Table 2

Hazard ratios of non-fatal or fatal coronary heart disease events according to physical activity levels

Physical activity levelHRa(95% CI)N totalN casesI2b(95% CI)
Model 1c
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately inactive0.81(0.75–0.89)7635282211%(0%, 46%)
Moderately active0.70(0.62–0.78)5058181528%(0%, 58%)
Active0.72(0.65–0.79)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Model 2d
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately inactive0.88(0.80–0.96)763528220%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.76(0.67–0.86)5058181529%(0%, 58%)
Active0.78(0.70–0.86)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Model 2, excluding first 2 years of follow-up
Inactive1REF54782290
Moderately inactive0.87(0.79–0.96)7284250513%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.76(0.67–0.86)4852163730%(0%, 59%)
Active0.76(0.68–0.84)438215260%(0%, 47%)
Model 3,e including intermediaries
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately in active0.91(0.82–1.01)763528220%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.83(0.73–0.94)505818150%(0%, 47%)
Active0.83(0.74–0.94)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Physical activity levelHRa(95% CI)N totalN casesI2b(95% CI)
Model 1c
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately inactive0.81(0.75–0.89)7635282211%(0%, 46%)
Moderately active0.70(0.62–0.78)5058181528%(0%, 58%)
Active0.72(0.65–0.79)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Model 2d
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately inactive0.88(0.80–0.96)763528220%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.76(0.67–0.86)5058181529%(0%, 58%)
Active0.78(0.70–0.86)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Model 2, excluding first 2 years of follow-up
Inactive1REF54782290
Moderately inactive0.87(0.79–0.96)7284250513%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.76(0.67–0.86)4852163730%(0%, 59%)
Active0.76(0.68–0.84)438215260%(0%, 47%)
Model 3,e including intermediaries
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately in active0.91(0.82–1.01)763528220%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.83(0.73–0.94)505818150%(0%, 47%)
Active0.83(0.74–0.94)460917300%(0%, 47%)
a

Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated from Prentice-weighted Cox proportional hazard models. HRs from each study centre were combined using random effects meta-analysis.

b

I2 describes the heterogeneity across 21 study centres (eight countries)

c

Model 1: adjusted for age at baseline, stratified by sex, and study centre.

d

Model 2: Model 1 and additionally adjusted for educational level (none, primary, secondary, or vocational/university), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–5, 5.1–10, 11–40, >40 g/day), smoking status (never, former, and current), fruit, and vegetable intake.

e

Model 3: Model 2 and additionally adjusted for BMI, cholesterol, hypertension, and diabetes.

Table 2

Hazard ratios of non-fatal or fatal coronary heart disease events according to physical activity levels

Physical activity levelHRa(95% CI)N totalN casesI2b(95% CI)
Model 1c
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately inactive0.81(0.75–0.89)7635282211%(0%, 46%)
Moderately active0.70(0.62–0.78)5058181528%(0%, 58%)
Active0.72(0.65–0.79)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Model 2d
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately inactive0.88(0.80–0.96)763528220%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.76(0.67–0.86)5058181529%(0%, 58%)
Active0.78(0.70–0.86)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Model 2, excluding first 2 years of follow-up
Inactive1REF54782290
Moderately inactive0.87(0.79–0.96)7284250513%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.76(0.67–0.86)4852163730%(0%, 59%)
Active0.76(0.68–0.84)438215260%(0%, 47%)
Model 3,e including intermediaries
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately in active0.91(0.82–1.01)763528220%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.83(0.73–0.94)505818150%(0%, 47%)
Active0.83(0.74–0.94)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Physical activity levelHRa(95% CI)N totalN casesI2b(95% CI)
Model 1c
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately inactive0.81(0.75–0.89)7635282211%(0%, 46%)
Moderately active0.70(0.62–0.78)5058181528%(0%, 58%)
Active0.72(0.65–0.79)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Model 2d
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately inactive0.88(0.80–0.96)763528220%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.76(0.67–0.86)5058181529%(0%, 58%)
Active0.78(0.70–0.86)460917300%(0%, 47%)
Model 2, excluding first 2 years of follow-up
Inactive1REF54782290
Moderately inactive0.87(0.79–0.96)7284250513%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.76(0.67–0.86)4852163730%(0%, 59%)
Active0.76(0.68–0.84)438215260%(0%, 47%)
Model 3,e including intermediaries
Inactive1REF57542546
Moderately in active0.91(0.82–1.01)763528220%(0%, 47%)
Moderately active0.83(0.73–0.94)505818150%(0%, 47%)
Active0.83(0.74–0.94)460917300%(0%, 47%)
a

Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) estimated from Prentice-weighted Cox proportional hazard models. HRs from each study centre were combined using random effects meta-analysis.

b

I2 describes the heterogeneity across 21 study centres (eight countries)

c

Model 1: adjusted for age at baseline, stratified by sex, and study centre.

d

Model 2: Model 1 and additionally adjusted for educational level (none, primary, secondary, or vocational/university), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–5, 5.1–10, 11–40, >40 g/day), smoking status (never, former, and current), fruit, and vegetable intake.

e

Model 3: Model 2 and additionally adjusted for BMI, cholesterol, hypertension, and diabetes.

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