Table 3.

Basic observational signatures of Pop III BBH mergers for the 18 models listed in Table 2. Column 1: model name. Columns 2: all-sky merger rate |$\dot{\mathcal {N}}$| (equation 24) for all mergers within |$z\lt 1$|⁠. Column 3: fraction |$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$| of all-sky merger rate contributed by NSC mergers for |$z\lt 1$|⁠. Column 4: fraction |$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$| of all-sky merger rate of BBH mergers contributed by Pop III stars for |$z\lt 1$|⁠. Column 5: all-sky merger rate |$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$| of Pop III BBHs with at least one IMBH (i.e. |$m_{1}\gt 100\ \rm M_\odot$|⁠) for |$z\lt 1$|⁠. Columns 6–9: same as Columns 2–5 but for |$z\lt 20$|⁠. Columns 10 and 11: peak value |$\Omega _{\rm GW}^{\rm peak}$| and location |$\nu _{\rm peak}$| of the SGWB energy spectrum from Pop III BBH mergers. Column 12: maximum ratio |$f_{\rm SGWB}^{\rm PopIII}$| between the SGWB produced by Pop III BBH mergers and the conservative prediction of the SGWB from Pop I/II and PBH mergers by Bavera et al. (2022). Given the optimistic results for the total SGWB inferred from GWTC-3 events (Abbott et al. 2023a) as the reference, the maximum contribution of Pop III BBH mergers to the total SGWB is approximately |$f_{\rm SGWB}^{\rm PopIII}/5$|⁠.

Model|$\dot{\mathcal {N}}\ [\rm yr^{-1}]$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}\ [\rm yr^{-1}]$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$||$\Omega _{\rm GW}^{\rm peak}$||$\nu _{\rm peak}$||$f_{\rm SGWB}^{\rm PopIII}$|
|$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$[10^{-12}]$|[Hz]
LOG1_obs8.9541.6%0.423%1.346504.75%2.93%11.610.41413.5%
TOP1_obs4.8763%0.231%2.182648.41%1.21%16.213.812.618.7%
KRO1_obs21.230.9%0.998%0.30414003.35%6.12%2.5611.81059.05%
LOG5_obs10.191.9%0.476%5.3515154%0.697%48.328.713.140.6%
TOP5_obs10.696%0.499%8.5311770.4%0.539%70.744.812.664.8%
KRO5_obs10.588.9%0.494%1.1917444.3%0.799%11.210.892.811.7%
LOG1_full13.462.4%0.631%2.870712.7%3.17%32.517.613.126.4%
TOP1_full8.178.7%0.383%4.3330921.9%1.41%48.224.611.639.2%
KRO1_full28.250.2%1.32%0.61514909.56%6.48%6.9116.798.613%
LOG5_full20.796.2%0.973%10.931077.7%1.42%14050.411.683.6%
TOP5_full20.798.2%0.974%16.727987.7%1.28%20778.911.2134%
KRO5_full2194.7%0.988%2.3832069.9%1.46%3019.383.923.3%
LOG1_low833.9%0.379%1.086261.05%2.82%2.761114.813.3%
TOP1_low4.0254.9%0.191%1.612482.3%1.14%4.3214.714.517.9%
KRO1_low1921.6%0.893%0.23513700.66%5.97%0.5610.71168.37%
LOG5_low889.7%0.378%4.4787.420.2%0.404%11.733.214.540.3%
TOP5_low8.2295.1%0.389%6.8154.836.9%0.253%17.952.314.264.1%
KRO5_low7.2683.9%0.343%0.94511012.2%0.508%2.449.4710110.5%
Model|$\dot{\mathcal {N}}\ [\rm yr^{-1}]$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}\ [\rm yr^{-1}]$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$||$\Omega _{\rm GW}^{\rm peak}$||$\nu _{\rm peak}$||$f_{\rm SGWB}^{\rm PopIII}$|
|$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$[10^{-12}]$|[Hz]
LOG1_obs8.9541.6%0.423%1.346504.75%2.93%11.610.41413.5%
TOP1_obs4.8763%0.231%2.182648.41%1.21%16.213.812.618.7%
KRO1_obs21.230.9%0.998%0.30414003.35%6.12%2.5611.81059.05%
LOG5_obs10.191.9%0.476%5.3515154%0.697%48.328.713.140.6%
TOP5_obs10.696%0.499%8.5311770.4%0.539%70.744.812.664.8%
KRO5_obs10.588.9%0.494%1.1917444.3%0.799%11.210.892.811.7%
LOG1_full13.462.4%0.631%2.870712.7%3.17%32.517.613.126.4%
TOP1_full8.178.7%0.383%4.3330921.9%1.41%48.224.611.639.2%
KRO1_full28.250.2%1.32%0.61514909.56%6.48%6.9116.798.613%
LOG5_full20.796.2%0.973%10.931077.7%1.42%14050.411.683.6%
TOP5_full20.798.2%0.974%16.727987.7%1.28%20778.911.2134%
KRO5_full2194.7%0.988%2.3832069.9%1.46%3019.383.923.3%
LOG1_low833.9%0.379%1.086261.05%2.82%2.761114.813.3%
TOP1_low4.0254.9%0.191%1.612482.3%1.14%4.3214.714.517.9%
KRO1_low1921.6%0.893%0.23513700.66%5.97%0.5610.71168.37%
LOG5_low889.7%0.378%4.4787.420.2%0.404%11.733.214.540.3%
TOP5_low8.2295.1%0.389%6.8154.836.9%0.253%17.952.314.264.1%
KRO5_low7.2683.9%0.343%0.94511012.2%0.508%2.449.4710110.5%
Table 3.

Basic observational signatures of Pop III BBH mergers for the 18 models listed in Table 2. Column 1: model name. Columns 2: all-sky merger rate |$\dot{\mathcal {N}}$| (equation 24) for all mergers within |$z\lt 1$|⁠. Column 3: fraction |$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$| of all-sky merger rate contributed by NSC mergers for |$z\lt 1$|⁠. Column 4: fraction |$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$| of all-sky merger rate of BBH mergers contributed by Pop III stars for |$z\lt 1$|⁠. Column 5: all-sky merger rate |$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$| of Pop III BBHs with at least one IMBH (i.e. |$m_{1}\gt 100\ \rm M_\odot$|⁠) for |$z\lt 1$|⁠. Columns 6–9: same as Columns 2–5 but for |$z\lt 20$|⁠. Columns 10 and 11: peak value |$\Omega _{\rm GW}^{\rm peak}$| and location |$\nu _{\rm peak}$| of the SGWB energy spectrum from Pop III BBH mergers. Column 12: maximum ratio |$f_{\rm SGWB}^{\rm PopIII}$| between the SGWB produced by Pop III BBH mergers and the conservative prediction of the SGWB from Pop I/II and PBH mergers by Bavera et al. (2022). Given the optimistic results for the total SGWB inferred from GWTC-3 events (Abbott et al. 2023a) as the reference, the maximum contribution of Pop III BBH mergers to the total SGWB is approximately |$f_{\rm SGWB}^{\rm PopIII}/5$|⁠.

Model|$\dot{\mathcal {N}}\ [\rm yr^{-1}]$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}\ [\rm yr^{-1}]$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$||$\Omega _{\rm GW}^{\rm peak}$||$\nu _{\rm peak}$||$f_{\rm SGWB}^{\rm PopIII}$|
|$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$[10^{-12}]$|[Hz]
LOG1_obs8.9541.6%0.423%1.346504.75%2.93%11.610.41413.5%
TOP1_obs4.8763%0.231%2.182648.41%1.21%16.213.812.618.7%
KRO1_obs21.230.9%0.998%0.30414003.35%6.12%2.5611.81059.05%
LOG5_obs10.191.9%0.476%5.3515154%0.697%48.328.713.140.6%
TOP5_obs10.696%0.499%8.5311770.4%0.539%70.744.812.664.8%
KRO5_obs10.588.9%0.494%1.1917444.3%0.799%11.210.892.811.7%
LOG1_full13.462.4%0.631%2.870712.7%3.17%32.517.613.126.4%
TOP1_full8.178.7%0.383%4.3330921.9%1.41%48.224.611.639.2%
KRO1_full28.250.2%1.32%0.61514909.56%6.48%6.9116.798.613%
LOG5_full20.796.2%0.973%10.931077.7%1.42%14050.411.683.6%
TOP5_full20.798.2%0.974%16.727987.7%1.28%20778.911.2134%
KRO5_full2194.7%0.988%2.3832069.9%1.46%3019.383.923.3%
LOG1_low833.9%0.379%1.086261.05%2.82%2.761114.813.3%
TOP1_low4.0254.9%0.191%1.612482.3%1.14%4.3214.714.517.9%
KRO1_low1921.6%0.893%0.23513700.66%5.97%0.5610.71168.37%
LOG5_low889.7%0.378%4.4787.420.2%0.404%11.733.214.540.3%
TOP5_low8.2295.1%0.389%6.8154.836.9%0.253%17.952.314.264.1%
KRO5_low7.2683.9%0.343%0.94511012.2%0.508%2.449.4710110.5%
Model|$\dot{\mathcal {N}}\ [\rm yr^{-1}]$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}\ [\rm yr^{-1}]$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm NSC}$||$\mathcal {F}_{\rm PopIII}$||$\dot{\mathcal {N}}_{\rm IMBH}$||$\Omega _{\rm GW}^{\rm peak}$||$\nu _{\rm peak}$||$f_{\rm SGWB}^{\rm PopIII}$|
|$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 1)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$(z\lt 20)$||$[10^{-12}]$|[Hz]
LOG1_obs8.9541.6%0.423%1.346504.75%2.93%11.610.41413.5%
TOP1_obs4.8763%0.231%2.182648.41%1.21%16.213.812.618.7%
KRO1_obs21.230.9%0.998%0.30414003.35%6.12%2.5611.81059.05%
LOG5_obs10.191.9%0.476%5.3515154%0.697%48.328.713.140.6%
TOP5_obs10.696%0.499%8.5311770.4%0.539%70.744.812.664.8%
KRO5_obs10.588.9%0.494%1.1917444.3%0.799%11.210.892.811.7%
LOG1_full13.462.4%0.631%2.870712.7%3.17%32.517.613.126.4%
TOP1_full8.178.7%0.383%4.3330921.9%1.41%48.224.611.639.2%
KRO1_full28.250.2%1.32%0.61514909.56%6.48%6.9116.798.613%
LOG5_full20.796.2%0.973%10.931077.7%1.42%14050.411.683.6%
TOP5_full20.798.2%0.974%16.727987.7%1.28%20778.911.2134%
KRO5_full2194.7%0.988%2.3832069.9%1.46%3019.383.923.3%
LOG1_low833.9%0.379%1.086261.05%2.82%2.761114.813.3%
TOP1_low4.0254.9%0.191%1.612482.3%1.14%4.3214.714.517.9%
KRO1_low1921.6%0.893%0.23513700.66%5.97%0.5610.71168.37%
LOG5_low889.7%0.378%4.4787.420.2%0.404%11.733.214.540.3%
TOP5_low8.2295.1%0.389%6.8154.836.9%0.253%17.952.314.264.1%
KRO5_low7.2683.9%0.343%0.94511012.2%0.508%2.449.4710110.5%
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