Figure 8.
Illustration of the time course of μ3 (upper panels) and s(μ2) (lower panels) during observation of x1 (black diamonds) for 2 exemplary subjects with different parameters for ω and |$\vartheta $|. The true %CV is depicted as a dotted line. It can be seen that subject A (ω = −6.09; |$\vartheta = 0.\hbox{97}$|) shows slower updating of the probability estimate that the target will appear at the cued location than subject B (ω = −2.78; |$\vartheta = 0.\hbox{12}$|). This can be attributed to subject A's lower value of ω (reflecting the subject's belief in a less volatile environment).