FIGURE 11
Mediation analysis Notes: This figure shows the results of our mediation analysis. Panel (a) shows the decomposition of the overall treatment effect. In Panel (a), we include socio-emotional skills, parenting practices, and behaviour in class as mediators. Panel (b) shows the decomposition of socio-emotional skills. We decompose the treatment effect obtained from the unconditional outcome equation Yis=β1PATHSs+Xis′γ+θ+εis shown in equation (1) in the following way: dY/dPATHS=∑(∂Y/∂M)(∂M/∂PATHS)+R, where Y is the outcome, PATHS is the treatment indicator, M is a vector of k mediators (comprised of the variables included in socio-emotional skills, parenting practices, and behaviour in class), and R is the unexplained part of the treatment effect. We estimate two additional specifications. First, we estimate the conditional outcome equation augmented with the vector M: Yis=β2PATHSs+Misφ+Xis′γ+θ+ϵis. Second, we separately estimate the treatment effect of the intervention on each mediator j∈k: Misj=β3jPATHSs+Xis′γ+θ+vis. Given the longitudinal nature of our data, for all mediators we only consider measures obtained post-treatment and before the education outcome is measured. In case of multiple observations for the same mediator, we construct a summary index using the covariance weighting procedure discussed in Anderson (2008). The contribution of each mediator j∈k is then computed as the ratio φj×β3j/β1, which is shown in the colour-coded bars. The unexplained part, R, results from R=1−∑j=1k(φj×β3j/β1).

Mediation analysis Notes: This figure shows the results of our mediation analysis. Panel (a) shows the decomposition of the overall treatment effect. In Panel (a), we include socio-emotional skills, parenting practices, and behaviour in class as mediators. Panel (b) shows the decomposition of socio-emotional skills. We decompose the treatment effect obtained from the unconditional outcome equation Yis=β1PATHSs+Xisγ+θ+εis shown in equation (1) in the following way: dY/dPATHS=(Y/M)(M/PATHS)+R, where Y is the outcome, PATHS is the treatment indicator, M is a vector of k mediators (comprised of the variables included in socio-emotional skills, parenting practices, and behaviour in class), and R is the unexplained part of the treatment effect. We estimate two additional specifications. First, we estimate the conditional outcome equation augmented with the vector M: Yis=β2PATHSs+Misφ+Xisγ+θ+ϵis. Second, we separately estimate the treatment effect of the intervention on each mediator jk: Misj=β3jPATHSs+Xisγ+θ+vis. Given the longitudinal nature of our data, for all mediators we only consider measures obtained post-treatment and before the education outcome is measured. In case of multiple observations for the same mediator, we construct a summary index using the covariance weighting procedure discussed in Anderson (2008). The contribution of each mediator jk is then computed as the ratio φj×β3j/β1, which is shown in the colour-coded bars. The unexplained part, R, results from R=1j=1k(φj×β3j/β1).

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