Forecasted vs. observed number of m ≥ 5 target events (depth ≤ 40 km). Asterisks indicate failure of the N-test at a critical significance value of 0.05, that is inconsistency between the total forecast expectation and the number of target events. See Fig. 11 for the corresponding spatial distributions of target events.
Observed/ . | CMT . | NEIC . | SHEEC . | SHEEC . |
---|---|---|---|---|
forecasted . | (6 yr) . | (6 yr) . | (10 yr) . | (20 yr) . |
SEIFA | 121/139.7 | 133/139.7 | 205/232.8 | 382/465.7* |
ASM | 113/179.5* | 122/179.5* | 205/299.2* | 382/589.3* |
Observed/ . | CMT . | NEIC . | SHEEC . | SHEEC . |
---|---|---|---|---|
forecasted . | (6 yr) . | (6 yr) . | (10 yr) . | (20 yr) . |
SEIFA | 121/139.7 | 133/139.7 | 205/232.8 | 382/465.7* |
ASM | 113/179.5* | 122/179.5* | 205/299.2* | 382/589.3* |
Forecasted vs. observed number of m ≥ 5 target events (depth ≤ 40 km). Asterisks indicate failure of the N-test at a critical significance value of 0.05, that is inconsistency between the total forecast expectation and the number of target events. See Fig. 11 for the corresponding spatial distributions of target events.
Observed/ . | CMT . | NEIC . | SHEEC . | SHEEC . |
---|---|---|---|---|
forecasted . | (6 yr) . | (6 yr) . | (10 yr) . | (20 yr) . |
SEIFA | 121/139.7 | 133/139.7 | 205/232.8 | 382/465.7* |
ASM | 113/179.5* | 122/179.5* | 205/299.2* | 382/589.3* |
Observed/ . | CMT . | NEIC . | SHEEC . | SHEEC . |
---|---|---|---|---|
forecasted . | (6 yr) . | (6 yr) . | (10 yr) . | (20 yr) . |
SEIFA | 121/139.7 | 133/139.7 | 205/232.8 | 382/465.7* |
ASM | 113/179.5* | 122/179.5* | 205/299.2* | 382/589.3* |
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