Table 6.

Pairwise difference in LOO scores for all models considered. Positive number means the model in the row is preferred. Significance, sig(ΔLOOrow, column), of the scores are indicated in with the parentheses. Total LOO score for each more and its standard error are shown in the bottom two rows. In order of descending LOO score (highest to lowest predictive accuracy), the models are |$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$|⁠, |$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$|⁠, |$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$|⁠, and |$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|⁠.

ΔLOOrow, column
|$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$||$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$||$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$||$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|
|$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$|29.5(3.5)8.6(1.5)76.5(4.6)
|$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$|−29.5(3.5)−20.9(2.2)47.1(3.4)
|$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$|−8.6(1.5)20.9(2.2)67.9(5.4)
|$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|−76.5(4.6)−47.1(3.4)−67.9(5.4)
LOO|$_{\mathcal {M}}$|−215.6−245.0−224.1−292.1
se(LOO|$_{\mathcal {M}}$|⁠)38.337.833.226.0
ΔLOOrow, column
|$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$||$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$||$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$||$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|
|$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$|29.5(3.5)8.6(1.5)76.5(4.6)
|$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$|−29.5(3.5)−20.9(2.2)47.1(3.4)
|$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$|−8.6(1.5)20.9(2.2)67.9(5.4)
|$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|−76.5(4.6)−47.1(3.4)−67.9(5.4)
LOO|$_{\mathcal {M}}$|−215.6−245.0−224.1−292.1
se(LOO|$_{\mathcal {M}}$|⁠)38.337.833.226.0
Table 6.

Pairwise difference in LOO scores for all models considered. Positive number means the model in the row is preferred. Significance, sig(ΔLOOrow, column), of the scores are indicated in with the parentheses. Total LOO score for each more and its standard error are shown in the bottom two rows. In order of descending LOO score (highest to lowest predictive accuracy), the models are |$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$|⁠, |$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$|⁠, |$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$|⁠, and |$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|⁠.

ΔLOOrow, column
|$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$||$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$||$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$||$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|
|$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$|29.5(3.5)8.6(1.5)76.5(4.6)
|$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$|−29.5(3.5)−20.9(2.2)47.1(3.4)
|$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$|−8.6(1.5)20.9(2.2)67.9(5.4)
|$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|−76.5(4.6)−47.1(3.4)−67.9(5.4)
LOO|$_{\mathcal {M}}$|−215.6−245.0−224.1−292.1
se(LOO|$_{\mathcal {M}}$|⁠)38.337.833.226.0
ΔLOOrow, column
|$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$||$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$||$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$||$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|
|$\mathcal {M}_{DC}$|29.5(3.5)8.6(1.5)76.5(4.6)
|$\mathcal {M}_{DW}$|−29.5(3.5)−20.9(2.2)47.1(3.4)
|$\mathcal {M}_{NC}$|−8.6(1.5)20.9(2.2)67.9(5.4)
|$\mathcal {M}_{NW}$|−76.5(4.6)−47.1(3.4)−67.9(5.4)
LOO|$_{\mathcal {M}}$|−215.6−245.0−224.1−292.1
se(LOO|$_{\mathcal {M}}$|⁠)38.337.833.226.0
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