Table 4

Externally validated model performance on a cohort with patients from the non-random selected regions

ModelsAUROC (absolute decline compared to the internal performance)
HFStrokeCHD
BEHRT0.909 (−0.044)0.932 (−0.025)0.929 (−0.022)
QRISK30.883 (−0.012)0.865 (−0.009)0.830 (−0.008)
RF (QRISK)0.883 (−0.014)0.866 (−0.011)0.840 (−0.010)
ASSIGN0.873 (−0.012)0.852 (−0.003)0.823 (−0.006)
RF (ASSIGN)0.874 (−0.010)0.853 (−0.006)0.827 (−0.006)
Framingham0.871 (−0.012)0.862 (−0.007)0.821 (−0.010)
RF (Framingham)0.873 (−0.011)0.855 (−0.013)0.826 (−0.010)
ModelsAUROC (absolute decline compared to the internal performance)
HFStrokeCHD
BEHRT0.909 (−0.044)0.932 (−0.025)0.929 (−0.022)
QRISK30.883 (−0.012)0.865 (−0.009)0.830 (−0.008)
RF (QRISK)0.883 (−0.014)0.866 (−0.011)0.840 (−0.010)
ASSIGN0.873 (−0.012)0.852 (−0.003)0.823 (−0.006)
RF (ASSIGN)0.874 (−0.010)0.853 (−0.006)0.827 (−0.006)
Framingham0.871 (−0.012)0.862 (−0.007)0.821 (−0.010)
RF (Framingham)0.873 (−0.011)0.855 (−0.013)0.826 (−0.010)
Table 4

Externally validated model performance on a cohort with patients from the non-random selected regions

ModelsAUROC (absolute decline compared to the internal performance)
HFStrokeCHD
BEHRT0.909 (−0.044)0.932 (−0.025)0.929 (−0.022)
QRISK30.883 (−0.012)0.865 (−0.009)0.830 (−0.008)
RF (QRISK)0.883 (−0.014)0.866 (−0.011)0.840 (−0.010)
ASSIGN0.873 (−0.012)0.852 (−0.003)0.823 (−0.006)
RF (ASSIGN)0.874 (−0.010)0.853 (−0.006)0.827 (−0.006)
Framingham0.871 (−0.012)0.862 (−0.007)0.821 (−0.010)
RF (Framingham)0.873 (−0.011)0.855 (−0.013)0.826 (−0.010)
ModelsAUROC (absolute decline compared to the internal performance)
HFStrokeCHD
BEHRT0.909 (−0.044)0.932 (−0.025)0.929 (−0.022)
QRISK30.883 (−0.012)0.865 (−0.009)0.830 (−0.008)
RF (QRISK)0.883 (−0.014)0.866 (−0.011)0.840 (−0.010)
ASSIGN0.873 (−0.012)0.852 (−0.003)0.823 (−0.006)
RF (ASSIGN)0.874 (−0.010)0.853 (−0.006)0.827 (−0.006)
Framingham0.871 (−0.012)0.862 (−0.007)0.821 (−0.010)
RF (Framingham)0.873 (−0.011)0.855 (−0.013)0.826 (−0.010)
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