Results of Placebo Tests for the Estimated Association Between Implementation of the Mental Health Services Act and the Average Postintervention Outcome, California, 1976–2015
| . | Proportion of Control States With a More Extreme Averagea in 2007–2015 . | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| . | Suicide . | Homicide . | Acute Alcohol Effects . | ||||||
| MSPE Cutoff . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . |
| <20 times MSPE | 8 | 24 | 0.33 | 10 | 36 | 0.28 | 3 | 32 | 0.09 |
| <5 times MSPE | 2 | 5 | 0.40 | 8 | 31 | 0.26 | 3 | 26 | 0.12 |
| <2 times MSPE | 1 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 | 15 | 0.07 | 0 | 9 | 0.00 |
| . | Proportion of Control States With a More Extreme Averagea in 2007–2015 . | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| . | Suicide . | Homicide . | Acute Alcohol Effects . | ||||||
| MSPE Cutoff . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . |
| <20 times MSPE | 8 | 24 | 0.33 | 10 | 36 | 0.28 | 3 | 32 | 0.09 |
| <5 times MSPE | 2 | 5 | 0.40 | 8 | 31 | 0.26 | 3 | 26 | 0.12 |
| <2 times MSPE | 1 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 | 15 | 0.07 | 0 | 9 | 0.00 |
Abbreviation: MSPE, mean squared prediction error.
a Number of control states in the placebo tests with a more extreme estimated average association (over 2017–2015) between California’s Mental Health Services Act and the postintervention outcome, compared with the estimate for California.
Results of Placebo Tests for the Estimated Association Between Implementation of the Mental Health Services Act and the Average Postintervention Outcome, California, 1976–2015
| . | Proportion of Control States With a More Extreme Averagea in 2007–2015 . | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| . | Suicide . | Homicide . | Acute Alcohol Effects . | ||||||
| MSPE Cutoff . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . |
| <20 times MSPE | 8 | 24 | 0.33 | 10 | 36 | 0.28 | 3 | 32 | 0.09 |
| <5 times MSPE | 2 | 5 | 0.40 | 8 | 31 | 0.26 | 3 | 26 | 0.12 |
| <2 times MSPE | 1 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 | 15 | 0.07 | 0 | 9 | 0.00 |
| . | Proportion of Control States With a More Extreme Averagea in 2007–2015 . | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| . | Suicide . | Homicide . | Acute Alcohol Effects . | ||||||
| MSPE Cutoff . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . | No. of Control States . | Total No. . | Proportion . |
| <20 times MSPE | 8 | 24 | 0.33 | 10 | 36 | 0.28 | 3 | 32 | 0.09 |
| <5 times MSPE | 2 | 5 | 0.40 | 8 | 31 | 0.26 | 3 | 26 | 0.12 |
| <2 times MSPE | 1 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 | 15 | 0.07 | 0 | 9 | 0.00 |
Abbreviation: MSPE, mean squared prediction error.
a Number of control states in the placebo tests with a more extreme estimated average association (over 2017–2015) between California’s Mental Health Services Act and the postintervention outcome, compared with the estimate for California.
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