Abstract
Elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is reported to be associated with higher risk of decline in kidney function. However, little evidence exists about the relationship between NT-proBNP and kidney function progression stratified by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients without heart failure. Therefore, we aim to investigate the association of NT-proBNP and CKD progression in different CKD stages for CKD patients without heart failure.
A multicentric retrospective cohort study recruited 23860 patients diagnosed with CKD from China Renal Data System (CRDS) database. Eligible participants were classified into five groups according to eGFR. CKD progression was defined as a composite of an increase in serum creatinine ≥50% or a decrease in eGFR ≥40% from baseline or a need for kidney replacement therapy. A linear regression model evaluated the relationship between eGFR and NT-proBNP. Cox regression analysis assessed the association between NT-proBNP and CKD progression. We also performed restricted cubic spline (RCS) and threshold effect analysis to investigate non-linear relationships between NT-proBNP and CKD progression.
In a linear regression model, NT-proBNP was negatively correlated with eGFR in CKD patients. Each decrease of 15 ml/min/1.73 m2 in eGFR was associated with 1.06-fold, 1.50-fold, 1.52-fold, 1.94-fold, 3.37-fold higher levels of log (NT-proBNP) in CKD patients with stage 1-2, 3a, 3b, 4 and 5 respectively. In the multivariable Cox hazard model, elevated NT-proBNP was associated with a greater risk of kidney function progression, particularly among CKD stage 3 patients (stage 3a: HR, 1.42, 95% CI, 1.32-1.53; stage 3b: HR, 1.43, 95% CI, 1.32-1.54), with P-interaction≤0.001. However, the correlation of NT-proBNP and CKD progression had no statistical significance among CKD patients with stages 4-5 after sensitivity analyses. RCS and two-segment Cox regression model showed reversed L-shaped non-linear relationships between NT-proBNP and CKD progression in CKD patients with stages 1-4, with the inflection point at 250 pg/mL, 750 pg/mL, 653 pg/mL, 526 pg/mL, but not in stage 5 (Figure).
NT-proBNP may be a reliable biomarker to predict CKD progression in stages 1-3 CKD (mainly for stage 3) without heart failure. This helps clinicians predict a decline in kidney function early and set the threshold for therapy. However, the predictive role of NT-proBNP in in advanced CKD patients is insignificant.
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