Table 4.

Predictors of 28-day mortality in those not admitted to hospital at first presentation (n = 355, events = 28) (presented as hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals)

CharacteristicsUnivariableP-valueMultivariableP-value
Age (years)1.06 (1.03–1.10)<0.0011.05 (0.99–1.10)0.08
Sex (male)1.43 (0.66–3.09)0.37
Race
 White/CaucasianRef.
 Asian3.04 (0.91–10.17)0.07
 Black/African descent1.10 (0.26–4.69)0.90
 Other/unknown1.32 (0.18–9.83)0.78
Tobacco use
 NeverRef.
 Current0.98 (0.13–7.64)0.98
 Prior2.58 (1.12–5.98)0.0272.51 (1.01–6.25)0.05
 Unknown0.52 (0.18–1.53)0.24
CFS (AU)1.64 (1.31–2.07)<0.0011.41 (1.05–1.89)0.02
X-ray abnormality (yes)4.08 (0.37–45.04)0.25
CT scan abnormality (yes)
BMI (kg/m2)1.04 (0.98–1.10)0.17
Diabetes (yes)1.62 (0.77–3.41)0.20
Hypertension (yes)0.70 (0.28–1.73)0.44
Lung disease (yes)1.74 (0.66–4.59)0.26
Active malignancy2.50 (0.59–10.53)0.21
Autoimmune disease4.73 (1.64–13.65)0.0043.85 (0.74–19.97)0.11
ARB use (yes)1.75 (0.77–3.98)0.18
ACEi use (yes)1.02 (0.35–2.94)0.97
Dialysis (versus transplant)4.91 (0.67–36.15)0.118
Days between two presentations1.03 (0.97–1.09)0.32
Disease characteristics
COVID-19-related symptoms
 Cough (yes)1.58 (0.70–3.55)0.27
 Fever (yes)1.24 (0.58–2.68)0.58
 Shortness of breath (yes)3.26 (1.39–7.62)0.0063.23 (1.31–7.96)0.01
 Headache (yes)1.83 (0.62–5.40)0.26
 Diarrhoea (yes)1.25 (0.43–3.65)0.68
 Nausea/vomiting (yes)
Vital signs
 Temperature (°C)1.16 (0.77–1.74)0.48
 Respiration rate (per min)1.07 (0.96–1.19)0.24
 O2 saturation (%)0.87 (0.78–0.98)0.017
 Pulse rate (bpm)1.00 (0.96–1.03)0.84
Laboratory test results
 Lymphocyte (×1000/µL)1.00 (0.76–1.31)0.99
 CRP (mg/L)1.00 (0.99–1.01)0.36
CharacteristicsUnivariableP-valueMultivariableP-value
Age (years)1.06 (1.03–1.10)<0.0011.05 (0.99–1.10)0.08
Sex (male)1.43 (0.66–3.09)0.37
Race
 White/CaucasianRef.
 Asian3.04 (0.91–10.17)0.07
 Black/African descent1.10 (0.26–4.69)0.90
 Other/unknown1.32 (0.18–9.83)0.78
Tobacco use
 NeverRef.
 Current0.98 (0.13–7.64)0.98
 Prior2.58 (1.12–5.98)0.0272.51 (1.01–6.25)0.05
 Unknown0.52 (0.18–1.53)0.24
CFS (AU)1.64 (1.31–2.07)<0.0011.41 (1.05–1.89)0.02
X-ray abnormality (yes)4.08 (0.37–45.04)0.25
CT scan abnormality (yes)
BMI (kg/m2)1.04 (0.98–1.10)0.17
Diabetes (yes)1.62 (0.77–3.41)0.20
Hypertension (yes)0.70 (0.28–1.73)0.44
Lung disease (yes)1.74 (0.66–4.59)0.26
Active malignancy2.50 (0.59–10.53)0.21
Autoimmune disease4.73 (1.64–13.65)0.0043.85 (0.74–19.97)0.11
ARB use (yes)1.75 (0.77–3.98)0.18
ACEi use (yes)1.02 (0.35–2.94)0.97
Dialysis (versus transplant)4.91 (0.67–36.15)0.118
Days between two presentations1.03 (0.97–1.09)0.32
Disease characteristics
COVID-19-related symptoms
 Cough (yes)1.58 (0.70–3.55)0.27
 Fever (yes)1.24 (0.58–2.68)0.58
 Shortness of breath (yes)3.26 (1.39–7.62)0.0063.23 (1.31–7.96)0.01
 Headache (yes)1.83 (0.62–5.40)0.26
 Diarrhoea (yes)1.25 (0.43–3.65)0.68
 Nausea/vomiting (yes)
Vital signs
 Temperature (°C)1.16 (0.77–1.74)0.48
 Respiration rate (per min)1.07 (0.96–1.19)0.24
 O2 saturation (%)0.87 (0.78–0.98)0.017
 Pulse rate (bpm)1.00 (0.96–1.03)0.84
Laboratory test results
 Lymphocyte (×1000/µL)1.00 (0.76–1.31)0.99
 CRP (mg/L)1.00 (0.99–1.01)0.36

bpm, beats per minute; O2, oxygen.

Table 4.

Predictors of 28-day mortality in those not admitted to hospital at first presentation (n = 355, events = 28) (presented as hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals)

CharacteristicsUnivariableP-valueMultivariableP-value
Age (years)1.06 (1.03–1.10)<0.0011.05 (0.99–1.10)0.08
Sex (male)1.43 (0.66–3.09)0.37
Race
 White/CaucasianRef.
 Asian3.04 (0.91–10.17)0.07
 Black/African descent1.10 (0.26–4.69)0.90
 Other/unknown1.32 (0.18–9.83)0.78
Tobacco use
 NeverRef.
 Current0.98 (0.13–7.64)0.98
 Prior2.58 (1.12–5.98)0.0272.51 (1.01–6.25)0.05
 Unknown0.52 (0.18–1.53)0.24
CFS (AU)1.64 (1.31–2.07)<0.0011.41 (1.05–1.89)0.02
X-ray abnormality (yes)4.08 (0.37–45.04)0.25
CT scan abnormality (yes)
BMI (kg/m2)1.04 (0.98–1.10)0.17
Diabetes (yes)1.62 (0.77–3.41)0.20
Hypertension (yes)0.70 (0.28–1.73)0.44
Lung disease (yes)1.74 (0.66–4.59)0.26
Active malignancy2.50 (0.59–10.53)0.21
Autoimmune disease4.73 (1.64–13.65)0.0043.85 (0.74–19.97)0.11
ARB use (yes)1.75 (0.77–3.98)0.18
ACEi use (yes)1.02 (0.35–2.94)0.97
Dialysis (versus transplant)4.91 (0.67–36.15)0.118
Days between two presentations1.03 (0.97–1.09)0.32
Disease characteristics
COVID-19-related symptoms
 Cough (yes)1.58 (0.70–3.55)0.27
 Fever (yes)1.24 (0.58–2.68)0.58
 Shortness of breath (yes)3.26 (1.39–7.62)0.0063.23 (1.31–7.96)0.01
 Headache (yes)1.83 (0.62–5.40)0.26
 Diarrhoea (yes)1.25 (0.43–3.65)0.68
 Nausea/vomiting (yes)
Vital signs
 Temperature (°C)1.16 (0.77–1.74)0.48
 Respiration rate (per min)1.07 (0.96–1.19)0.24
 O2 saturation (%)0.87 (0.78–0.98)0.017
 Pulse rate (bpm)1.00 (0.96–1.03)0.84
Laboratory test results
 Lymphocyte (×1000/µL)1.00 (0.76–1.31)0.99
 CRP (mg/L)1.00 (0.99–1.01)0.36
CharacteristicsUnivariableP-valueMultivariableP-value
Age (years)1.06 (1.03–1.10)<0.0011.05 (0.99–1.10)0.08
Sex (male)1.43 (0.66–3.09)0.37
Race
 White/CaucasianRef.
 Asian3.04 (0.91–10.17)0.07
 Black/African descent1.10 (0.26–4.69)0.90
 Other/unknown1.32 (0.18–9.83)0.78
Tobacco use
 NeverRef.
 Current0.98 (0.13–7.64)0.98
 Prior2.58 (1.12–5.98)0.0272.51 (1.01–6.25)0.05
 Unknown0.52 (0.18–1.53)0.24
CFS (AU)1.64 (1.31–2.07)<0.0011.41 (1.05–1.89)0.02
X-ray abnormality (yes)4.08 (0.37–45.04)0.25
CT scan abnormality (yes)
BMI (kg/m2)1.04 (0.98–1.10)0.17
Diabetes (yes)1.62 (0.77–3.41)0.20
Hypertension (yes)0.70 (0.28–1.73)0.44
Lung disease (yes)1.74 (0.66–4.59)0.26
Active malignancy2.50 (0.59–10.53)0.21
Autoimmune disease4.73 (1.64–13.65)0.0043.85 (0.74–19.97)0.11
ARB use (yes)1.75 (0.77–3.98)0.18
ACEi use (yes)1.02 (0.35–2.94)0.97
Dialysis (versus transplant)4.91 (0.67–36.15)0.118
Days between two presentations1.03 (0.97–1.09)0.32
Disease characteristics
COVID-19-related symptoms
 Cough (yes)1.58 (0.70–3.55)0.27
 Fever (yes)1.24 (0.58–2.68)0.58
 Shortness of breath (yes)3.26 (1.39–7.62)0.0063.23 (1.31–7.96)0.01
 Headache (yes)1.83 (0.62–5.40)0.26
 Diarrhoea (yes)1.25 (0.43–3.65)0.68
 Nausea/vomiting (yes)
Vital signs
 Temperature (°C)1.16 (0.77–1.74)0.48
 Respiration rate (per min)1.07 (0.96–1.19)0.24
 O2 saturation (%)0.87 (0.78–0.98)0.017
 Pulse rate (bpm)1.00 (0.96–1.03)0.84
Laboratory test results
 Lymphocyte (×1000/µL)1.00 (0.76–1.31)0.99
 CRP (mg/L)1.00 (0.99–1.01)0.36

bpm, beats per minute; O2, oxygen.

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