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Presidents and Partisan Polarization Presidents and Partisan Polarization
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The 2016 Election The 2016 Election
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Obama’s Antithesis Obama’s Antithesis
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Partisan Defections in 2016 Partisan Defections in 2016
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Trump’s First Fifteen Months in Office Trump’s First Fifteen Months in Office
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Macropartisanship Macropartisanship
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Trump and the Republican Party’s Reputation Trump and the Republican Party’s Reputation
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Trump and Party Affect Trump and Party Affect
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Trump and Congressional Republicans Trump and Congressional Republicans
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The 2018 Midterm Elections The 2018 Midterm Elections
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Nine Polarized Parties, the 2016 Elections, and the Early Trump Presidency
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Published:February 2019
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Abstract
This chapter argues that popular reactions to recent presidents have consistently reinforced the widening demographic, cultural, ideological, and even cognitive differences between ordinary Republicans and Democrats. Presidential candidates and presidents have thus been both the instruments and victims of the polarized partisanship that has emerged as the defining feature of American national politics during this century. Polarization was essential to the election of Donald Trump, whose campaign and conduct in office have so far served to magnify the demographic and cultural divisions between ordinary Democrats and Republicans. Although Trump executed a hostile takeover of the Republican Party and continues to attract vigorous criticism from many of its luminaries, his impact during his first year in office on how people view his party has been at least as large as that of previous presidents. In the intra-party struggle for the hearts and minds of ordinary Republicans, Trump has so far emerged as the consistent winner. But given his unpopularity outside core Republican circles, and especially among growing segments of the population, Trump’s dominance and prospective rebranding of the party threatens to erode its popular image, reputation, and appeal both immediately and for the long term.
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