Abstract

The 2011 United Nations (UN) General Assembly Political Declaration on Prevention and Control of Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) brought NCDs to the global health agenda. Essential medicines are central to treating chronic diseases such as hypertension and diabetes. Our study aimed to quantify access to essential medicines for people with chronic conditions in five low- and middle-income countries and to evaluate how household socioeconomic status and perceptions about medicines availability and affordability influence access. We analysed data for 1867 individuals with chronic diseases from national surveys (Ghana, Jordan, Kenya, Philippines and Uganda) conducted in 2007–10 using a standard World Health Organization (WHO) methodology to measure medicines access and use. We defined individuals as having access to medicines if they reported regularly taking medicine for a diagnosed chronic disease and data collectors found a medicine indicated for that disease in their homes. We used logistic regression models accounting for the clustered survey design to investigate determinants of keeping medicines at home and predictors of access to medicines for chronic diseases. Less than half of individuals previously diagnosed with a chronic disease had access to medicines for their condition in every country, from 16% in Uganda to 49% in Jordan. Other than reporting a chronic disease, higher household socioeconomic level was the most significant predictor of having any medicines available at home. The likelihood of having access to medicines for chronic diseases was higher for those with medicines insurance coverage [highest adjusted odds ratio (OR) 3.12 (95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.38, 7.07)] and lower for those with past history of borrowing money to pay for medicines [lowest adjusted OR 0.56 (95% CI: 0.34, 0.92)]. Our study documents poor access to essential medicines for chronic conditions in five resource-constrained settings. It highlights the importance of financial risk protection and consumer education about generic medicines in global efforts towards improving treatment of chronic diseases.

KEY MESSAGES

  • Five national surveys from low- and middle-income countries showed very low access to essential medicines for chronic conditions.

  • The likelihood of having access to medicines for chronic diseases was higher for those with medicines insurance coverage and lower for those with past history of borrowing money to pay for medicines.

Introduction

The negative impact of non-communicable diseases (NCD) on human development in poor regions of the world has long been overshadowed by the global fight against HIV/AIDS, malaria and tuberculosis (Di Cesare et al. 2013). However, in part because of their socioeconomic determinants, NCDs continue to have disastrous effects in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Over three-quarters of annual deaths attributable to NCDs occur in LMICs. Furthermore, age-standardized death rates of most NCDs are higher in LMICs than in high-income countries (Murray et al. 2012).

The 2011 United Nations high-level meeting on prevention and control of NCDs brought the issue to the forefront of global health discussions and led to specific recommendations encouraging the use of existing knowledge and proven therapies to treat NCDs more effectively in LMICs (Ki-Moon 2014). Essential medicines are a major component of treating most prevalent NCDs such as cardiovascular diseases and diabetes (Hogerzeil et al. 2013). Obstacles to accessing medicines exist at many places in the healthcare systems (Atun et al. 2013).

A conceptual framework addressing the complex network of barriers to medicines access from a health system perspective has been recently developed (Bigdeli et al. 2013). Demand-side barriers related to affordability, perceptions and sociocultural characteristics of individuals and communities are a key component of this framework. These barriers can be directly measured with household surveys (Wagner et al. 2011). We analysed existing data from household surveys developed by the World Health Organization (WHO) to quantify medicines access by individuals with chronic diseases and to investigate how socioeconomic status, behavioural factors and perceptions about medicines availability and affordability influence access to essential medicines for NCDs in five countries with different healthcare systems and pharmaceutical sector profiles (Table 1).

Table 1.

Selected socioeconomic, demographic and pharmaceutical country indicators

CountryGhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
World Bank Income CategoryLowLowLowMiddleMiddle
World Bank 2008 gross domestic product (GDP) per capita ($US current exchange rate)123478645437971921
Population living with less than $1.25 a daya (% of total population)30%20%52%1%23%
Population (millions)23.8338.7631.785.9891.98
Population > 60 years (% of total population)6%4%5%5%7%
Age standardized mortality rate by NCDs (per 100 000 population)699729786711599
Age standardized mortality rate by cardiovascular diseases (per 100 000 population)343344369433320
Health expenditures (% gross domestic product)7.9%4.5%7.6%8.6%3.8%
Number of physicians (per 10 000 population)1.111.361.1426.510.2
Pharmaceutical expenditures (% gross domestic product)n/a1.7%n/a3.1%n/a
Number of licensed pharmaceutical manufacturers3445141661
Number of registered pharmaceutical products248813 0007792770026 775
Active national monitoring system of medicines retail pricesNoYesNoYesYes
Population covered by national or social sickness funds (% of total population)66%22%n/a75%38%
    Medicines are free for elderly who cannot afford themYesYesYesYesYes
    NCD medicines are free for those who cannot afford themYesNoYesYesYes
Population covered by private health insurance (% of total population)n/a1%n/a8%n/a
CountryGhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
World Bank Income CategoryLowLowLowMiddleMiddle
World Bank 2008 gross domestic product (GDP) per capita ($US current exchange rate)123478645437971921
Population living with less than $1.25 a daya (% of total population)30%20%52%1%23%
Population (millions)23.8338.7631.785.9891.98
Population > 60 years (% of total population)6%4%5%5%7%
Age standardized mortality rate by NCDs (per 100 000 population)699729786711599
Age standardized mortality rate by cardiovascular diseases (per 100 000 population)343344369433320
Health expenditures (% gross domestic product)7.9%4.5%7.6%8.6%3.8%
Number of physicians (per 10 000 population)1.111.361.1426.510.2
Pharmaceutical expenditures (% gross domestic product)n/a1.7%n/a3.1%n/a
Number of licensed pharmaceutical manufacturers3445141661
Number of registered pharmaceutical products248813 0007792770026 775
Active national monitoring system of medicines retail pricesNoYesNoYesYes
Population covered by national or social sickness funds (% of total population)66%22%n/a75%38%
    Medicines are free for elderly who cannot afford themYesYesYesYesYes
    NCD medicines are free for those who cannot afford themYesNoYesYesYes
Population covered by private health insurance (% of total population)n/a1%n/a8%n/a

WHO 2011 Pharmaceutical Sector Country Profiles (World Health Organization 2011).

aAdjusted for international Purchasing Power Parity.

Table 1.

Selected socioeconomic, demographic and pharmaceutical country indicators

CountryGhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
World Bank Income CategoryLowLowLowMiddleMiddle
World Bank 2008 gross domestic product (GDP) per capita ($US current exchange rate)123478645437971921
Population living with less than $1.25 a daya (% of total population)30%20%52%1%23%
Population (millions)23.8338.7631.785.9891.98
Population > 60 years (% of total population)6%4%5%5%7%
Age standardized mortality rate by NCDs (per 100 000 population)699729786711599
Age standardized mortality rate by cardiovascular diseases (per 100 000 population)343344369433320
Health expenditures (% gross domestic product)7.9%4.5%7.6%8.6%3.8%
Number of physicians (per 10 000 population)1.111.361.1426.510.2
Pharmaceutical expenditures (% gross domestic product)n/a1.7%n/a3.1%n/a
Number of licensed pharmaceutical manufacturers3445141661
Number of registered pharmaceutical products248813 0007792770026 775
Active national monitoring system of medicines retail pricesNoYesNoYesYes
Population covered by national or social sickness funds (% of total population)66%22%n/a75%38%
    Medicines are free for elderly who cannot afford themYesYesYesYesYes
    NCD medicines are free for those who cannot afford themYesNoYesYesYes
Population covered by private health insurance (% of total population)n/a1%n/a8%n/a
CountryGhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
World Bank Income CategoryLowLowLowMiddleMiddle
World Bank 2008 gross domestic product (GDP) per capita ($US current exchange rate)123478645437971921
Population living with less than $1.25 a daya (% of total population)30%20%52%1%23%
Population (millions)23.8338.7631.785.9891.98
Population > 60 years (% of total population)6%4%5%5%7%
Age standardized mortality rate by NCDs (per 100 000 population)699729786711599
Age standardized mortality rate by cardiovascular diseases (per 100 000 population)343344369433320
Health expenditures (% gross domestic product)7.9%4.5%7.6%8.6%3.8%
Number of physicians (per 10 000 population)1.111.361.1426.510.2
Pharmaceutical expenditures (% gross domestic product)n/a1.7%n/a3.1%n/a
Number of licensed pharmaceutical manufacturers3445141661
Number of registered pharmaceutical products248813 0007792770026 775
Active national monitoring system of medicines retail pricesNoYesNoYesYes
Population covered by national or social sickness funds (% of total population)66%22%n/a75%38%
    Medicines are free for elderly who cannot afford themYesYesYesYesYes
    NCD medicines are free for those who cannot afford themYesNoYesYesYes
Population covered by private health insurance (% of total population)n/a1%n/a8%n/a

WHO 2011 Pharmaceutical Sector Country Profiles (World Health Organization 2011).

aAdjusted for international Purchasing Power Parity.

Materials and methods

Survey methodology and data collection

The WHO methodology to measure medicines access and use with standardized rapid cluster sample household surveys has been previously described (Vialle-Valentin et al. 2012). Trained enumerators use preset criteria to identify the most knowledgeable person about the health of household members and their use of medicines. This person answers a structured questionnaire about household composition, illnesses and experiences in seeking healthcare and obtaining medicines for every sick household member, and perceptions about medicines availability and affordability.

The presence of a diagnosed chronic disease was assessed in all surveys by the same question: ‘Has anyone in this household ever been told by a doctor or other healthcare provider that they have a chronic disease? A chronic disease is an illness that will not go away or takes a long time to go away, even when treated.’ If the answer was yes, the respondent was asked to identify the chronic disease(s) from the following list of diseases read by the enumerator: ‘hypertension/high blood pressure, heart disease/heart attack consequence, diabetes/high blood sugar, asthma/wheezing/chronic difficulty breathing, HIV infection/AIDS, arthritis/chronic body pain, epilepsy/seizures/fits, chronic stomach pain, stroke consequence, high cholesterol, cancer, tuberculosis, liver disease, depression and other.’

For every individual with a chronic condition, enumerators recorded the diagnosis, which medicines were prescribed, their monthly cost, whether or not medicines costs were covered by health insurance, and adherence to treatment. In addition, they recorded the name and source of all medicines found at home. The authors coded all medicines recorded by enumerators into therapeutic classes using the WHO 15th Model Essential Medicines List (EML) classification in effect at the time of the surveys (World Health Organization 2014).

We analysed five surveys from LMICs (Table 1). Data collection took place in May–June 2008 (Ghana), July–August 2008 (Uganda), September–October 2008 (Kenya), April–June 2009 (Philippines) and March–April 2010 (Jordan). The open source software EpiData Entry v·2·0 (The EpiData Association, Denmark) was used for data entry.

Study variables

This study reports results on three main outcome variables. Reporting a chronic disease in the household was used to assess need for care and to control for access to diagnostic services. Having any medicines present in the home at the time of the survey was used as a measure of basic household access to medicines. Our primary outcome measure of access to appropriate medicines was the presence in the home at the time of the survey of one or more medicines in the therapeutic category needed to treat the reported chronic disease.

Predictor variables included gender and age of every household member with chronic disease. The socioeconomic profile of households was assessed according to the level of education of the respondent and self-reported monthly expenditure quintile; expenditure quintile boundaries were calculated from the most recent national household economic survey adjusted for household size. Geographic access to sources of care was measured as reported presence of specific types of healthcare provider (public hospital or health center, private or mission hospital or health provider, private pharmacy or drug retail outlet) within 15 min travelling distance; households in capital cities were coded separately on this measure since all types of providers tend to be highly prevalent in large urban areas.

The surveys also measured the household respondent’s agreement with several statements related to domains that could limit medicines access: perceived healthcare and medicines affordability; previous borrowing to pay for medicines; availability of free medicines in the public sector; ability to obtain credit to pay for medicines in private retail outlets; perceived quality, convenience and availability of medicines in public and private outlets; knowledge about generics and price differences between similar medicines; and asking for least expensive products when purchasing.

Analysis

Anonymized country survey datasets were imported into StataSE V·11·2 (StataCorp, USA). All analyses were performed with the Stata survey logistic regression commands that account for clustered sample design. We included in our final models all potential predictor variables that exhibited a bivariate association (P < 0·10) with the access to medicines variable in any of the five country survey analyses.

After describing household characteristics, we explored the determinants of reporting a chronic disease in the household in a multivariate model with relevant household-related (household size, socioeconomic status and geographic location) and patient-related (gender, age) variables. We then investigated determinants of having any medicines present in the home in a multivariate model that included potential predictors collected in the surveys (household size, reported illnesses, socioeconomic status, proximity to healthcare facilities, respondent opinions on medicines availability and affordability).

Our primary analysis focused on individuals reported to have one or more diagnosed chronic diseases. A household member was classified as having access to medicines for chronic diseases when the following criteria were met: (1) the respondent reported that the person in question had a chronic disease, was prescribed at least one medicine in the therapeutic class appropriate for that disease, and took the medicine as recommended; and (2) enumerators found a medicine of the same therapeutic class in the household. For instance, a household member reported to have diabetes was counted as having access to medicines if (s)he was prescribed a product coded as an antidiabetic agent, reported taking it regularly, and a product coded as an antidiabetic was found at home.

Results

Characteristics of sampled households and individuals with chronic disease(s)

About 1000 households were surveyed in each country (Supplementary Tables S1, Supplementary Data). The proportions of households reporting chronic diseases were higher in surveys from middle-income countries (Jordan 47%, Philippines 39%) than from low-income countries in Africa (Ghana 16%, Kenya 26% and Uganda 29%). Similar patterns were seen in the proportions of households with older members (Jordan 27%, Philippines 22%; Ghana 19%, Kenya 14% and Uganda 13%) and the proportions of households having any medicines present during the survey (Jordan 91%, Philippines 67%; Ghana 52%, Kenya 51% and Uganda 42%).

Both level of education and distribution of expenditure quintiles differed sharply between surveys from middle- and low-income countries. The proportions of households reporting education above the secondary level and in the top quintile of monthly expenditures were highest in the Jordan survey (97 and 20%, respectively) and lowest in the Uganda survey (43 and 4%, respectively). In addition, variations in geographic access to care were evident, from 5% of sampled households having no healthcare facility within 15 minutes of travelling distance in Jordan to 35% in Uganda.

As shown in Table 2, the proportions of individuals reported as having chronic disease(s) was highest in Jordan: 583/5603 household members (10·4%) and lowest in Ghana: 165/5323 household members (3.1%). Except in Jordan, women were more afflicted: 65% in Ghana, 58% in Uganda, 54% in Kenya, 52% in Philippines and 47% in Jordan. The proportion of individuals with more than one chronic disease was highest in Jordan (44%) and lowest in Kenya (15%). Disease distribution among those with a chronic condition differed markedly across surveys as shown by the proportions of individuals with hypertension (from 52% in Jordan to 19% in Kenya) or diabetes (from 39% in Jordan to 8% in Uganda). The proportion of individuals with a chronic disease reporting at least partial insurance coverage of their medicines costs was highest in Jordan (72%) and Ghana (46%) whereas it was almost nil in Kenya (4%) and Uganda (2%).

Table 2

Characteristics of individuals with chronic disease(s)

GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Individuals in sampled households (N)53235837589156035288
Individuals with chronic disease(s) (N)165313321583485
Proportion estimates (95% confidence intervals)
Female65% (56–72%)54% (49–59%)58% (52–64%)47% (44–51%)52% (48–55%)
Age
    Under 4024% (18–32%)49% (42–55%)50% (44–56%)16% (13–20%)27% (22–32%)
    40–6043% (35–51%)38% (31–44%)34% (29–40%)49% (44–53%)45% (41%–50%)
    Over 6033% (25–42%)14% (11–18%)16% (12–21%)35% (31–40%)28% (23–33%)
Diagnosed with
    Hypertension46% (38–53%)19% (14–25%)27% (22–33%)52% (47–57%)50% (44–56%)
    Diabetes17% (12–24%)12% (8–16%)8% (5–12%)39% (35–44%)16% (11–22%)
    Hypercholesterolemia0% (0–0%)1% (0–3%)0% (0–0%)17% (14–21%)12% (9–16%)
    Chronic heart disease4% (1–9%)3% (1–6%)4% (2–7%)15% (12–18%)9% (6–12%)
    Asthma10% (7–15%)20% (15–25%)13% (10–17%)7% (5–10%)18% (15–22%)
    Arthritis10% (6–17%)13% (9–17%)9% (6–13%)17% (14–20%)17% (13–22%)
    Chronic gastric pain5% (3–11%)14% (11–19%)33% (28–38%)9% (7–12%)7% (5–11%)
    More than one chronic disease16% (11–24%)15% (11–20%)19% (15–24%)44% (40–48%)32% (27–38%)
Medicines access
    Had medicine(s) at home79% (70–86%)73% (66–79%)56% (48–64%)94% (91–96%)80% (73–85%)
    Reported at least partial medicines coverage46% (38–54%)4% (2–7%)2% (1–5%)72% (67–76%)10% (7–14%)
    Obtained all recommended medicines free-of-charge12% (7–20%)18% (13–26%)22% (17–29%)43% (38–49%)6% (4–9%)
Accessed medicines to treat chronic diseasea35% (26–45%)33% (27–40%)16% (12–22%)49% (43–54%)38% (31–44%)
GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Individuals in sampled households (N)53235837589156035288
Individuals with chronic disease(s) (N)165313321583485
Proportion estimates (95% confidence intervals)
Female65% (56–72%)54% (49–59%)58% (52–64%)47% (44–51%)52% (48–55%)
Age
    Under 4024% (18–32%)49% (42–55%)50% (44–56%)16% (13–20%)27% (22–32%)
    40–6043% (35–51%)38% (31–44%)34% (29–40%)49% (44–53%)45% (41%–50%)
    Over 6033% (25–42%)14% (11–18%)16% (12–21%)35% (31–40%)28% (23–33%)
Diagnosed with
    Hypertension46% (38–53%)19% (14–25%)27% (22–33%)52% (47–57%)50% (44–56%)
    Diabetes17% (12–24%)12% (8–16%)8% (5–12%)39% (35–44%)16% (11–22%)
    Hypercholesterolemia0% (0–0%)1% (0–3%)0% (0–0%)17% (14–21%)12% (9–16%)
    Chronic heart disease4% (1–9%)3% (1–6%)4% (2–7%)15% (12–18%)9% (6–12%)
    Asthma10% (7–15%)20% (15–25%)13% (10–17%)7% (5–10%)18% (15–22%)
    Arthritis10% (6–17%)13% (9–17%)9% (6–13%)17% (14–20%)17% (13–22%)
    Chronic gastric pain5% (3–11%)14% (11–19%)33% (28–38%)9% (7–12%)7% (5–11%)
    More than one chronic disease16% (11–24%)15% (11–20%)19% (15–24%)44% (40–48%)32% (27–38%)
Medicines access
    Had medicine(s) at home79% (70–86%)73% (66–79%)56% (48–64%)94% (91–96%)80% (73–85%)
    Reported at least partial medicines coverage46% (38–54%)4% (2–7%)2% (1–5%)72% (67–76%)10% (7–14%)
    Obtained all recommended medicines free-of-charge12% (7–20%)18% (13–26%)22% (17–29%)43% (38–49%)6% (4–9%)
Accessed medicines to treat chronic diseasea35% (26–45%)33% (27–40%)16% (12–22%)49% (43–54%)38% (31–44%)

aHousehold respondent named medicines prescribed to the sick member to treat the disease and taken regularly. In addition, enumerators found a medicine of the same category in the household.

Table 2

Characteristics of individuals with chronic disease(s)

GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Individuals in sampled households (N)53235837589156035288
Individuals with chronic disease(s) (N)165313321583485
Proportion estimates (95% confidence intervals)
Female65% (56–72%)54% (49–59%)58% (52–64%)47% (44–51%)52% (48–55%)
Age
    Under 4024% (18–32%)49% (42–55%)50% (44–56%)16% (13–20%)27% (22–32%)
    40–6043% (35–51%)38% (31–44%)34% (29–40%)49% (44–53%)45% (41%–50%)
    Over 6033% (25–42%)14% (11–18%)16% (12–21%)35% (31–40%)28% (23–33%)
Diagnosed with
    Hypertension46% (38–53%)19% (14–25%)27% (22–33%)52% (47–57%)50% (44–56%)
    Diabetes17% (12–24%)12% (8–16%)8% (5–12%)39% (35–44%)16% (11–22%)
    Hypercholesterolemia0% (0–0%)1% (0–3%)0% (0–0%)17% (14–21%)12% (9–16%)
    Chronic heart disease4% (1–9%)3% (1–6%)4% (2–7%)15% (12–18%)9% (6–12%)
    Asthma10% (7–15%)20% (15–25%)13% (10–17%)7% (5–10%)18% (15–22%)
    Arthritis10% (6–17%)13% (9–17%)9% (6–13%)17% (14–20%)17% (13–22%)
    Chronic gastric pain5% (3–11%)14% (11–19%)33% (28–38%)9% (7–12%)7% (5–11%)
    More than one chronic disease16% (11–24%)15% (11–20%)19% (15–24%)44% (40–48%)32% (27–38%)
Medicines access
    Had medicine(s) at home79% (70–86%)73% (66–79%)56% (48–64%)94% (91–96%)80% (73–85%)
    Reported at least partial medicines coverage46% (38–54%)4% (2–7%)2% (1–5%)72% (67–76%)10% (7–14%)
    Obtained all recommended medicines free-of-charge12% (7–20%)18% (13–26%)22% (17–29%)43% (38–49%)6% (4–9%)
Accessed medicines to treat chronic diseasea35% (26–45%)33% (27–40%)16% (12–22%)49% (43–54%)38% (31–44%)
GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Individuals in sampled households (N)53235837589156035288
Individuals with chronic disease(s) (N)165313321583485
Proportion estimates (95% confidence intervals)
Female65% (56–72%)54% (49–59%)58% (52–64%)47% (44–51%)52% (48–55%)
Age
    Under 4024% (18–32%)49% (42–55%)50% (44–56%)16% (13–20%)27% (22–32%)
    40–6043% (35–51%)38% (31–44%)34% (29–40%)49% (44–53%)45% (41%–50%)
    Over 6033% (25–42%)14% (11–18%)16% (12–21%)35% (31–40%)28% (23–33%)
Diagnosed with
    Hypertension46% (38–53%)19% (14–25%)27% (22–33%)52% (47–57%)50% (44–56%)
    Diabetes17% (12–24%)12% (8–16%)8% (5–12%)39% (35–44%)16% (11–22%)
    Hypercholesterolemia0% (0–0%)1% (0–3%)0% (0–0%)17% (14–21%)12% (9–16%)
    Chronic heart disease4% (1–9%)3% (1–6%)4% (2–7%)15% (12–18%)9% (6–12%)
    Asthma10% (7–15%)20% (15–25%)13% (10–17%)7% (5–10%)18% (15–22%)
    Arthritis10% (6–17%)13% (9–17%)9% (6–13%)17% (14–20%)17% (13–22%)
    Chronic gastric pain5% (3–11%)14% (11–19%)33% (28–38%)9% (7–12%)7% (5–11%)
    More than one chronic disease16% (11–24%)15% (11–20%)19% (15–24%)44% (40–48%)32% (27–38%)
Medicines access
    Had medicine(s) at home79% (70–86%)73% (66–79%)56% (48–64%)94% (91–96%)80% (73–85%)
    Reported at least partial medicines coverage46% (38–54%)4% (2–7%)2% (1–5%)72% (67–76%)10% (7–14%)
    Obtained all recommended medicines free-of-charge12% (7–20%)18% (13–26%)22% (17–29%)43% (38–49%)6% (4–9%)
Accessed medicines to treat chronic diseasea35% (26–45%)33% (27–40%)16% (12–22%)49% (43–54%)38% (31–44%)

aHousehold respondent named medicines prescribed to the sick member to treat the disease and taken regularly. In addition, enumerators found a medicine of the same category in the household.

Close to half of the individuals with chronic diseases had access to medicines indicated for their condition in Jordan (49%). This proportion was lower in the Philippines (38%), Ghana (35%) and Kenya (33%). In Uganda, fewer than 2 out of 10 individuals with a chronic condition had access to medicines for their chronic disease (16%).

Access to diagnostic services for chronic conditions

The odds of being recognized as having a chronic disease increased significantly with age across surveys (Figure 1). In addition, men were significantly less likely to be acknowledged as having a chronic disease in Ghana [odds ratio: 0·56, 95% confidence intervals (0·36–0·87), P < 0·05], Kenya [0·80, (0·66–0·98), P < 0.05], and in Uganda [0·68, (0·52–0·87), P < 0·01] whereas no gender difference was apparent in the non-African surveys. The odds of being recognized with a chronic disease did not depend on the household socioeconomic status, except in the Kenya survey where poor households appeared less likely to report chronic diseases [0·68, (0·47–0·99), P < 0.05]. In Uganda, living in the capital city increased the likelihood of being diagnosed with a chronic disease [2·35, (1·70–3·24), P < 0.001] while belonging to a larger household had a statistically significant negative effect [0·94, (0·91–0·98), P < 0.01].

Predictors associated with having a reported chronic disease
Figure 1

Predictors associated with having a reported chronic disease

Keeping medicines at home

We hypothesized that keeping medicines at home depends on the household medical needs, but also on the socioeconomic level of households, the availability of medicines in the community, and the opinions about medicines availability and affordability of the person responsible for the health of household members. Table 3 shows that the most significant predictors of having medicines at home across countries were related to the medical needs of members and socioeconomic level of households. Reporting a chronic disease was the most significant predictor, ranging from [2·06 (1·31–3·22), P < 0.01] in Uganda to [4·51 (2·93–6·93), P < 0.001] in Ghana, followed by reporting a recent acute illness. In all surveys, poverty was associated with decreased odds ranging from [0·46 (0.34–0.62), P < 0.001] in Kenya to [0·92 (0.67–1.25), not significant (ns)] in Uganda, while higher levels of education were associated with increased odds in four countries, ranging from [1.22, (0.87–1.71), ns] in Ghana to [1·93 (1·46–2·54), P < 0.001] in Uganda. With regards to respondent’s opinions, being familiar with the word “generic” increased the odds of having medicines at home in four surveys, ranging from [1.29 (0.53–3.14), ns] in Uganda to [2.41 (1.30–4.47), P < 0.01] in the Philippines. Having a positive opinion about medicines availability in public facilities had a statistically significant negative association with keeping medicines at home in Kenya [0.63 (0.43–0.92), P < 0.05] and Uganda [0.64 (0.46–0.88), P < 0.01]. Other predictive effects were less pronounced and varied across surveys.

Table 3

Multivariate determinants of having medicines at home

GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Reporting chronic disease(s)4.51*** [2.93, 6.93]3.82*** [2.54, 5.73]2.06** [1.31, 3.22]2.48** [1.27, 4.82]3.93*** [2.32, 6.65]
Reporting acute illness(s) in past 2 weeks2.44*** [1.60, 3.72]3.13*** [2.39, 4.09]1.33* [1.01, 1.75]1.2 [0.62, 2.32]1.37 [0.85, 2.20]
Poora0.75* [0.57, 0.97]0.46*** [0.34, 0.62]0.92 [0.67, 1.25]0.56* [0.32, 0.99]0.89 [0.63, 1.26]
Highest education in household above secondary1.22 [0.87, 1.71]1.52* [1.08, 2.15]1.93*** [1.46, 2.54]1.41 [0.27, 7.42]1.03 [0.52, 2.02]
In capital city1.11 [0.62, 1.99]0.65 [0.37, 1.14]1.45 [0.88, 2.39]1.90* [1.13, 3.19]0.47 [0.17, 1.31]
No public or private health care facility within 15 min travelling distance0.79 [0.55, 1.15]0.43* [0.19, 0.99]0.76 [0.54, 1.08]1.26 [0.45, 3.51]0.9 [0.33, 2.50]
Had to borrow money or sell things in the past to pay for medicines1.33 [0.87, 2.02]0.72* [0.53, 0.97]0.93 [0.69, 1.24]0.98 [0.60, 1.61]0.61+ [0.37, 1.01]
Can usually afford to buy medicines that are needed1.09 [0.77, 1.56]0.79 [0.55,1.14]1.51* [1.09, 2.10]1.88* [1.17, 3.02]0.88 [0.57, 1.35]
Can obtain credit for medicines at the local private pharmacy, if need be1.39 [0.88, 2.19]1·09 [0·73,1·62]0.80+ [0.63, 1.02]0.86 [0.47, 1.55]0.61 [0.33, 1.12]
Can obtain medicines free-of-charge at the local public health facility1.39 [0.91, 2.12]1.12 [0·78, 1.61]1.06 [0.66, 1.70]0.86 [0.53, 1.40]0.98 [0.68, 1.41]
Asks for the least expensive product when buying a medicine1.09 [0.71, 1.67]1.18 [0.82, 1.68]0.95 [0.73, 1.24]1.36 [0.69, 2.66]0.60* [0.38, 0.95]
Would obtain prescribed medicines if insurance reimbursed part of cost1.05 [0.65, 1.67]0.98 [0.75, 1.29]1.53+ [0.98, 2.39]0.65 [0.30, 1.39]1.43 [0.91, 2.22]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at public healthcare facility0.94 [0.70, 1.28]0.63* [0.43, 0.92]0·64** [0.46, 0.88]0.7 [0.41, 1.21]0.92 [0.60, 1.42]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at private pharmacy1.01 [0.69, 1.49]1.16 [0.84, 1.59]1.09 [0.73, 1.64]1.18 [0.55, 2.55]0.94 [0.65, 1.36]
Heard the word ‘generic' before to describe a medicine2.39* [1.15, 4.97]1.50+ [0.96, 2.35]1.29 [0.53, 3.14]0.97 [0.50, 1.92]2.41** [1.30, 4.47]
GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Reporting chronic disease(s)4.51*** [2.93, 6.93]3.82*** [2.54, 5.73]2.06** [1.31, 3.22]2.48** [1.27, 4.82]3.93*** [2.32, 6.65]
Reporting acute illness(s) in past 2 weeks2.44*** [1.60, 3.72]3.13*** [2.39, 4.09]1.33* [1.01, 1.75]1.2 [0.62, 2.32]1.37 [0.85, 2.20]
Poora0.75* [0.57, 0.97]0.46*** [0.34, 0.62]0.92 [0.67, 1.25]0.56* [0.32, 0.99]0.89 [0.63, 1.26]
Highest education in household above secondary1.22 [0.87, 1.71]1.52* [1.08, 2.15]1.93*** [1.46, 2.54]1.41 [0.27, 7.42]1.03 [0.52, 2.02]
In capital city1.11 [0.62, 1.99]0.65 [0.37, 1.14]1.45 [0.88, 2.39]1.90* [1.13, 3.19]0.47 [0.17, 1.31]
No public or private health care facility within 15 min travelling distance0.79 [0.55, 1.15]0.43* [0.19, 0.99]0.76 [0.54, 1.08]1.26 [0.45, 3.51]0.9 [0.33, 2.50]
Had to borrow money or sell things in the past to pay for medicines1.33 [0.87, 2.02]0.72* [0.53, 0.97]0.93 [0.69, 1.24]0.98 [0.60, 1.61]0.61+ [0.37, 1.01]
Can usually afford to buy medicines that are needed1.09 [0.77, 1.56]0.79 [0.55,1.14]1.51* [1.09, 2.10]1.88* [1.17, 3.02]0.88 [0.57, 1.35]
Can obtain credit for medicines at the local private pharmacy, if need be1.39 [0.88, 2.19]1·09 [0·73,1·62]0.80+ [0.63, 1.02]0.86 [0.47, 1.55]0.61 [0.33, 1.12]
Can obtain medicines free-of-charge at the local public health facility1.39 [0.91, 2.12]1.12 [0·78, 1.61]1.06 [0.66, 1.70]0.86 [0.53, 1.40]0.98 [0.68, 1.41]
Asks for the least expensive product when buying a medicine1.09 [0.71, 1.67]1.18 [0.82, 1.68]0.95 [0.73, 1.24]1.36 [0.69, 2.66]0.60* [0.38, 0.95]
Would obtain prescribed medicines if insurance reimbursed part of cost1.05 [0.65, 1.67]0.98 [0.75, 1.29]1.53+ [0.98, 2.39]0.65 [0.30, 1.39]1.43 [0.91, 2.22]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at public healthcare facility0.94 [0.70, 1.28]0.63* [0.43, 0.92]0·64** [0.46, 0.88]0.7 [0.41, 1.21]0.92 [0.60, 1.42]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at private pharmacy1.01 [0.69, 1.49]1.16 [0.84, 1.59]1.09 [0.73, 1.64]1.18 [0.55, 2.55]0.94 [0.65, 1.36]
Heard the word ‘generic' before to describe a medicine2.39* [1.15, 4.97]1.50+ [0.96, 2.35]1.29 [0.53, 3.14]0.97 [0.50, 1.92]2.41** [1.30, 4.47]

Exponentiated coefficients; 95% confidence intervals in brackets.

aFrom households in the two lowest pre-defined country-specific expenditure quintiles based on data from recent national household surveys reporting per capita gross national income or consumption.

+P < 0·10, *P < 0·05, **P < 0·01, ***P < 0·001.

Table 3

Multivariate determinants of having medicines at home

GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Reporting chronic disease(s)4.51*** [2.93, 6.93]3.82*** [2.54, 5.73]2.06** [1.31, 3.22]2.48** [1.27, 4.82]3.93*** [2.32, 6.65]
Reporting acute illness(s) in past 2 weeks2.44*** [1.60, 3.72]3.13*** [2.39, 4.09]1.33* [1.01, 1.75]1.2 [0.62, 2.32]1.37 [0.85, 2.20]
Poora0.75* [0.57, 0.97]0.46*** [0.34, 0.62]0.92 [0.67, 1.25]0.56* [0.32, 0.99]0.89 [0.63, 1.26]
Highest education in household above secondary1.22 [0.87, 1.71]1.52* [1.08, 2.15]1.93*** [1.46, 2.54]1.41 [0.27, 7.42]1.03 [0.52, 2.02]
In capital city1.11 [0.62, 1.99]0.65 [0.37, 1.14]1.45 [0.88, 2.39]1.90* [1.13, 3.19]0.47 [0.17, 1.31]
No public or private health care facility within 15 min travelling distance0.79 [0.55, 1.15]0.43* [0.19, 0.99]0.76 [0.54, 1.08]1.26 [0.45, 3.51]0.9 [0.33, 2.50]
Had to borrow money or sell things in the past to pay for medicines1.33 [0.87, 2.02]0.72* [0.53, 0.97]0.93 [0.69, 1.24]0.98 [0.60, 1.61]0.61+ [0.37, 1.01]
Can usually afford to buy medicines that are needed1.09 [0.77, 1.56]0.79 [0.55,1.14]1.51* [1.09, 2.10]1.88* [1.17, 3.02]0.88 [0.57, 1.35]
Can obtain credit for medicines at the local private pharmacy, if need be1.39 [0.88, 2.19]1·09 [0·73,1·62]0.80+ [0.63, 1.02]0.86 [0.47, 1.55]0.61 [0.33, 1.12]
Can obtain medicines free-of-charge at the local public health facility1.39 [0.91, 2.12]1.12 [0·78, 1.61]1.06 [0.66, 1.70]0.86 [0.53, 1.40]0.98 [0.68, 1.41]
Asks for the least expensive product when buying a medicine1.09 [0.71, 1.67]1.18 [0.82, 1.68]0.95 [0.73, 1.24]1.36 [0.69, 2.66]0.60* [0.38, 0.95]
Would obtain prescribed medicines if insurance reimbursed part of cost1.05 [0.65, 1.67]0.98 [0.75, 1.29]1.53+ [0.98, 2.39]0.65 [0.30, 1.39]1.43 [0.91, 2.22]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at public healthcare facility0.94 [0.70, 1.28]0.63* [0.43, 0.92]0·64** [0.46, 0.88]0.7 [0.41, 1.21]0.92 [0.60, 1.42]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at private pharmacy1.01 [0.69, 1.49]1.16 [0.84, 1.59]1.09 [0.73, 1.64]1.18 [0.55, 2.55]0.94 [0.65, 1.36]
Heard the word ‘generic' before to describe a medicine2.39* [1.15, 4.97]1.50+ [0.96, 2.35]1.29 [0.53, 3.14]0.97 [0.50, 1.92]2.41** [1.30, 4.47]
GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Reporting chronic disease(s)4.51*** [2.93, 6.93]3.82*** [2.54, 5.73]2.06** [1.31, 3.22]2.48** [1.27, 4.82]3.93*** [2.32, 6.65]
Reporting acute illness(s) in past 2 weeks2.44*** [1.60, 3.72]3.13*** [2.39, 4.09]1.33* [1.01, 1.75]1.2 [0.62, 2.32]1.37 [0.85, 2.20]
Poora0.75* [0.57, 0.97]0.46*** [0.34, 0.62]0.92 [0.67, 1.25]0.56* [0.32, 0.99]0.89 [0.63, 1.26]
Highest education in household above secondary1.22 [0.87, 1.71]1.52* [1.08, 2.15]1.93*** [1.46, 2.54]1.41 [0.27, 7.42]1.03 [0.52, 2.02]
In capital city1.11 [0.62, 1.99]0.65 [0.37, 1.14]1.45 [0.88, 2.39]1.90* [1.13, 3.19]0.47 [0.17, 1.31]
No public or private health care facility within 15 min travelling distance0.79 [0.55, 1.15]0.43* [0.19, 0.99]0.76 [0.54, 1.08]1.26 [0.45, 3.51]0.9 [0.33, 2.50]
Had to borrow money or sell things in the past to pay for medicines1.33 [0.87, 2.02]0.72* [0.53, 0.97]0.93 [0.69, 1.24]0.98 [0.60, 1.61]0.61+ [0.37, 1.01]
Can usually afford to buy medicines that are needed1.09 [0.77, 1.56]0.79 [0.55,1.14]1.51* [1.09, 2.10]1.88* [1.17, 3.02]0.88 [0.57, 1.35]
Can obtain credit for medicines at the local private pharmacy, if need be1.39 [0.88, 2.19]1·09 [0·73,1·62]0.80+ [0.63, 1.02]0.86 [0.47, 1.55]0.61 [0.33, 1.12]
Can obtain medicines free-of-charge at the local public health facility1.39 [0.91, 2.12]1.12 [0·78, 1.61]1.06 [0.66, 1.70]0.86 [0.53, 1.40]0.98 [0.68, 1.41]
Asks for the least expensive product when buying a medicine1.09 [0.71, 1.67]1.18 [0.82, 1.68]0.95 [0.73, 1.24]1.36 [0.69, 2.66]0.60* [0.38, 0.95]
Would obtain prescribed medicines if insurance reimbursed part of cost1.05 [0.65, 1.67]0.98 [0.75, 1.29]1.53+ [0.98, 2.39]0.65 [0.30, 1.39]1.43 [0.91, 2.22]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at public healthcare facility0.94 [0.70, 1.28]0.63* [0.43, 0.92]0·64** [0.46, 0.88]0.7 [0.41, 1.21]0.92 [0.60, 1.42]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at private pharmacy1.01 [0.69, 1.49]1.16 [0.84, 1.59]1.09 [0.73, 1.64]1.18 [0.55, 2.55]0.94 [0.65, 1.36]
Heard the word ‘generic' before to describe a medicine2.39* [1.15, 4.97]1.50+ [0.96, 2.35]1.29 [0.53, 3.14]0.97 [0.50, 1.92]2.41** [1.30, 4.47]

Exponentiated coefficients; 95% confidence intervals in brackets.

aFrom households in the two lowest pre-defined country-specific expenditure quintiles based on data from recent national household surveys reporting per capita gross national income or consumption.

+P < 0·10, *P < 0·05, **P < 0·01, ***P < 0·001.

Determinants of access to medicines for chronic diseases

Determinants of access to medicines for chronic diseases are presented in Table 4. Even though results varied across surveys, common patterns emerged. In particular, risk protection in the form of reported insurance coverage of medicines costs increased the likelihood of having access to medicines, ranging from [1.32, (0.69–2.55), ns] in Jordan to [3.12 (1.38–7.07), P < 0.01] in the Philippines. Obtaining medicines free-of-charge also increased the likelihood of access in four countries, ranging from [1.18 (0.33, 4.23), ns] in Ghana to [3.49 (2.14–5.69), P < 0.001] in Kenya. Factors that tended to decrease the odds of access to medicines for chronic diseases were: household poverty ranging from [0.35 (0.21–0.58), P < 0.001] in Kenya to [0.70 (0.39–1.26), ns] in Uganda; a history of borrowing money to pay for medicines ranging from [0.56, (0.34–0.92), P < 0.05] in the Philippines to [0.92, (0.28–3.00), ns] in Ghana; younger age ranging from [0.27 (0.09–0.80), P < 0.05] in Ghana to [0.70 (0.36–1.34), ns] in Uganda; and belonging to larger households ranging from [0.86 (0.·78–0.94), P < 0.01] in Jordan to [1.03 (0.95–1.11), ns] in Uganda.

Table 4

Multivariate determinants of access to medicines for individuals reporting a chronic disease

GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Male0.75 [0.29, 1.94]1.18 [0.80, 1.73]0.95 [0.52, 1.74]0.66+ [0.43, 1.03]1.01 [0.59, 1.71]
Under 40 years old0.27* [0.09, 0.80]0.52* [0.28, 0.98]0.7 [0.36, 1.34]0.37** [0.18, 0.75]0.66+ [0.43, 1.02]
Over 60 years old2.22 [0.70, 7.08]0.57 [0.22, 1.43]1.66 [0.63, 4.39]0.87 [0.55, 1.37]1.03 [0.56, 1.91]
In large householda0.90+ [0.79, 1.02]0.92* [0.85, 1.00]1.03 [0.95, 1.11]0.86** [0.78, 0.94]0.96 [0.82, 1.13]
In poor household0.6 [0.21, 1.70]0.35*** [0.21, 0.58]0.7 [0.39, 1.26]1.88* [1.09, 3.24]0.73 [0.43, 1.24]
In household with highest education above secondary1.01 [0.37, 2.75]0.81 [0.41, 1.59]2.14+ [0.99, 4.63]2.45+ [0.90, 6.69]1.11 [0.33, 3.68]
Living in capital1.12 [0.21, 6.08]1.44 [0.48, 4.35]0.18** [0.06, 0.50]4.23*** [2.28, 7.86]0.62+ [0.35, 1.10]
Living within 15 min from public healthcare facility0.53 [0.19, 1.49]0.96 [0.42, 2.20]2.23* [1.11, 4.48]0.8 [0.41, 1.56]1.38 [0.70, 2.75]
At least partial medicines coverage2.59+ [0.89, 7.56]2.19 [0.55, 8.69]3.17 [0.29, 34.96]1.32 [0.69, 2.55]3.12** [1.38, 7.07]
All medicines obtained free-of-charge1.18 [0.33, 4.23]3.49*** [2.14, 5.69]3.19* [1.33, 7.65]1.19 [0.61, 2.32]0.45 [0.14, 1.46]
Had to borrow money or sell things in the past to pay for medicines0.92 [0.28, 3.00]0.89 [0.43, 1.84]0.9 [0.45, 1.80]0.76 [0.49, 1.18]0.56* [0.34, 0.92]
Can usually afford to buy medicines that are needed3.61** [1.49, 8.75]1.04 [0.50, 2.16]1.12 [0.49, 2.52]1.28 [0.73, 2.25]0.91 [0.50, 1.68]
Would obtain prescribed medicines if insurance reimbursed part of cost2.24 [0.78, 6.38]1.35 [0.79, 2.31]2.09+ [0.95, 4.59]0.7 [0.35, 1.40]0.62* [0.38, 0.99]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at local private pharmacy2.30* [1.04, 5.10]0.83 [0.39, 1.78]0.9 [0.51, 1.59]1.3 [0.69, 2.48]0.85 [0.49, 1.46]
GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Male0.75 [0.29, 1.94]1.18 [0.80, 1.73]0.95 [0.52, 1.74]0.66+ [0.43, 1.03]1.01 [0.59, 1.71]
Under 40 years old0.27* [0.09, 0.80]0.52* [0.28, 0.98]0.7 [0.36, 1.34]0.37** [0.18, 0.75]0.66+ [0.43, 1.02]
Over 60 years old2.22 [0.70, 7.08]0.57 [0.22, 1.43]1.66 [0.63, 4.39]0.87 [0.55, 1.37]1.03 [0.56, 1.91]
In large householda0.90+ [0.79, 1.02]0.92* [0.85, 1.00]1.03 [0.95, 1.11]0.86** [0.78, 0.94]0.96 [0.82, 1.13]
In poor household0.6 [0.21, 1.70]0.35*** [0.21, 0.58]0.7 [0.39, 1.26]1.88* [1.09, 3.24]0.73 [0.43, 1.24]
In household with highest education above secondary1.01 [0.37, 2.75]0.81 [0.41, 1.59]2.14+ [0.99, 4.63]2.45+ [0.90, 6.69]1.11 [0.33, 3.68]
Living in capital1.12 [0.21, 6.08]1.44 [0.48, 4.35]0.18** [0.06, 0.50]4.23*** [2.28, 7.86]0.62+ [0.35, 1.10]
Living within 15 min from public healthcare facility0.53 [0.19, 1.49]0.96 [0.42, 2.20]2.23* [1.11, 4.48]0.8 [0.41, 1.56]1.38 [0.70, 2.75]
At least partial medicines coverage2.59+ [0.89, 7.56]2.19 [0.55, 8.69]3.17 [0.29, 34.96]1.32 [0.69, 2.55]3.12** [1.38, 7.07]
All medicines obtained free-of-charge1.18 [0.33, 4.23]3.49*** [2.14, 5.69]3.19* [1.33, 7.65]1.19 [0.61, 2.32]0.45 [0.14, 1.46]
Had to borrow money or sell things in the past to pay for medicines0.92 [0.28, 3.00]0.89 [0.43, 1.84]0.9 [0.45, 1.80]0.76 [0.49, 1.18]0.56* [0.34, 0.92]
Can usually afford to buy medicines that are needed3.61** [1.49, 8.75]1.04 [0.50, 2.16]1.12 [0.49, 2.52]1.28 [0.73, 2.25]0.91 [0.50, 1.68]
Would obtain prescribed medicines if insurance reimbursed part of cost2.24 [0.78, 6.38]1.35 [0.79, 2.31]2.09+ [0.95, 4.59]0.7 [0.35, 1.40]0.62* [0.38, 0.99]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at local private pharmacy2.30* [1.04, 5.10]0.83 [0.39, 1.78]0.9 [0.51, 1.59]1.3 [0.69, 2.48]0.85 [0.49, 1.46]

Exponentiated coefficients; 95% confidence intervals in brackets.

aHousehold with nine plus members.

+P < 0.10, *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001.

Table 4

Multivariate determinants of access to medicines for individuals reporting a chronic disease

GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Male0.75 [0.29, 1.94]1.18 [0.80, 1.73]0.95 [0.52, 1.74]0.66+ [0.43, 1.03]1.01 [0.59, 1.71]
Under 40 years old0.27* [0.09, 0.80]0.52* [0.28, 0.98]0.7 [0.36, 1.34]0.37** [0.18, 0.75]0.66+ [0.43, 1.02]
Over 60 years old2.22 [0.70, 7.08]0.57 [0.22, 1.43]1.66 [0.63, 4.39]0.87 [0.55, 1.37]1.03 [0.56, 1.91]
In large householda0.90+ [0.79, 1.02]0.92* [0.85, 1.00]1.03 [0.95, 1.11]0.86** [0.78, 0.94]0.96 [0.82, 1.13]
In poor household0.6 [0.21, 1.70]0.35*** [0.21, 0.58]0.7 [0.39, 1.26]1.88* [1.09, 3.24]0.73 [0.43, 1.24]
In household with highest education above secondary1.01 [0.37, 2.75]0.81 [0.41, 1.59]2.14+ [0.99, 4.63]2.45+ [0.90, 6.69]1.11 [0.33, 3.68]
Living in capital1.12 [0.21, 6.08]1.44 [0.48, 4.35]0.18** [0.06, 0.50]4.23*** [2.28, 7.86]0.62+ [0.35, 1.10]
Living within 15 min from public healthcare facility0.53 [0.19, 1.49]0.96 [0.42, 2.20]2.23* [1.11, 4.48]0.8 [0.41, 1.56]1.38 [0.70, 2.75]
At least partial medicines coverage2.59+ [0.89, 7.56]2.19 [0.55, 8.69]3.17 [0.29, 34.96]1.32 [0.69, 2.55]3.12** [1.38, 7.07]
All medicines obtained free-of-charge1.18 [0.33, 4.23]3.49*** [2.14, 5.69]3.19* [1.33, 7.65]1.19 [0.61, 2.32]0.45 [0.14, 1.46]
Had to borrow money or sell things in the past to pay for medicines0.92 [0.28, 3.00]0.89 [0.43, 1.84]0.9 [0.45, 1.80]0.76 [0.49, 1.18]0.56* [0.34, 0.92]
Can usually afford to buy medicines that are needed3.61** [1.49, 8.75]1.04 [0.50, 2.16]1.12 [0.49, 2.52]1.28 [0.73, 2.25]0.91 [0.50, 1.68]
Would obtain prescribed medicines if insurance reimbursed part of cost2.24 [0.78, 6.38]1.35 [0.79, 2.31]2.09+ [0.95, 4.59]0.7 [0.35, 1.40]0.62* [0.38, 0.99]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at local private pharmacy2.30* [1.04, 5.10]0.83 [0.39, 1.78]0.9 [0.51, 1.59]1.3 [0.69, 2.48]0.85 [0.49, 1.46]
GhanaKenyaUgandaJordanPhilippines
Male0.75 [0.29, 1.94]1.18 [0.80, 1.73]0.95 [0.52, 1.74]0.66+ [0.43, 1.03]1.01 [0.59, 1.71]
Under 40 years old0.27* [0.09, 0.80]0.52* [0.28, 0.98]0.7 [0.36, 1.34]0.37** [0.18, 0.75]0.66+ [0.43, 1.02]
Over 60 years old2.22 [0.70, 7.08]0.57 [0.22, 1.43]1.66 [0.63, 4.39]0.87 [0.55, 1.37]1.03 [0.56, 1.91]
In large householda0.90+ [0.79, 1.02]0.92* [0.85, 1.00]1.03 [0.95, 1.11]0.86** [0.78, 0.94]0.96 [0.82, 1.13]
In poor household0.6 [0.21, 1.70]0.35*** [0.21, 0.58]0.7 [0.39, 1.26]1.88* [1.09, 3.24]0.73 [0.43, 1.24]
In household with highest education above secondary1.01 [0.37, 2.75]0.81 [0.41, 1.59]2.14+ [0.99, 4.63]2.45+ [0.90, 6.69]1.11 [0.33, 3.68]
Living in capital1.12 [0.21, 6.08]1.44 [0.48, 4.35]0.18** [0.06, 0.50]4.23*** [2.28, 7.86]0.62+ [0.35, 1.10]
Living within 15 min from public healthcare facility0.53 [0.19, 1.49]0.96 [0.42, 2.20]2.23* [1.11, 4.48]0.8 [0.41, 1.56]1.38 [0.70, 2.75]
At least partial medicines coverage2.59+ [0.89, 7.56]2.19 [0.55, 8.69]3.17 [0.29, 34.96]1.32 [0.69, 2.55]3.12** [1.38, 7.07]
All medicines obtained free-of-charge1.18 [0.33, 4.23]3.49*** [2.14, 5.69]3.19* [1.33, 7.65]1.19 [0.61, 2.32]0.45 [0.14, 1.46]
Had to borrow money or sell things in the past to pay for medicines0.92 [0.28, 3.00]0.89 [0.43, 1.84]0.9 [0.45, 1.80]0.76 [0.49, 1.18]0.56* [0.34, 0.92]
Can usually afford to buy medicines that are needed3.61** [1.49, 8.75]1.04 [0.50, 2.16]1.12 [0.49, 2.52]1.28 [0.73, 2.25]0.91 [0.50, 1.68]
Would obtain prescribed medicines if insurance reimbursed part of cost2.24 [0.78, 6.38]1.35 [0.79, 2.31]2.09+ [0.95, 4.59]0.7 [0.35, 1.40]0.62* [0.38, 0.99]
Positive opinion about medicines availability at local private pharmacy2.30* [1.04, 5.10]0.83 [0.39, 1.78]0.9 [0.51, 1.59]1.3 [0.69, 2.48]0.85 [0.49, 1.46]

Exponentiated coefficients; 95% confidence intervals in brackets.

aHousehold with nine plus members.

+P < 0.10, *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001.

Discussion

LMIC health system policymakers need information about existing obstacles to community access to medicines for chronic conditions, information that is sorely lacking (Heneghan et al. 2013). In each of the five WHO national surveys carried out to evaluate access to medicines, we found that less than half of individuals diagnosed with a chronic disease and reported to be taking a prescribed medicine, actually had a medicine for that disease available at home. In Uganda, this proportion was below 2 in 10 individuals. To our knowledge, this study is the first to provide direct evidence about the widespread lack of access to medicines for chronic conditions in resource-limited settings, complementing and reinforcing indirect evidence about the lack of availability and affordability of medicines for chronic diseases in public and private healthcare facilities of LMICs (Cameron et al. 2009; Kotwani 2010; Cameron et al. 2011).

We observed large variations in the proportion of individuals with chronic disease(s) between surveys from LMICs. These differences are unlikely to be related to differences in the incidence of chronic diseases given similar proportions of elderly individuals and similar age standardized mortality rates for NCDs in the survey countries (Lozano et al. 2012). Lower proportions of reported chronic conditions in the African surveys may reflect higher barriers to accessing care and differences in the structure and efficiency of health care delivery systems (Ensor and Cooper 2004; Sachs 2012). In addition, chronic diseases were more likely to be reported in women than men in the three surveys from low-income countries, an observation consistent with previous reports suggesting that in resource-constrained settings, women may carry an advantage in accessing care by the nature of their reproductive health needs and their predominant caregiver role in the family (Wagner et al. 2013; Rilkoff et al. 2013).

The presence of medicines in households was strongly associated with reporting one or more chronic conditions. Reporting chronic diseases and having medicines at home may be proxy measures for access to medical care in a given setting. Indeed, the presence of medicines at home was linked to the socioeconomic status of households, i.e. poor and less educated households were less likely to keep any kind of medicine at home. We also found that respondents who were aware of the existence of generic medicines were more likely to keep medicines at home, as did those who had a negative opinion about medicines availability in public healthcare facilities. These observations may corroborate previous reports suggesting that knowledge and perceptions about diseases, health services, and medicines influence consumer behaviour in resource-constrained settings (Patel et al. 2012). They also underline the value of consumer surveys to evaluate and monitor acceptability, a key dimension of access to both health services and medicines (Thiede et al. 2007).

The presence of medicines at home does not necessarily mean that sick household members have access to appropriate medicines. That is why our definition of access was 2-fold: medicines indicated for the disease were reported as prescribed and taken, and their presence at home was verified by enumerators. Using this definition, our study underscores the economic dimension of access to medicines: a history of borrowing money to buy medicines decreased the likelihood of accessing medicines for chronic diseases whereas having insurance that covered some or all medicines costs increased access in each survey. Confidence intervals are wide because each survey’s insured population with chronic disease was small. Nevertheless, our results provide important insight in the context of each country. At the time of the surveys, national health insurance programmes existed in Jordan and Ghana, covering, respectively, 75 and 66% of the total population, and providing free medicines to the poor. The positive association of poverty with medicines access in the Jordanian survey suggests that universal health coverage policies may have had a positive impact on equity in access to medicines in that country. In contrast, access to medicines for chronic diseases in Ghana was associated with belonging to a richer household and with positive opinions about the availability of medicines in the private sector; these results may suggest that in 2008 the rich had better financial and geographic access to medicines than the poor, supporting earlier evidence that the national health insurance programme in Ghana favoured wealthier people at that time (Mills et al. 2012). Taken together, our findings illustrate that financial risk protection does not necessarily facilitate access to medicines for the poor (Evans et al. 2013; Kutzin 2013).

Our study also shows that consumer opinions about medicines do matter in resource-constrained settings, supporting arguments to promote more active participation of the population in order to improve access to medicines (Bigdeli et al. 2013; Van Olmen et al. 2011). In poor countries, consumer education on lifestyles that prevent NCDs and on the importance of adherence to treatments ought to be components of campaigns to improve use of medicines for chronic diseases, as well as promoting the use of quality generics, curbing unaffordable prices, and changing inappropriate prescribing by providers (James et al. 2009).

Finally, our study provides direct evidence about the lack of access to essential medicines to treat chronic diseases in several resource-constrained settings at a time when the international community coalesces to address the global epidemic of NCDs (Alleyne et al. 2013). It supports calls from the World Health Assembly to endorse the 2011 UN General Assembly Political Declaration on the Prevention and Control of NCDs to expand access to essential medicines for NCDs (World Health Assembly 2013). In some ways, the situation described by our findings evokes the early stages of the global HIV/AIDS epidemic, when very few infected patients had access to treatment. Countries used international aid to expand access to antiretroviral medicines, especially among the poor, and in the process strengthened pharmaceutical sectors (Embrey et al. 2009). Countries may be able to expand access to essential medicines for chronic diseases by building upon these efforts and by developing more equitable risk protection schemes.

Our study has significant limitations pertaining to the survey methodology that have been described in detail elsewhere (Vialle-Valentin et al. 2012). The WHO indicator survey methodology uses a small sample size and streamlines the data collection process to make it affordable in poor settings. As a result, remote areas may be under-represented, and variance underestimated. Of particular relevance here, even though enumerators are trained to follow strict criteria and interview the most knowledgeable person about the health of household members, the respondent may not be the person with the chronic disease. In addition, the questionnaire does not collect enough information to allow investigating access to healthcare and insurance coverage at the household level: e.g. we could not evaluate if and how household access to healthcare services and access to health insurance impact having medicines at home. In addition, enumerators did not collect data on the quality of the medicines they found and our analyses could not take into account medicines quality, a component of access that is particularly crucial in LMICs where medicines of substandard quality are a common finding (Twagirumukiza et al. 2009).

Conclusion

This article presents data on access to medicines for chronic diseases from five LMICs against which future progress can be measured.

Acknowledgements

We thank the WHO Department of Essential Medicines and Health Products in Geneva for providing the country data sets. We gratefully acknowledge WHO national medicines advisors, country teams and consultants who undertook surveys of medicines access and use, providing technical support for data collection and data entry. Financial support for the design and implementation of the surveys has been provided by the WHO Department of Essential Medicines and Health Products, Switzerland, and by the Department for International Development, UK, through the Medicines Transparency Alliance (MeTA).

Funding

The work was supported by WHO/Essential Medicines and Heatlth Products Grant 2010/102985-0 and by a grant from the Alliance for Health Policy and System Research (AHPSR), WHO, Geneva, Switzerland. Dr. Ross-Degnan is supported in part by the Health Delivery Systems Center for Diabetes Translational Research (HDS-CDTR) [NIDDK grant 1P30-DK092924].

Conflict of interest statement. None declared.

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Supplementary data