Table 3

Deterministic sensitivity analyses

ScenarioValueCost per gained QALY (€)
Time horizon5 years78 049
10 years19 092
15 years7855
Discount rate0%34
5%7874
Prevalence of unknown AF (in 75-years-old individuals)1%26 892
5%373
Yearly spontaneous detection of AF0%2590
10%6232
OAC adherence50%12 423
100%3661
CHA2DS2-VASc (mean)2.516 176
4.5–628
Asymptomatic AF stroke risk (in relation to symptomatic AF)+25%−1467
−25%15 090
−50%40 422
Warfarin (used as OAC)4040
Discontinuation rate OAC20% year 1 (decreases yearly with 30%)10 175
ScenarioValueCost per gained QALY (€)
Time horizon5 years78 049
10 years19 092
15 years7855
Discount rate0%34
5%7874
Prevalence of unknown AF (in 75-years-old individuals)1%26 892
5%373
Yearly spontaneous detection of AF0%2590
10%6232
OAC adherence50%12 423
100%3661
CHA2DS2-VASc (mean)2.516 176
4.5–628
Asymptomatic AF stroke risk (in relation to symptomatic AF)+25%−1467
−25%15 090
−50%40 422
Warfarin (used as OAC)4040
Discontinuation rate OAC20% year 1 (decreases yearly with 30%)10 175
Table 3

Deterministic sensitivity analyses

ScenarioValueCost per gained QALY (€)
Time horizon5 years78 049
10 years19 092
15 years7855
Discount rate0%34
5%7874
Prevalence of unknown AF (in 75-years-old individuals)1%26 892
5%373
Yearly spontaneous detection of AF0%2590
10%6232
OAC adherence50%12 423
100%3661
CHA2DS2-VASc (mean)2.516 176
4.5–628
Asymptomatic AF stroke risk (in relation to symptomatic AF)+25%−1467
−25%15 090
−50%40 422
Warfarin (used as OAC)4040
Discontinuation rate OAC20% year 1 (decreases yearly with 30%)10 175
ScenarioValueCost per gained QALY (€)
Time horizon5 years78 049
10 years19 092
15 years7855
Discount rate0%34
5%7874
Prevalence of unknown AF (in 75-years-old individuals)1%26 892
5%373
Yearly spontaneous detection of AF0%2590
10%6232
OAC adherence50%12 423
100%3661
CHA2DS2-VASc (mean)2.516 176
4.5–628
Asymptomatic AF stroke risk (in relation to symptomatic AF)+25%−1467
−25%15 090
−50%40 422
Warfarin (used as OAC)4040
Discontinuation rate OAC20% year 1 (decreases yearly with 30%)10 175
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