(a) An isolation-with-initial-migration (IIM) model used to simulate data. The parameter values used are for population sizes for the thin branches and for the thick branches, for species divergence times. The number of sequences is , with the sequence length . The migration rate is . (b) The MSci model used to analyze the data. (c) The 95% HPD CIs for parameters, with black lines indicating the true values. Estimates of and are multiplied by .