
Contents
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Russia’s Mortality Crisis Russia’s Mortality Crisis
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Analysis of Trends in Comparative Perspective Analysis of Trends in Comparative Perspective
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The Incomplete Health Transition The Incomplete Health Transition
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Huge Fluctuations in Mortality Rates: Competing Explanations Huge Fluctuations in Mortality Rates: Competing Explanations
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Health Care Technologies: Population Awareness of Healthy Lifestyles Health Care Technologies: Population Awareness of Healthy Lifestyles
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Fertility Fertility
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The Starting Point The Starting Point
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The Bleak 1990s The Bleak 1990s
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The Period Total Fertility Rate and Its Limitations The Period Total Fertility Rate and Its Limitations
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After the “Antirecord” of 1999 After the “Antirecord” of 1999
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The Launch of a Centerpiece Demographic Policy Including Maternal Capital The Launch of a Centerpiece Demographic Policy Including Maternal Capital
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Interim Balance Sheet Interim Balance Sheet
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Relevant International Experience Relevant International Experience
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Overall Population Prospects Overall Population Prospects
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Conclusions Conclusions
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Notes Notes
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References References
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33 Recent Demographic Developments in the Russian Federation
Get accessIrina Denisova is a Professor of Economics at the New Economic School of Moscow, and Lead Economist in the Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR) in Moscow. Her research interests include labor and health economics.
Judith Shapiro is a Faculty Member in the Department of Economics in the London School of Economics, and former Chief of the Transition Economies Section of the United Nations Economics Commission for Europe. Her major research focus is Russian mortality in the context of post-Soviet health and healthcare challenges, as well as on the impact of inflation on social welfare.
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Published:01 October 2013
Cite
Abstract
The immediate prospect of significant and extended decline in size of the economically active population in Russia has brought demographic questions to the policy forefront, despite the stabilization of the population crisis since 2005. The chapter analyzes the crisis’ determinants in adverse developments in already unusually high adult mortality, combined with a fall in birthrates, which is not unique but is sharp. Despite often substantial migration in-flows, the population declined by over 5 million; with guarded optimism, the chapter concludes that with a continued decline in mortality, centered on behavioral changes in the adult years and a stabilization of now-higher birthrates, it is possible to develop a menu of policy choices which will restrict population decline and substantially decrease present social welfare losses.
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