Table 4.

Log-likelihood scores at observed earthquake locations during the 10year.retro experiment. Cells with light grey shading indicate the forecasts with the highest log-likelihood; cells with dark grey shading indicate the forecasts with the lowest scores. The numbers 1–14 along the top row correspond to the forecast models: (1) UCERF2, (2) NSHMP, (3) Ebel-et-al.Mainshock.Corrected, (4) Helmstetter-et-al.Mainshock, (5) Holliday-et-al.PI, (6) Kagan-et-al.Mainshock, (7) Shen-et-al.Mainshock, (8) Ward.Combo81, (9) Ward.Geodetic81, (10) Ward.Geodetic85, (11) Ward.Geologic81, (12) Ward.Seismic81, (13) Ward.Simulation, and (14) Wiemer-Schorlemmer.ALM.

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Table 4.

Log-likelihood scores at observed earthquake locations during the 10year.retro experiment. Cells with light grey shading indicate the forecasts with the highest log-likelihood; cells with dark grey shading indicate the forecasts with the lowest scores. The numbers 1–14 along the top row correspond to the forecast models: (1) UCERF2, (2) NSHMP, (3) Ebel-et-al.Mainshock.Corrected, (4) Helmstetter-et-al.Mainshock, (5) Holliday-et-al.PI, (6) Kagan-et-al.Mainshock, (7) Shen-et-al.Mainshock, (8) Ward.Combo81, (9) Ward.Geodetic81, (10) Ward.Geodetic85, (11) Ward.Geologic81, (12) Ward.Seismic81, (13) Ward.Simulation, and (14) Wiemer-Schorlemmer.ALM.

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