Posterior predictive medians (95% probability intervals) for the number of infected and culled farms and the amount of compensation paid
| Radius (km) . | No. infected farms . | No. culled farms . | Compensation paid (€ millions) . |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 443 (151, 644) | 443 (151, 644) | 24.8 (8.62, 35.9) |
| 1 | 297 (110, 535) | 489 (215, 709) | 27.2(12.2, 38.9) |
| 2 | 283 (108, 608) | 488 (217, 740) | 27.5 (12.2, 41.7) |
| 3 | 283 (112, 582) | 517 (242, 775) | 29.0 (13.2, 43.1) |
| 4 | 274 (105, 564) | 512 (228, 793) | 28.5 (12.3, 43.9) |
| 5 | 280 (109, 549) | 527 (226, 797) | 39.2 (12.4, 41.9) |
| Radius (km) . | No. infected farms . | No. culled farms . | Compensation paid (€ millions) . |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 443 (151, 644) | 443 (151, 644) | 24.8 (8.62, 35.9) |
| 1 | 297 (110, 535) | 489 (215, 709) | 27.2(12.2, 38.9) |
| 2 | 283 (108, 608) | 488 (217, 740) | 27.5 (12.2, 41.7) |
| 3 | 283 (112, 582) | 517 (242, 775) | 29.0 (13.2, 43.1) |
| 4 | 274 (105, 564) | 512 (228, 793) | 28.5 (12.3, 43.9) |
| 5 | 280 (109, 549) | 527 (226, 797) | 39.2 (12.4, 41.9) |
Posterior predictive medians (95% probability intervals) for the number of infected and culled farms and the amount of compensation paid
| Radius (km) . | No. infected farms . | No. culled farms . | Compensation paid (€ millions) . |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 443 (151, 644) | 443 (151, 644) | 24.8 (8.62, 35.9) |
| 1 | 297 (110, 535) | 489 (215, 709) | 27.2(12.2, 38.9) |
| 2 | 283 (108, 608) | 488 (217, 740) | 27.5 (12.2, 41.7) |
| 3 | 283 (112, 582) | 517 (242, 775) | 29.0 (13.2, 43.1) |
| 4 | 274 (105, 564) | 512 (228, 793) | 28.5 (12.3, 43.9) |
| 5 | 280 (109, 549) | 527 (226, 797) | 39.2 (12.4, 41.9) |
| Radius (km) . | No. infected farms . | No. culled farms . | Compensation paid (€ millions) . |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 443 (151, 644) | 443 (151, 644) | 24.8 (8.62, 35.9) |
| 1 | 297 (110, 535) | 489 (215, 709) | 27.2(12.2, 38.9) |
| 2 | 283 (108, 608) | 488 (217, 740) | 27.5 (12.2, 41.7) |
| 3 | 283 (112, 582) | 517 (242, 775) | 29.0 (13.2, 43.1) |
| 4 | 274 (105, 564) | 512 (228, 793) | 28.5 (12.3, 43.9) |
| 5 | 280 (109, 549) | 527 (226, 797) | 39.2 (12.4, 41.9) |
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