Model predicted cumulative incidence of SARS-COV-2 infection (A), COVID-19-related hospital admissions (B), ICU admissions (C) and deaths (D) in France from 1 July 2020 to 1 February 2021. The grey area represents the actual observed data for France. The solid grey lines represent the uncertainty range (95% prediction range) stemming from the uncertainty in the parameter values. (A) no data are available for new infections, only for diagnosed cases