Table 3.

Estimated Overall Risk of Recurrence and Relative Risk by HIV Status Under 5 Strategies for Handling Post-treatment Deaths

Adjusted for Missing FUNot Adjusted for Missing FU
StrategyOverall Risk per 1000aRelative Riska,bOverall Risk
Per 1000a
Relative
Riska,b
Observed recurrence7.4
(3.3–12.8)
1.2
(0.0–5.1)
8.0
(3.3–13.6)
1.3
(0.0–5.1)
Hypothetical recurrence7.6
(3.3–13.0)
1.2
(0.0–4.8)
8.1
(3.3–13.8)
1.3
(0.0–4.8)
Observed composite/any25.5
(15.3–38.1)
0.6
(0.1–1.7)
21.7
(14.2–29.9)
0.8
(0.1–2.1)
Observed composite/probable11.7
(6.4–18.2)
0.7
(0.0–2.7)
12.9
(7.1–19.6)
0.7
(0.0–2.6)
Observed composite/explicit8.6
(4.1–14.4)
1.0
(0.0–3.8)
9.6
(4.8–15.8)
1.0
(0.0–3.7)
Adjusted for Missing FUNot Adjusted for Missing FU
StrategyOverall Risk per 1000aRelative Riska,bOverall Risk
Per 1000a
Relative
Riska,b
Observed recurrence7.4
(3.3–12.8)
1.2
(0.0–5.1)
8.0
(3.3–13.6)
1.3
(0.0–5.1)
Hypothetical recurrence7.6
(3.3–13.0)
1.2
(0.0–4.8)
8.1
(3.3–13.8)
1.3
(0.0–4.8)
Observed composite/any25.5
(15.3–38.1)
0.6
(0.1–1.7)
21.7
(14.2–29.9)
0.8
(0.1–2.1)
Observed composite/probable11.7
(6.4–18.2)
0.7
(0.0–2.7)
12.9
(7.1–19.6)
0.7
(0.0–2.6)
Observed composite/explicit8.6
(4.1–14.4)
1.0
(0.0–3.8)
9.6
(4.8–15.8)
1.0
(0.0–3.7)

Abbreviations: FU, follow-up; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus.

a95% credible intervals are constructed as the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of the 1000 bootstrap sample estimates.

bRelative risk is comparing the risk of outcome among people with HIV (numerator) and this risk among people without HIV (denominator).

Table 3.

Estimated Overall Risk of Recurrence and Relative Risk by HIV Status Under 5 Strategies for Handling Post-treatment Deaths

Adjusted for Missing FUNot Adjusted for Missing FU
StrategyOverall Risk per 1000aRelative Riska,bOverall Risk
Per 1000a
Relative
Riska,b
Observed recurrence7.4
(3.3–12.8)
1.2
(0.0–5.1)
8.0
(3.3–13.6)
1.3
(0.0–5.1)
Hypothetical recurrence7.6
(3.3–13.0)
1.2
(0.0–4.8)
8.1
(3.3–13.8)
1.3
(0.0–4.8)
Observed composite/any25.5
(15.3–38.1)
0.6
(0.1–1.7)
21.7
(14.2–29.9)
0.8
(0.1–2.1)
Observed composite/probable11.7
(6.4–18.2)
0.7
(0.0–2.7)
12.9
(7.1–19.6)
0.7
(0.0–2.6)
Observed composite/explicit8.6
(4.1–14.4)
1.0
(0.0–3.8)
9.6
(4.8–15.8)
1.0
(0.0–3.7)
Adjusted for Missing FUNot Adjusted for Missing FU
StrategyOverall Risk per 1000aRelative Riska,bOverall Risk
Per 1000a
Relative
Riska,b
Observed recurrence7.4
(3.3–12.8)
1.2
(0.0–5.1)
8.0
(3.3–13.6)
1.3
(0.0–5.1)
Hypothetical recurrence7.6
(3.3–13.0)
1.2
(0.0–4.8)
8.1
(3.3–13.8)
1.3
(0.0–4.8)
Observed composite/any25.5
(15.3–38.1)
0.6
(0.1–1.7)
21.7
(14.2–29.9)
0.8
(0.1–2.1)
Observed composite/probable11.7
(6.4–18.2)
0.7
(0.0–2.7)
12.9
(7.1–19.6)
0.7
(0.0–2.6)
Observed composite/explicit8.6
(4.1–14.4)
1.0
(0.0–3.8)
9.6
(4.8–15.8)
1.0
(0.0–3.7)

Abbreviations: FU, follow-up; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus.

a95% credible intervals are constructed as the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of the 1000 bootstrap sample estimates.

bRelative risk is comparing the risk of outcome among people with HIV (numerator) and this risk among people without HIV (denominator).

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