Comparison of the estimated probabilities of being on each captain level obtained from survival analysis with those of the jury
| . | . | Proposed estimates . | Estimates by the jury . | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaintiff . | Year . | Level 1 . | Level 2 . | Level 3 . | Level 1 . | Level 2 . | Level 3 . |
| 1 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–7 March 1999 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–7 March 1999 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2000 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2002 | 0.09 | 0.24 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1999 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2000 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–3 March 2002 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–3 March 2002 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2003 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | |
| 2004 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 2005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 2006 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 3 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1999 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–1 October 2000 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–1 October 2000 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| 2002 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2003 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2004 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| . | . | Proposed estimates . | Estimates by the jury . | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaintiff . | Year . | Level 1 . | Level 2 . | Level 3 . | Level 1 . | Level 2 . | Level 3 . |
| 1 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–7 March 1999 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–7 March 1999 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2000 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2002 | 0.09 | 0.24 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1999 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2000 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–3 March 2002 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–3 March 2002 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2003 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | |
| 2004 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 2005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 2006 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 3 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1999 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–1 October 2000 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–1 October 2000 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| 2002 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2003 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2004 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
Comparison of the estimated probabilities of being on each captain level obtained from survival analysis with those of the jury
| . | . | Proposed estimates . | Estimates by the jury . | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaintiff . | Year . | Level 1 . | Level 2 . | Level 3 . | Level 1 . | Level 2 . | Level 3 . |
| 1 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–7 March 1999 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–7 March 1999 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2000 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2002 | 0.09 | 0.24 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1999 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2000 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–3 March 2002 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–3 March 2002 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2003 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | |
| 2004 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 2005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 2006 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 3 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1999 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–1 October 2000 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–1 October 2000 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| 2002 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2003 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2004 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| . | . | Proposed estimates . | Estimates by the jury . | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaintiff . | Year . | Level 1 . | Level 2 . | Level 3 . | Level 1 . | Level 2 . | Level 3 . |
| 1 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–7 March 1999 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–7 March 1999 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2000 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2002 | 0.09 | 0.24 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1999 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2000 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–3 March 2002 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–3 March 2002 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.78 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2003 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | |
| 2004 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 2005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 2006 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| 3 | 1996 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1997 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1998 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 1999 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Pre–1 October 2000 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Post–1 October 2000 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2001 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| 2002 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2003 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2004 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
| 2005 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | |
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