
Contents
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Ideological Projects and Internal Security Ideological Projects and Internal Security
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Threat Perceptions Threat Perceptions
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Where Do Ideological Projects Come From? Where Do Ideological Projects Come From?
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Elites, Institutions, and Carrier Movements Elites, Institutions, and Carrier Movements
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Governments and Internal Security Governments and Internal Security
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Armed Group Ideological Positions Armed Group Ideological Positions
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From Ideology to Armed Order From Ideology to Armed Order
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Political Roles Political Roles
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Aligned: Armed Allies and Superfluous Supporters Aligned: Armed Allies and Superfluous Supporters
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Opposed: Mortal Enemies and Strange Bedfellows Opposed: Mortal Enemies and Strange Bedfellows
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Gray Zone: Business Partners and Undesirables Gray Zone: Business Partners and Undesirables
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Understanding Armed Politics Understanding Armed Politics
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1 The Politics of Threat Perception
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Published:December 2021
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Abstract
This chapter discusses ideological projects and how they inform threat perception. It presents two arguments. First, ideology plays a central role in how governments perceive threats from armed groups, which in turn drive the armed orders they pursue toward these groups. The chapter focuses on the extent and content of nationalist inclusion, the government's position on the religious–secular dimension, and the left–right redistributive ideology that the government pursues. Second, under some conditions, tactical incentives explain more fine-grained patterns of armed politics. The chapter then considers how tactical dynamics interact with ideological assessments to categorize groups into political roles, determine state strategies, and create particular patterns of armed order.
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