Table 3:

Externally validated risk equations for predicting kidney failure in patients with CKD G3–G5.

EquationVariablesPopulationOutcomeDiscriminationWebsite
KFRE [41]Age, sex, eGFR, ACR for 4-variable equation + calcium, phosphate, bicarbonate, albumin for 8-variable equation>1 million patients with >10 000 events from more than 30 countriesTreated kidney failure at 2 and 5 years0.88–0.91www.kidneyfailurerisk.com;
www.ckdpc.org/risk-models.html
KPNW [42]Age, sex, eGFR, albuminuria, systolic BP, antihypertensive use, diabetes, diabetic complications39 103 patients with 1097 events from the Kaiser Permanente Health System (USA)Kidney failure at 5 years0.95
Landray et al. [43]Sex, SCr, albuminuria, phosphate595 patients from the CRIB and East Kent cohorts (UK)Kidney failure0.91
Z6 score [44]SCr, albumin, cystatin C, urea, haemoglobin, uACR7978 patients with 870 events from the German CKD study and validated in 3 additional European cohortsKidney failure at 5 years0.89–0.92
KDpredict [45]Age, sex, eGFR, uACR/uPCR, for 4-variable equation + diabetes, cardiovascular disease for 6-variable model67 492 patients from Alberta Canada and validated in 17 528 patients from Denmark and 7740 patients from ScotlandKidney failure at 2 and 5 years (and all-cause death)0.88–0.94http://kdpredict.com
EquationVariablesPopulationOutcomeDiscriminationWebsite
KFRE [41]Age, sex, eGFR, ACR for 4-variable equation + calcium, phosphate, bicarbonate, albumin for 8-variable equation>1 million patients with >10 000 events from more than 30 countriesTreated kidney failure at 2 and 5 years0.88–0.91www.kidneyfailurerisk.com;
www.ckdpc.org/risk-models.html
KPNW [42]Age, sex, eGFR, albuminuria, systolic BP, antihypertensive use, diabetes, diabetic complications39 103 patients with 1097 events from the Kaiser Permanente Health System (USA)Kidney failure at 5 years0.95
Landray et al. [43]Sex, SCr, albuminuria, phosphate595 patients from the CRIB and East Kent cohorts (UK)Kidney failure0.91
Z6 score [44]SCr, albumin, cystatin C, urea, haemoglobin, uACR7978 patients with 870 events from the German CKD study and validated in 3 additional European cohortsKidney failure at 5 years0.89–0.92
KDpredict [45]Age, sex, eGFR, uACR/uPCR, for 4-variable equation + diabetes, cardiovascular disease for 6-variable model67 492 patients from Alberta Canada and validated in 17 528 patients from Denmark and 7740 patients from ScotlandKidney failure at 2 and 5 years (and all-cause death)0.88–0.94http://kdpredict.com

BP, blood pressure; CRIB, Chronic Renal Impairment in Birmingham; KPMW, Kaiser Permanente Northwest; SCr, serum creatinine.

Table 3:

Externally validated risk equations for predicting kidney failure in patients with CKD G3–G5.

EquationVariablesPopulationOutcomeDiscriminationWebsite
KFRE [41]Age, sex, eGFR, ACR for 4-variable equation + calcium, phosphate, bicarbonate, albumin for 8-variable equation>1 million patients with >10 000 events from more than 30 countriesTreated kidney failure at 2 and 5 years0.88–0.91www.kidneyfailurerisk.com;
www.ckdpc.org/risk-models.html
KPNW [42]Age, sex, eGFR, albuminuria, systolic BP, antihypertensive use, diabetes, diabetic complications39 103 patients with 1097 events from the Kaiser Permanente Health System (USA)Kidney failure at 5 years0.95
Landray et al. [43]Sex, SCr, albuminuria, phosphate595 patients from the CRIB and East Kent cohorts (UK)Kidney failure0.91
Z6 score [44]SCr, albumin, cystatin C, urea, haemoglobin, uACR7978 patients with 870 events from the German CKD study and validated in 3 additional European cohortsKidney failure at 5 years0.89–0.92
KDpredict [45]Age, sex, eGFR, uACR/uPCR, for 4-variable equation + diabetes, cardiovascular disease for 6-variable model67 492 patients from Alberta Canada and validated in 17 528 patients from Denmark and 7740 patients from ScotlandKidney failure at 2 and 5 years (and all-cause death)0.88–0.94http://kdpredict.com
EquationVariablesPopulationOutcomeDiscriminationWebsite
KFRE [41]Age, sex, eGFR, ACR for 4-variable equation + calcium, phosphate, bicarbonate, albumin for 8-variable equation>1 million patients with >10 000 events from more than 30 countriesTreated kidney failure at 2 and 5 years0.88–0.91www.kidneyfailurerisk.com;
www.ckdpc.org/risk-models.html
KPNW [42]Age, sex, eGFR, albuminuria, systolic BP, antihypertensive use, diabetes, diabetic complications39 103 patients with 1097 events from the Kaiser Permanente Health System (USA)Kidney failure at 5 years0.95
Landray et al. [43]Sex, SCr, albuminuria, phosphate595 patients from the CRIB and East Kent cohorts (UK)Kidney failure0.91
Z6 score [44]SCr, albumin, cystatin C, urea, haemoglobin, uACR7978 patients with 870 events from the German CKD study and validated in 3 additional European cohortsKidney failure at 5 years0.89–0.92
KDpredict [45]Age, sex, eGFR, uACR/uPCR, for 4-variable equation + diabetes, cardiovascular disease for 6-variable model67 492 patients from Alberta Canada and validated in 17 528 patients from Denmark and 7740 patients from ScotlandKidney failure at 2 and 5 years (and all-cause death)0.88–0.94http://kdpredict.com

BP, blood pressure; CRIB, Chronic Renal Impairment in Birmingham; KPMW, Kaiser Permanente Northwest; SCr, serum creatinine.

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