Table 4.

Change in the reform indicator in the electoral cycle (normalized by one standard deviation).

AllWeak economic conditionsStrong economic conditions
Reform_ey0.4100.4320.381
Reform_ey (+)0.4910.5030.474
Reversal_ey (−)−0.072−0.065−0.081
Reform_term0.6280.6870.555
Reform_term (+)0.6800.7290.620
Reversal_term (−)−0.043−0.037−0.049
AllWeak economic conditionsStrong economic conditions
Reform_ey0.4100.4320.381
Reform_ey (+)0.4910.5030.474
Reversal_ey (−)−0.072−0.065−0.081
Reform_term0.6280.6870.555
Reform_term (+)0.6800.7290.620
Reversal_term (−)−0.043−0.037−0.049

Notes: Reform_ey and Reform_term denote reforms in the election year and in the rest of the incumbent leader's term, respectively. Reform (+) and Reversal (−) denote liberalization and tightening reforms, respectively. Weak and strong economic conditions are defined as in equation (2).

Table 4.

Change in the reform indicator in the electoral cycle (normalized by one standard deviation).

AllWeak economic conditionsStrong economic conditions
Reform_ey0.4100.4320.381
Reform_ey (+)0.4910.5030.474
Reversal_ey (−)−0.072−0.065−0.081
Reform_term0.6280.6870.555
Reform_term (+)0.6800.7290.620
Reversal_term (−)−0.043−0.037−0.049
AllWeak economic conditionsStrong economic conditions
Reform_ey0.4100.4320.381
Reform_ey (+)0.4910.5030.474
Reversal_ey (−)−0.072−0.065−0.081
Reform_term0.6280.6870.555
Reform_term (+)0.6800.7290.620
Reversal_term (−)−0.043−0.037−0.049

Notes: Reform_ey and Reform_term denote reforms in the election year and in the rest of the incumbent leader's term, respectively. Reform (+) and Reversal (−) denote liberalization and tightening reforms, respectively. Weak and strong economic conditions are defined as in equation (2).

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