Table IV.

Loss experience

The table shows results for regressions of subjective ratings of past portfolio return on numerical perceived past portfolio return and controls. The results in Columns (1) and (2) are estimated by pooled OLS, the remaining columns contain results of panel regressions with random effects [Columns (3) and (4)] or fixed effects [Columns (5)–(7)]. Past portfolio returns are split for gains and losses with 0 as a reference point. Risk tolerance and subjective portfolio risk are self-reported, survey-based measure as defined in the Appendix A. Portfolio volatility is the 1-year historical volatility of investors’ portfolios at the time of each survey round. Log portfolio value is the natural logarithm of the value of the investors’ portfolios at the bank in pounds. Log turnover is the natural logarithm of trading volume divided by the sum of portfolio value at the beginning and end of a survey round. Time-fixed effects are included in form of round dummies for each round of the survey. Standard errors are robust and for panel models clustered by participant. Coefficients are significant at *˂ 0.10, **˂ 0.05, ***˂ 0.01; t-values are shown in parentheses. The loss aversion coefficient is the ratio between the coefficients for past portfolio losses and gains (standard errors in parentheses). The Wald test tests for equality of these coefficients (λ = 1). Confidence interval is the 95% confidence interval for the ratio of coefficients (λ).

Subjective rating of past return
Pooled OLS
GLS with RE
GLS with FE
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)
Past portfolio return5.984
(perc.)(22.00)***
Past portfolio return (perc.)6.6626.5194.9516.8444.8484.932
(if < 0)(20.38)***(18.11)***(14.85)***(16.21)***(10.59)***(9.70)***
Past portfolio return (perc.)5.2005.3943.8755.6744.2124.618
(if > 0)(8.34)***(8.22)***(6.43)***(8.40)***(6.60)***(6.08)***
Risk tolerance−0.031
(−1.09)
Subj. portfolio risk−0.051
(−1.32)
Portfolio volatility−0.400
(−0.73)
Log portfolio value0.053
(1.58)
Log portfolio turnover0.078
(0.47)
Constant3.7233.8203.7533.2813.8073.3153.156
(125.04)***(72.94)***(68.07)***(53.11)***(65.10)***(44.83)***(7.59)***
R20.4490.4520.4520.5170.4520.5150.529
Observations2115211521152115211521151864
Time-fixed effectsNoNoNoYesNoYesYes
Individual-fixed effectsNoNoNoNoYesYesYes

Loss aversion coefficient λ1.28 (0.19)1.21 (0.18)1.28 (0.22)1.21 (0.18)1.15 (0.21)1.07 (0.21)
p-value Wald test (λ = 1)0.0790.1860.1300.1970.4340.732
Confidence interval λ0.90–1.660.85–1.560.84–1.710.85–1.560.73–1.570.66–1.48
Subjective rating of past return
Pooled OLS
GLS with RE
GLS with FE
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)
Past portfolio return5.984
(perc.)(22.00)***
Past portfolio return (perc.)6.6626.5194.9516.8444.8484.932
(if < 0)(20.38)***(18.11)***(14.85)***(16.21)***(10.59)***(9.70)***
Past portfolio return (perc.)5.2005.3943.8755.6744.2124.618
(if > 0)(8.34)***(8.22)***(6.43)***(8.40)***(6.60)***(6.08)***
Risk tolerance−0.031
(−1.09)
Subj. portfolio risk−0.051
(−1.32)
Portfolio volatility−0.400
(−0.73)
Log portfolio value0.053
(1.58)
Log portfolio turnover0.078
(0.47)
Constant3.7233.8203.7533.2813.8073.3153.156
(125.04)***(72.94)***(68.07)***(53.11)***(65.10)***(44.83)***(7.59)***
R20.4490.4520.4520.5170.4520.5150.529
Observations2115211521152115211521151864
Time-fixed effectsNoNoNoYesNoYesYes
Individual-fixed effectsNoNoNoNoYesYesYes

Loss aversion coefficient λ1.28 (0.19)1.21 (0.18)1.28 (0.22)1.21 (0.18)1.15 (0.21)1.07 (0.21)
p-value Wald test (λ = 1)0.0790.1860.1300.1970.4340.732
Confidence interval λ0.90–1.660.85–1.560.84–1.710.85–1.560.73–1.570.66–1.48
Table IV.

Loss experience

The table shows results for regressions of subjective ratings of past portfolio return on numerical perceived past portfolio return and controls. The results in Columns (1) and (2) are estimated by pooled OLS, the remaining columns contain results of panel regressions with random effects [Columns (3) and (4)] or fixed effects [Columns (5)–(7)]. Past portfolio returns are split for gains and losses with 0 as a reference point. Risk tolerance and subjective portfolio risk are self-reported, survey-based measure as defined in the Appendix A. Portfolio volatility is the 1-year historical volatility of investors’ portfolios at the time of each survey round. Log portfolio value is the natural logarithm of the value of the investors’ portfolios at the bank in pounds. Log turnover is the natural logarithm of trading volume divided by the sum of portfolio value at the beginning and end of a survey round. Time-fixed effects are included in form of round dummies for each round of the survey. Standard errors are robust and for panel models clustered by participant. Coefficients are significant at *˂ 0.10, **˂ 0.05, ***˂ 0.01; t-values are shown in parentheses. The loss aversion coefficient is the ratio between the coefficients for past portfolio losses and gains (standard errors in parentheses). The Wald test tests for equality of these coefficients (λ = 1). Confidence interval is the 95% confidence interval for the ratio of coefficients (λ).

Subjective rating of past return
Pooled OLS
GLS with RE
GLS with FE
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)
Past portfolio return5.984
(perc.)(22.00)***
Past portfolio return (perc.)6.6626.5194.9516.8444.8484.932
(if < 0)(20.38)***(18.11)***(14.85)***(16.21)***(10.59)***(9.70)***
Past portfolio return (perc.)5.2005.3943.8755.6744.2124.618
(if > 0)(8.34)***(8.22)***(6.43)***(8.40)***(6.60)***(6.08)***
Risk tolerance−0.031
(−1.09)
Subj. portfolio risk−0.051
(−1.32)
Portfolio volatility−0.400
(−0.73)
Log portfolio value0.053
(1.58)
Log portfolio turnover0.078
(0.47)
Constant3.7233.8203.7533.2813.8073.3153.156
(125.04)***(72.94)***(68.07)***(53.11)***(65.10)***(44.83)***(7.59)***
R20.4490.4520.4520.5170.4520.5150.529
Observations2115211521152115211521151864
Time-fixed effectsNoNoNoYesNoYesYes
Individual-fixed effectsNoNoNoNoYesYesYes

Loss aversion coefficient λ1.28 (0.19)1.21 (0.18)1.28 (0.22)1.21 (0.18)1.15 (0.21)1.07 (0.21)
p-value Wald test (λ = 1)0.0790.1860.1300.1970.4340.732
Confidence interval λ0.90–1.660.85–1.560.84–1.710.85–1.560.73–1.570.66–1.48
Subjective rating of past return
Pooled OLS
GLS with RE
GLS with FE
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)
Past portfolio return5.984
(perc.)(22.00)***
Past portfolio return (perc.)6.6626.5194.9516.8444.8484.932
(if < 0)(20.38)***(18.11)***(14.85)***(16.21)***(10.59)***(9.70)***
Past portfolio return (perc.)5.2005.3943.8755.6744.2124.618
(if > 0)(8.34)***(8.22)***(6.43)***(8.40)***(6.60)***(6.08)***
Risk tolerance−0.031
(−1.09)
Subj. portfolio risk−0.051
(−1.32)
Portfolio volatility−0.400
(−0.73)
Log portfolio value0.053
(1.58)
Log portfolio turnover0.078
(0.47)
Constant3.7233.8203.7533.2813.8073.3153.156
(125.04)***(72.94)***(68.07)***(53.11)***(65.10)***(44.83)***(7.59)***
R20.4490.4520.4520.5170.4520.5150.529
Observations2115211521152115211521151864
Time-fixed effectsNoNoNoYesNoYesYes
Individual-fixed effectsNoNoNoNoYesYesYes

Loss aversion coefficient λ1.28 (0.19)1.21 (0.18)1.28 (0.22)1.21 (0.18)1.15 (0.21)1.07 (0.21)
p-value Wald test (λ = 1)0.0790.1860.1300.1970.4340.732
Confidence interval λ0.90–1.660.85–1.560.84–1.710.85–1.560.73–1.570.66–1.48
Close
This Feature Is Available To Subscribers Only

Sign In or Create an Account

Close

This PDF is available to Subscribers Only

View Article Abstract & Purchase Options

For full access to this pdf, sign in to an existing account, or purchase an annual subscription.

Close