HRs and 95% confidence intervals of Cox model predicting lifetime injury from a serious accident for US population aged 18–59
. | Total . | Men . | Women . | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
. | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . |
Drinking pattern (ref. no alcohol) | ||||||
5+ daily | 2.45 (1.61, 3.72)‡ | 2.40 (1.62, 3.54)‡ | 2.31 (1.44, 3.71)† | 2.37 (1.47, 3.80)‡ | 2.69 (1.08, 6.72)* | 2.75 (1.14, 6.66)* |
5+ weekly, but <daily | 1.86 (1.44, 2.39)‡ | 1.81 (1.41, 2.33)‡ | 1.74 (1.25, 2.43)† | 1.72 (1.24, 2.38)† | 2.10 (1.44, 3.06)‡ | 2.02 (1.38, 2.95)‡ |
5+ monthly, but <weekly | 1.54 (1.19, 1.98)† | 1.50 (1.18, 1.91)† | 1.47 (1.04, 2.08)* | 1.46 (1.04, 2.05)* | 1.65 (1.14, 2.38)† | 1.55 (1.08, 2.23)* |
Alcohol ≥weekly, 5+ ≤ yearly | 1.54 (1.11, 2.13)† | 1.48 (1.09, 2.02)* | 1.27 (0.77, 2.11) | 1.33 (0.82, 2.16) | 1.90 (1.24, 2.89)† | 1.73 (1.15, 2.62)† |
Alcohol monthly (<weekly), 5+ ≤ yearly | 1.08 (0.79, 1.47) | 1.08 (0.79, 1.47) | 1.30 (0.85, 1.98) | 1.30 (0.86, 1.98) | 0.82 (0.51, 1.31) | 0.85 (0.54, 1.36) |
Alcohol yearly or less | 1.21 (0.96, 1.52) | 1.14 (0.91, 1.42) | 1.17 (0.83, 1.66) | 1.21 (0.86, 1.71) | 1.28 (0.96, 1.72) | 1.25 (0.94, 1.66) |
Lifetime abstainers | 0.76 (0.54, 1.05) | 0.75 (0.54, 1.03) | 0.64 (0.40, 1.01) | 0.63 (0.40, 0.99)* | 0.94 (0.59, 1.48) | 0.93 (0.59, 1.48) |
Gender male | 1.40 (1.21, 1.64)‡ | 1.43 (1.23, 1.66)‡ | - | - | - | - |
Race/ethnicity (ref. white) | ||||||
Black | 0.87 (0.70, 1.09) | Stratified | 0.92 (0.68, 1.24) | 0.91 (0.67, 1.23) | 0.82 (0.60, 1.13) | Stratified |
Hispanic | 0.85 (0.69, 1.05) | Stratified | 0.94 (0.70, 1.24) | 0.93 (0.70, 1.24) | 0.74 (0.55, 0.99)* | Stratified |
Other | 0.98 (0.71, 1.35) | Stratified | 0.81 (0.49, 1.34) | 0.80 (0.49, 1.32) | 1.15 (0.77, 1.74) | Stratified |
Education (ref. < HS grad) | ||||||
HS grad | 0.80 (0.58, 1.09) | Stratified | 0.70 (0.47, 1.05) | 0.69 (0.46, 1.02) | 1.01 (0.62, 1.65) | 1.03 (0.62, 1.68) |
Some college | 0.97 (0.71, 1.32) | Stratified | 0.84 (0.56, 1.26) | 0.82 (0.56, 1.22) | 1.30 (0.79, 2.13) | 1.42 (0.86, 2.34) |
College grad | 0.75 (0.55, 1.05) | Stratified | 0.64 (0.42, 0.97)* | 0.64 (0.42, 0.96)* | 1.09 (0.65, 1.84) | 1.22 (0.72, 2.06) |
Family income (ref. ≤$20,000) | ||||||
$20,001–$40,000 | 0.77 (0.60, 0.98)* | Stratified | 0.79 (0.56, 1.11) | Stratified | 0.72 (0.51, 1.00) | Stratified |
$40,001–$60,000 | 0.69 (0.54, 0.88)† | Stratified | 0.76 (0.54, 1.06) | Stratified | 0.55 (0.39, 0.78)† | Stratified |
$60,001–$100,000 | 0.65 (0.50, 0.86)† | Stratified | 0.67 (0.46, 0.98)* | Stratified | 0.60 (0.41, 0.86)† | Stratified |
>$100,000 | 0.56 (0.41, 0.75)‡ | Stratified | 0.64 (0.43, 0.96)* | Stratified | 0.43 (0.27, 0.69)‡ | Stratified |
Missing | 0.70 (0.52, 0.93)* | Stratified | 0.77 (0.51, 1.16) | Stratified | 0.60 (0.40, 0.90)* | Stratified |
Marital status (ref. married) | ||||||
Never married | 1.15 (0.94, 1.41) | 1.15 (0.94, 1.40) | 1.18 (0.90, 1.56) | 1.19 (0.91, 1.57) | 1.15 (0.86, 1.54) | 1.11 (0.83, 1.47) |
Separate/divorced/ widowed | 1.07 (0.86, 1.34) | 1.01 (0.82, 1.25) | 1.21 (0.88, 1.67) | 1.21 (0.88, 1.65) | 0.93 (0.70, 1.23) | 0.84 (0.62, 1.13) |
Risk taking scale | 1.19 (1.06, 1.34)† | 1.22 (1.09, 1.35)‡ | 1.21 (1.03, 1.41)* | 1.23 (1.05, 1.44)* | 1.16 (0.99, 1.36) | 1.16 (0.99, 1.35) |
NAS19–20 versus NAS14–15 | 0.80 (0.68, 0.94)† | Stratified | 0.69 (0.55, 0.86)† | Stratified | 1.02 (0.81, 1.28) | Stratified |
Test of proportional hazards (P value) | <0.001 | 0.049 | <0.001 | 0.151 | <0.001 | 0.047 |
. | Total . | Men . | Women . | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
. | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . |
Drinking pattern (ref. no alcohol) | ||||||
5+ daily | 2.45 (1.61, 3.72)‡ | 2.40 (1.62, 3.54)‡ | 2.31 (1.44, 3.71)† | 2.37 (1.47, 3.80)‡ | 2.69 (1.08, 6.72)* | 2.75 (1.14, 6.66)* |
5+ weekly, but <daily | 1.86 (1.44, 2.39)‡ | 1.81 (1.41, 2.33)‡ | 1.74 (1.25, 2.43)† | 1.72 (1.24, 2.38)† | 2.10 (1.44, 3.06)‡ | 2.02 (1.38, 2.95)‡ |
5+ monthly, but <weekly | 1.54 (1.19, 1.98)† | 1.50 (1.18, 1.91)† | 1.47 (1.04, 2.08)* | 1.46 (1.04, 2.05)* | 1.65 (1.14, 2.38)† | 1.55 (1.08, 2.23)* |
Alcohol ≥weekly, 5+ ≤ yearly | 1.54 (1.11, 2.13)† | 1.48 (1.09, 2.02)* | 1.27 (0.77, 2.11) | 1.33 (0.82, 2.16) | 1.90 (1.24, 2.89)† | 1.73 (1.15, 2.62)† |
Alcohol monthly (<weekly), 5+ ≤ yearly | 1.08 (0.79, 1.47) | 1.08 (0.79, 1.47) | 1.30 (0.85, 1.98) | 1.30 (0.86, 1.98) | 0.82 (0.51, 1.31) | 0.85 (0.54, 1.36) |
Alcohol yearly or less | 1.21 (0.96, 1.52) | 1.14 (0.91, 1.42) | 1.17 (0.83, 1.66) | 1.21 (0.86, 1.71) | 1.28 (0.96, 1.72) | 1.25 (0.94, 1.66) |
Lifetime abstainers | 0.76 (0.54, 1.05) | 0.75 (0.54, 1.03) | 0.64 (0.40, 1.01) | 0.63 (0.40, 0.99)* | 0.94 (0.59, 1.48) | 0.93 (0.59, 1.48) |
Gender male | 1.40 (1.21, 1.64)‡ | 1.43 (1.23, 1.66)‡ | - | - | - | - |
Race/ethnicity (ref. white) | ||||||
Black | 0.87 (0.70, 1.09) | Stratified | 0.92 (0.68, 1.24) | 0.91 (0.67, 1.23) | 0.82 (0.60, 1.13) | Stratified |
Hispanic | 0.85 (0.69, 1.05) | Stratified | 0.94 (0.70, 1.24) | 0.93 (0.70, 1.24) | 0.74 (0.55, 0.99)* | Stratified |
Other | 0.98 (0.71, 1.35) | Stratified | 0.81 (0.49, 1.34) | 0.80 (0.49, 1.32) | 1.15 (0.77, 1.74) | Stratified |
Education (ref. < HS grad) | ||||||
HS grad | 0.80 (0.58, 1.09) | Stratified | 0.70 (0.47, 1.05) | 0.69 (0.46, 1.02) | 1.01 (0.62, 1.65) | 1.03 (0.62, 1.68) |
Some college | 0.97 (0.71, 1.32) | Stratified | 0.84 (0.56, 1.26) | 0.82 (0.56, 1.22) | 1.30 (0.79, 2.13) | 1.42 (0.86, 2.34) |
College grad | 0.75 (0.55, 1.05) | Stratified | 0.64 (0.42, 0.97)* | 0.64 (0.42, 0.96)* | 1.09 (0.65, 1.84) | 1.22 (0.72, 2.06) |
Family income (ref. ≤$20,000) | ||||||
$20,001–$40,000 | 0.77 (0.60, 0.98)* | Stratified | 0.79 (0.56, 1.11) | Stratified | 0.72 (0.51, 1.00) | Stratified |
$40,001–$60,000 | 0.69 (0.54, 0.88)† | Stratified | 0.76 (0.54, 1.06) | Stratified | 0.55 (0.39, 0.78)† | Stratified |
$60,001–$100,000 | 0.65 (0.50, 0.86)† | Stratified | 0.67 (0.46, 0.98)* | Stratified | 0.60 (0.41, 0.86)† | Stratified |
>$100,000 | 0.56 (0.41, 0.75)‡ | Stratified | 0.64 (0.43, 0.96)* | Stratified | 0.43 (0.27, 0.69)‡ | Stratified |
Missing | 0.70 (0.52, 0.93)* | Stratified | 0.77 (0.51, 1.16) | Stratified | 0.60 (0.40, 0.90)* | Stratified |
Marital status (ref. married) | ||||||
Never married | 1.15 (0.94, 1.41) | 1.15 (0.94, 1.40) | 1.18 (0.90, 1.56) | 1.19 (0.91, 1.57) | 1.15 (0.86, 1.54) | 1.11 (0.83, 1.47) |
Separate/divorced/ widowed | 1.07 (0.86, 1.34) | 1.01 (0.82, 1.25) | 1.21 (0.88, 1.67) | 1.21 (0.88, 1.65) | 0.93 (0.70, 1.23) | 0.84 (0.62, 1.13) |
Risk taking scale | 1.19 (1.06, 1.34)† | 1.22 (1.09, 1.35)‡ | 1.21 (1.03, 1.41)* | 1.23 (1.05, 1.44)* | 1.16 (0.99, 1.36) | 1.16 (0.99, 1.35) |
NAS19–20 versus NAS14–15 | 0.80 (0.68, 0.94)† | Stratified | 0.69 (0.55, 0.86)† | Stratified | 1.02 (0.81, 1.28) | Stratified |
Test of proportional hazards (P value) | <0.001 | 0.049 | <0.001 | 0.151 | <0.001 | 0.047 |
‡P < 0.001,
†P < 0.01,
*P < 0.05.
HRs and 95% confidence intervals of Cox model predicting lifetime injury from a serious accident for US population aged 18–59
. | Total . | Men . | Women . | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
. | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . |
Drinking pattern (ref. no alcohol) | ||||||
5+ daily | 2.45 (1.61, 3.72)‡ | 2.40 (1.62, 3.54)‡ | 2.31 (1.44, 3.71)† | 2.37 (1.47, 3.80)‡ | 2.69 (1.08, 6.72)* | 2.75 (1.14, 6.66)* |
5+ weekly, but <daily | 1.86 (1.44, 2.39)‡ | 1.81 (1.41, 2.33)‡ | 1.74 (1.25, 2.43)† | 1.72 (1.24, 2.38)† | 2.10 (1.44, 3.06)‡ | 2.02 (1.38, 2.95)‡ |
5+ monthly, but <weekly | 1.54 (1.19, 1.98)† | 1.50 (1.18, 1.91)† | 1.47 (1.04, 2.08)* | 1.46 (1.04, 2.05)* | 1.65 (1.14, 2.38)† | 1.55 (1.08, 2.23)* |
Alcohol ≥weekly, 5+ ≤ yearly | 1.54 (1.11, 2.13)† | 1.48 (1.09, 2.02)* | 1.27 (0.77, 2.11) | 1.33 (0.82, 2.16) | 1.90 (1.24, 2.89)† | 1.73 (1.15, 2.62)† |
Alcohol monthly (<weekly), 5+ ≤ yearly | 1.08 (0.79, 1.47) | 1.08 (0.79, 1.47) | 1.30 (0.85, 1.98) | 1.30 (0.86, 1.98) | 0.82 (0.51, 1.31) | 0.85 (0.54, 1.36) |
Alcohol yearly or less | 1.21 (0.96, 1.52) | 1.14 (0.91, 1.42) | 1.17 (0.83, 1.66) | 1.21 (0.86, 1.71) | 1.28 (0.96, 1.72) | 1.25 (0.94, 1.66) |
Lifetime abstainers | 0.76 (0.54, 1.05) | 0.75 (0.54, 1.03) | 0.64 (0.40, 1.01) | 0.63 (0.40, 0.99)* | 0.94 (0.59, 1.48) | 0.93 (0.59, 1.48) |
Gender male | 1.40 (1.21, 1.64)‡ | 1.43 (1.23, 1.66)‡ | - | - | - | - |
Race/ethnicity (ref. white) | ||||||
Black | 0.87 (0.70, 1.09) | Stratified | 0.92 (0.68, 1.24) | 0.91 (0.67, 1.23) | 0.82 (0.60, 1.13) | Stratified |
Hispanic | 0.85 (0.69, 1.05) | Stratified | 0.94 (0.70, 1.24) | 0.93 (0.70, 1.24) | 0.74 (0.55, 0.99)* | Stratified |
Other | 0.98 (0.71, 1.35) | Stratified | 0.81 (0.49, 1.34) | 0.80 (0.49, 1.32) | 1.15 (0.77, 1.74) | Stratified |
Education (ref. < HS grad) | ||||||
HS grad | 0.80 (0.58, 1.09) | Stratified | 0.70 (0.47, 1.05) | 0.69 (0.46, 1.02) | 1.01 (0.62, 1.65) | 1.03 (0.62, 1.68) |
Some college | 0.97 (0.71, 1.32) | Stratified | 0.84 (0.56, 1.26) | 0.82 (0.56, 1.22) | 1.30 (0.79, 2.13) | 1.42 (0.86, 2.34) |
College grad | 0.75 (0.55, 1.05) | Stratified | 0.64 (0.42, 0.97)* | 0.64 (0.42, 0.96)* | 1.09 (0.65, 1.84) | 1.22 (0.72, 2.06) |
Family income (ref. ≤$20,000) | ||||||
$20,001–$40,000 | 0.77 (0.60, 0.98)* | Stratified | 0.79 (0.56, 1.11) | Stratified | 0.72 (0.51, 1.00) | Stratified |
$40,001–$60,000 | 0.69 (0.54, 0.88)† | Stratified | 0.76 (0.54, 1.06) | Stratified | 0.55 (0.39, 0.78)† | Stratified |
$60,001–$100,000 | 0.65 (0.50, 0.86)† | Stratified | 0.67 (0.46, 0.98)* | Stratified | 0.60 (0.41, 0.86)† | Stratified |
>$100,000 | 0.56 (0.41, 0.75)‡ | Stratified | 0.64 (0.43, 0.96)* | Stratified | 0.43 (0.27, 0.69)‡ | Stratified |
Missing | 0.70 (0.52, 0.93)* | Stratified | 0.77 (0.51, 1.16) | Stratified | 0.60 (0.40, 0.90)* | Stratified |
Marital status (ref. married) | ||||||
Never married | 1.15 (0.94, 1.41) | 1.15 (0.94, 1.40) | 1.18 (0.90, 1.56) | 1.19 (0.91, 1.57) | 1.15 (0.86, 1.54) | 1.11 (0.83, 1.47) |
Separate/divorced/ widowed | 1.07 (0.86, 1.34) | 1.01 (0.82, 1.25) | 1.21 (0.88, 1.67) | 1.21 (0.88, 1.65) | 0.93 (0.70, 1.23) | 0.84 (0.62, 1.13) |
Risk taking scale | 1.19 (1.06, 1.34)† | 1.22 (1.09, 1.35)‡ | 1.21 (1.03, 1.41)* | 1.23 (1.05, 1.44)* | 1.16 (0.99, 1.36) | 1.16 (0.99, 1.35) |
NAS19–20 versus NAS14–15 | 0.80 (0.68, 0.94)† | Stratified | 0.69 (0.55, 0.86)† | Stratified | 1.02 (0.81, 1.28) | Stratified |
Test of proportional hazards (P value) | <0.001 | 0.049 | <0.001 | 0.151 | <0.001 | 0.047 |
. | Total . | Men . | Women . | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
. | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . |
Drinking pattern (ref. no alcohol) | ||||||
5+ daily | 2.45 (1.61, 3.72)‡ | 2.40 (1.62, 3.54)‡ | 2.31 (1.44, 3.71)† | 2.37 (1.47, 3.80)‡ | 2.69 (1.08, 6.72)* | 2.75 (1.14, 6.66)* |
5+ weekly, but <daily | 1.86 (1.44, 2.39)‡ | 1.81 (1.41, 2.33)‡ | 1.74 (1.25, 2.43)† | 1.72 (1.24, 2.38)† | 2.10 (1.44, 3.06)‡ | 2.02 (1.38, 2.95)‡ |
5+ monthly, but <weekly | 1.54 (1.19, 1.98)† | 1.50 (1.18, 1.91)† | 1.47 (1.04, 2.08)* | 1.46 (1.04, 2.05)* | 1.65 (1.14, 2.38)† | 1.55 (1.08, 2.23)* |
Alcohol ≥weekly, 5+ ≤ yearly | 1.54 (1.11, 2.13)† | 1.48 (1.09, 2.02)* | 1.27 (0.77, 2.11) | 1.33 (0.82, 2.16) | 1.90 (1.24, 2.89)† | 1.73 (1.15, 2.62)† |
Alcohol monthly (<weekly), 5+ ≤ yearly | 1.08 (0.79, 1.47) | 1.08 (0.79, 1.47) | 1.30 (0.85, 1.98) | 1.30 (0.86, 1.98) | 0.82 (0.51, 1.31) | 0.85 (0.54, 1.36) |
Alcohol yearly or less | 1.21 (0.96, 1.52) | 1.14 (0.91, 1.42) | 1.17 (0.83, 1.66) | 1.21 (0.86, 1.71) | 1.28 (0.96, 1.72) | 1.25 (0.94, 1.66) |
Lifetime abstainers | 0.76 (0.54, 1.05) | 0.75 (0.54, 1.03) | 0.64 (0.40, 1.01) | 0.63 (0.40, 0.99)* | 0.94 (0.59, 1.48) | 0.93 (0.59, 1.48) |
Gender male | 1.40 (1.21, 1.64)‡ | 1.43 (1.23, 1.66)‡ | - | - | - | - |
Race/ethnicity (ref. white) | ||||||
Black | 0.87 (0.70, 1.09) | Stratified | 0.92 (0.68, 1.24) | 0.91 (0.67, 1.23) | 0.82 (0.60, 1.13) | Stratified |
Hispanic | 0.85 (0.69, 1.05) | Stratified | 0.94 (0.70, 1.24) | 0.93 (0.70, 1.24) | 0.74 (0.55, 0.99)* | Stratified |
Other | 0.98 (0.71, 1.35) | Stratified | 0.81 (0.49, 1.34) | 0.80 (0.49, 1.32) | 1.15 (0.77, 1.74) | Stratified |
Education (ref. < HS grad) | ||||||
HS grad | 0.80 (0.58, 1.09) | Stratified | 0.70 (0.47, 1.05) | 0.69 (0.46, 1.02) | 1.01 (0.62, 1.65) | 1.03 (0.62, 1.68) |
Some college | 0.97 (0.71, 1.32) | Stratified | 0.84 (0.56, 1.26) | 0.82 (0.56, 1.22) | 1.30 (0.79, 2.13) | 1.42 (0.86, 2.34) |
College grad | 0.75 (0.55, 1.05) | Stratified | 0.64 (0.42, 0.97)* | 0.64 (0.42, 0.96)* | 1.09 (0.65, 1.84) | 1.22 (0.72, 2.06) |
Family income (ref. ≤$20,000) | ||||||
$20,001–$40,000 | 0.77 (0.60, 0.98)* | Stratified | 0.79 (0.56, 1.11) | Stratified | 0.72 (0.51, 1.00) | Stratified |
$40,001–$60,000 | 0.69 (0.54, 0.88)† | Stratified | 0.76 (0.54, 1.06) | Stratified | 0.55 (0.39, 0.78)† | Stratified |
$60,001–$100,000 | 0.65 (0.50, 0.86)† | Stratified | 0.67 (0.46, 0.98)* | Stratified | 0.60 (0.41, 0.86)† | Stratified |
>$100,000 | 0.56 (0.41, 0.75)‡ | Stratified | 0.64 (0.43, 0.96)* | Stratified | 0.43 (0.27, 0.69)‡ | Stratified |
Missing | 0.70 (0.52, 0.93)* | Stratified | 0.77 (0.51, 1.16) | Stratified | 0.60 (0.40, 0.90)* | Stratified |
Marital status (ref. married) | ||||||
Never married | 1.15 (0.94, 1.41) | 1.15 (0.94, 1.40) | 1.18 (0.90, 1.56) | 1.19 (0.91, 1.57) | 1.15 (0.86, 1.54) | 1.11 (0.83, 1.47) |
Separate/divorced/ widowed | 1.07 (0.86, 1.34) | 1.01 (0.82, 1.25) | 1.21 (0.88, 1.67) | 1.21 (0.88, 1.65) | 0.93 (0.70, 1.23) | 0.84 (0.62, 1.13) |
Risk taking scale | 1.19 (1.06, 1.34)† | 1.22 (1.09, 1.35)‡ | 1.21 (1.03, 1.41)* | 1.23 (1.05, 1.44)* | 1.16 (0.99, 1.36) | 1.16 (0.99, 1.35) |
NAS19–20 versus NAS14–15 | 0.80 (0.68, 0.94)† | Stratified | 0.69 (0.55, 0.86)† | Stratified | 1.02 (0.81, 1.28) | Stratified |
Test of proportional hazards (P value) | <0.001 | 0.049 | <0.001 | 0.151 | <0.001 | 0.047 |
‡P < 0.001,
†P < 0.01,
*P < 0.05.
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