the most popular tools of contemporary epistemology, using probability mathematics to provide comprehensive rational constraints both for an agent’s degrees of belief at a given time and for the evolution of those degrees of belief over time. Yet Conditionalization...

...) the posterior probability of A_k after some evidence E, this amounts to the claim that probability dynamics simply works by conditionalization. Definition 3.7 : Let P and P′ be probability measures on and P...