Table 4.
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Average Posterior Probabilities for the True Model, True Delimitation, and True Species AB, C, and DE for the Model of Figure 6.

θ=0.0025, S= 2θ=0.0025, S= 8θ=0.01, S= 2θ=0.01, S= 8
Tree shape 1
 L = 40, N = 2500.42, 0.90, 0.95, 1.00, 0.960.46, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.66, 0.95, 0.98, 1.00, 0.970.66, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 40, N = 1,0000.63, 0.94, 0.96, 1.00, 0.970.63, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.77, 0.97, 0.98, 1.00, 0.990.81, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 160, N = 2500.63, 0.95, 0.97, 1.00, 0.980.64, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.000.90, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.90, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 160, N = 1,0000.86, 0.97, 0.99, 1.00, 0.980.88, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.99, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
Tree shape 2
 L = 40, N = 2500.74, 0.74, 0.81, 1.00, 0.910.92, 0.92, 0.94, 1.00, 0.980.83, 0.83, 0.88, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.97, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 40, N = 1,0000.85, 0.85, 0.90, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 0.990.89, 0.89, 0.93, 1.00, 0.960.97, 0.97, 0.98, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 160, N = 2500.84, 0.84, 0.89, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 0.980.90, 0.90, 0.93, 1.00, 0.970.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 160, N = 1,0000.91, 0.91, 0.93, 1.00, 0.970.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.95, 0.95, 0.97, 1.00, 0.970.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00
θ=0.0025, S= 2θ=0.0025, S= 8θ=0.01, S= 2θ=0.01, S= 8
Tree shape 1
 L = 40, N = 2500.42, 0.90, 0.95, 1.00, 0.960.46, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.66, 0.95, 0.98, 1.00, 0.970.66, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 40, N = 1,0000.63, 0.94, 0.96, 1.00, 0.970.63, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.77, 0.97, 0.98, 1.00, 0.990.81, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 160, N = 2500.63, 0.95, 0.97, 1.00, 0.980.64, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.000.90, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.90, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 160, N = 1,0000.86, 0.97, 0.99, 1.00, 0.980.88, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.99, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
Tree shape 2
 L = 40, N = 2500.74, 0.74, 0.81, 1.00, 0.910.92, 0.92, 0.94, 1.00, 0.980.83, 0.83, 0.88, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.97, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 40, N = 1,0000.85, 0.85, 0.90, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 0.990.89, 0.89, 0.93, 1.00, 0.960.97, 0.97, 0.98, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 160, N = 2500.84, 0.84, 0.89, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 0.980.90, 0.90, 0.93, 1.00, 0.970.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 160, N = 1,0000.91, 0.91, 0.93, 1.00, 0.970.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.95, 0.95, 0.97, 1.00, 0.970.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00

Note.—The five numbers in each cell are for the true model, true delimitation, and the three true delimited species (AB, C, and DE). The true model means that the number of species is 3, the three species are AB, C, and DE, and the phylogeny is ((AB,C),DE)⁠. The true delimitation means that the number of species is 3 and the three species are AB, C, and DE but the phylogeny may and may not be correct.

Table 4.
Open in new tab

Average Posterior Probabilities for the True Model, True Delimitation, and True Species AB, C, and DE for the Model of Figure 6.

θ=0.0025, S= 2θ=0.0025, S= 8θ=0.01, S= 2θ=0.01, S= 8
Tree shape 1
 L = 40, N = 2500.42, 0.90, 0.95, 1.00, 0.960.46, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.66, 0.95, 0.98, 1.00, 0.970.66, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 40, N = 1,0000.63, 0.94, 0.96, 1.00, 0.970.63, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.77, 0.97, 0.98, 1.00, 0.990.81, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 160, N = 2500.63, 0.95, 0.97, 1.00, 0.980.64, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.000.90, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.90, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 160, N = 1,0000.86, 0.97, 0.99, 1.00, 0.980.88, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.99, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
Tree shape 2
 L = 40, N = 2500.74, 0.74, 0.81, 1.00, 0.910.92, 0.92, 0.94, 1.00, 0.980.83, 0.83, 0.88, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.97, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 40, N = 1,0000.85, 0.85, 0.90, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 0.990.89, 0.89, 0.93, 1.00, 0.960.97, 0.97, 0.98, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 160, N = 2500.84, 0.84, 0.89, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 0.980.90, 0.90, 0.93, 1.00, 0.970.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 160, N = 1,0000.91, 0.91, 0.93, 1.00, 0.970.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.95, 0.95, 0.97, 1.00, 0.970.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00
θ=0.0025, S= 2θ=0.0025, S= 8θ=0.01, S= 2θ=0.01, S= 8
Tree shape 1
 L = 40, N = 2500.42, 0.90, 0.95, 1.00, 0.960.46, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.66, 0.95, 0.98, 1.00, 0.970.66, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 40, N = 1,0000.63, 0.94, 0.96, 1.00, 0.970.63, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.77, 0.97, 0.98, 1.00, 0.990.81, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 160, N = 2500.63, 0.95, 0.97, 1.00, 0.980.64, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.000.90, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.90, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
 L = 160, N = 1,0000.86, 0.97, 0.99, 1.00, 0.980.88, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 1.000.99, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, 1.00
Tree shape 2
 L = 40, N = 2500.74, 0.74, 0.81, 1.00, 0.910.92, 0.92, 0.94, 1.00, 0.980.83, 0.83, 0.88, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.97, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 40, N = 1,0000.85, 0.85, 0.90, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 0.990.89, 0.89, 0.93, 1.00, 0.960.97, 0.97, 0.98, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 160, N = 2500.84, 0.84, 0.89, 1.00, 0.950.96, 0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 0.980.90, 0.90, 0.93, 1.00, 0.970.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.99
 L = 160, N = 1,0000.91, 0.91, 0.93, 1.00, 0.970.98, 0.98, 0.99, 1.00, 0.990.95, 0.95, 0.97, 1.00, 0.970.99, 0.99, 0.99, 1.00, 1.00

Note.—The five numbers in each cell are for the true model, true delimitation, and the three true delimited species (AB, C, and DE). The true model means that the number of species is 3, the three species are AB, C, and DE, and the phylogeny is ((AB,C),DE)⁠. The true delimitation means that the number of species is 3 and the three species are AB, C, and DE but the phylogeny may and may not be correct.

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