Effects of unmodeled bottlenecks in a daughter population on model choice and parameter estimates. Model choice and parameter estimates for the simple IM and SC models for simulations with T_S$=0.05−1.6$ and recent bottlenecks of different strengths at time T_B$=0.05$⁠. Panel (A) shows the simulation model, panel (B) shows estimated time of divergence T_S, panel (C) shows Akaike weights (W_AIC) for the correct model (IM) and panel (D) shows the inferred time of strict isolation (T_SI) as a proportion of total divergence time.