
Contents
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Predicting the Demise or Collapse of Religion Predicting the Demise or Collapse of Religion
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Secularization Comes Up Short Secularization Comes Up Short
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Data Collections Data Collections
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Analyzing and Defining Analyzing and Defining
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Resolving Apparently Contradictory Data Resolving Apparently Contradictory Data
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Global Religious Resurgence? Global Religious Resurgence?
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A Threefold Dynamic of Change in Religious Affiliations A Threefold Dynamic of Change in Religious Affiliations
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Births Births
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Deaths Deaths
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Births minus Deaths Births minus Deaths
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Converts Converts
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Defectors Defectors
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Converts minus Defectors Converts minus Defectors
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Immigrants Immigrants
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Emigrants Emigrants
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Immigrants minus Emigrants Immigrants minus Emigrants
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Current Trends in Religious Demography Current Trends in Religious Demography
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Analyzing Christian Data Analyzing Christian Data
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Examining One Country: The United States Examining One Country: The United States
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The Whole World, 1990–2000 The Whole World, 1990–2000
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Six Dynamics Related to Christianity Six Dynamics Related to Christianity
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Brazil and China Brazil and China
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Positive Factors Positive Factors
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Negative Factors Negative Factors
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United Nations Continental Areas United Nations Continental Areas
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Positive Factors Positive Factors
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Negative Factors Negative Factors
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Proportions of the Six Dynamics Proportions of the Six Dynamics
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Conclusion Conclusion
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Notes Notes
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Bibliography Bibliography
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2 Demographics of Religious Conversion
Get accessTodd M. Johnson is Associate Professor of Global Christianity and Director of the Center for the Study of Global Christianity at Gordon-Conwell Theological Seminary, Wenham, Massachusetts.
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Published:01 May 2014
Cite
Abstract
In the past twenty-five years, an enormous amount of data on religious affiliation has been collected and analyzed. New sources of information include government censuses (half the countries in the world include a religion question), records kept by religious communities (membership rolls), and published works by individual scholars (such as monographs on new religious movements). All sources of data on religion must be employed to understand the total context of religious affiliation. The dynamics of change in religious affiliation can be reduced to three sets of empirical population data that together enable us to enumerate the increase or decrease in adherents over time: (1) births minus deaths, (2) converts minus defectors, and (3) immigrants minus emigrants. Because Christian data is the most extensive, the six dynamics are examined for Christianity for the whole world, the United Nations regions, and China and Brazil.
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