Median Age at MetS Onset and Relative Risk as Predicted by Models 1 and 3 in Table 2
. | . | . | Predicted Median Age at Onset
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk Ratio from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk Difference (in Percentage Points) from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | |||
For all women, regardless of covariates: | ||||||||||
Model 1a | 54.5 (52.5, 56.7) | 47.4 (43.0, 52.3) | 0.27 (0.23, 0.31) | 0.37 (0.29, 0.46) | ref | 1.38 (1.08, 1.69) | ref | 10.3 (2.3, 18.3) | ||
For women with a mean covariate profilec: | ||||||||||
Model 3b | 51.5 (49.5, 53.5) | 48.7 (45.1, 52.6) | 0.37 (0.30, 0.43) | 0.44 (0.33, 0.56) | ref | 1.21 (0.91, 1.51) | ref | 7.7 (−3.1, 18.4) | ||
For women with specified combinations of BMI and smoking status, adjusted for education and physical activityd: | ||||||||||
38–54 | Smoking | |||||||||
Model 3 | Normal | Never | 65.1 (61.7, 68.9) | 61.5 (56.4, 67.2) | 0.10 (0.07, 0.14) | 0.15 (0.07, 0.23) | ref | 1.46 (0.70, 2.22) | ref | 4.8 (−2.4, 12) |
Normal | Current | 63.5 (59.1, 68.2) | 60.1 (54.1, 66.7) | 0.12 (0.07, 0.18) | 0.18 (0.07, 0.28) | ref | 1.43 (0.74, 2.12) | ref | 5.3 (−2.8, 13.3) | |
Obese | Never | 45.7 (43.9, 47.6) | 43.3 (40.1, 46.7) | 0.53 (0.45, 0.6) | 0.60 (0.48, 0.72) | ref | 1.13 (0.95, 1.32) | ref | 7.1 (−2.6, 16.7) | |
Obese | Current | 44.7(42.1, 47.4) | 42.2 (38.6, 46.3) | 0.56 (0.46, 0.66) | 0.63 (0.49, 0.76) | ref | 1.12 (0.95, 1.29) | ref | 6.8 (−2.4, 16) |
. | . | . | Predicted Median Age at Onset
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk Ratio from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk Difference (in Percentage Points) from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | |||
For all women, regardless of covariates: | ||||||||||
Model 1a | 54.5 (52.5, 56.7) | 47.4 (43.0, 52.3) | 0.27 (0.23, 0.31) | 0.37 (0.29, 0.46) | ref | 1.38 (1.08, 1.69) | ref | 10.3 (2.3, 18.3) | ||
For women with a mean covariate profilec: | ||||||||||
Model 3b | 51.5 (49.5, 53.5) | 48.7 (45.1, 52.6) | 0.37 (0.30, 0.43) | 0.44 (0.33, 0.56) | ref | 1.21 (0.91, 1.51) | ref | 7.7 (−3.1, 18.4) | ||
For women with specified combinations of BMI and smoking status, adjusted for education and physical activityd: | ||||||||||
38–54 | Smoking | |||||||||
Model 3 | Normal | Never | 65.1 (61.7, 68.9) | 61.5 (56.4, 67.2) | 0.10 (0.07, 0.14) | 0.15 (0.07, 0.23) | ref | 1.46 (0.70, 2.22) | ref | 4.8 (−2.4, 12) |
Normal | Current | 63.5 (59.1, 68.2) | 60.1 (54.1, 66.7) | 0.12 (0.07, 0.18) | 0.18 (0.07, 0.28) | ref | 1.43 (0.74, 2.12) | ref | 5.3 (−2.8, 13.3) | |
Obese | Never | 45.7 (43.9, 47.6) | 43.3 (40.1, 46.7) | 0.53 (0.45, 0.6) | 0.60 (0.48, 0.72) | ref | 1.13 (0.95, 1.32) | ref | 7.1 (−2.6, 16.7) | |
Obese | Current | 44.7(42.1, 47.4) | 42.2 (38.6, 46.3) | 0.56 (0.46, 0.66) | 0.63 (0.49, 0.76) | ref | 1.12 (0.95, 1.29) | ref | 6.8 (−2.4, 16) |
Bold: P value < 0.05.
Model 1: PCOSp only.
Model 3: Model 1 + smoking, education, physical activity, 38–54 and 38-54 squared.
Mean covariate profile: covariates were set to be “non-smoker” with mean Visit 2 (1993/1994) level of education (14 years), physical activity (0) and 38–54 (29 kg/m2) for all women.
For “Normal BMI,” 38–54 was set at the 25th percentile (24 kg/m2). For obese, 38–54 was set at the 75th percentile (32.09 kg/m2). Education and physical activity were both set at the mean levels.
Median Age at MetS Onset and Relative Risk as Predicted by Models 1 and 3 in Table 2
. | . | . | Predicted Median Age at Onset
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk Ratio from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk Difference (in Percentage Points) from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | |||
For all women, regardless of covariates: | ||||||||||
Model 1a | 54.5 (52.5, 56.7) | 47.4 (43.0, 52.3) | 0.27 (0.23, 0.31) | 0.37 (0.29, 0.46) | ref | 1.38 (1.08, 1.69) | ref | 10.3 (2.3, 18.3) | ||
For women with a mean covariate profilec: | ||||||||||
Model 3b | 51.5 (49.5, 53.5) | 48.7 (45.1, 52.6) | 0.37 (0.30, 0.43) | 0.44 (0.33, 0.56) | ref | 1.21 (0.91, 1.51) | ref | 7.7 (−3.1, 18.4) | ||
For women with specified combinations of BMI and smoking status, adjusted for education and physical activityd: | ||||||||||
38–54 | Smoking | |||||||||
Model 3 | Normal | Never | 65.1 (61.7, 68.9) | 61.5 (56.4, 67.2) | 0.10 (0.07, 0.14) | 0.15 (0.07, 0.23) | ref | 1.46 (0.70, 2.22) | ref | 4.8 (−2.4, 12) |
Normal | Current | 63.5 (59.1, 68.2) | 60.1 (54.1, 66.7) | 0.12 (0.07, 0.18) | 0.18 (0.07, 0.28) | ref | 1.43 (0.74, 2.12) | ref | 5.3 (−2.8, 13.3) | |
Obese | Never | 45.7 (43.9, 47.6) | 43.3 (40.1, 46.7) | 0.53 (0.45, 0.6) | 0.60 (0.48, 0.72) | ref | 1.13 (0.95, 1.32) | ref | 7.1 (−2.6, 16.7) | |
Obese | Current | 44.7(42.1, 47.4) | 42.2 (38.6, 46.3) | 0.56 (0.46, 0.66) | 0.63 (0.49, 0.76) | ref | 1.12 (0.95, 1.29) | ref | 6.8 (−2.4, 16) |
. | . | . | Predicted Median Age at Onset
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk Ratio from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | Predicted Risk Difference (in Percentage Points) from Age 40 to 50
(95% CI) . | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | Not PCOSp | PCOSp | |||
For all women, regardless of covariates: | ||||||||||
Model 1a | 54.5 (52.5, 56.7) | 47.4 (43.0, 52.3) | 0.27 (0.23, 0.31) | 0.37 (0.29, 0.46) | ref | 1.38 (1.08, 1.69) | ref | 10.3 (2.3, 18.3) | ||
For women with a mean covariate profilec: | ||||||||||
Model 3b | 51.5 (49.5, 53.5) | 48.7 (45.1, 52.6) | 0.37 (0.30, 0.43) | 0.44 (0.33, 0.56) | ref | 1.21 (0.91, 1.51) | ref | 7.7 (−3.1, 18.4) | ||
For women with specified combinations of BMI and smoking status, adjusted for education and physical activityd: | ||||||||||
38–54 | Smoking | |||||||||
Model 3 | Normal | Never | 65.1 (61.7, 68.9) | 61.5 (56.4, 67.2) | 0.10 (0.07, 0.14) | 0.15 (0.07, 0.23) | ref | 1.46 (0.70, 2.22) | ref | 4.8 (−2.4, 12) |
Normal | Current | 63.5 (59.1, 68.2) | 60.1 (54.1, 66.7) | 0.12 (0.07, 0.18) | 0.18 (0.07, 0.28) | ref | 1.43 (0.74, 2.12) | ref | 5.3 (−2.8, 13.3) | |
Obese | Never | 45.7 (43.9, 47.6) | 43.3 (40.1, 46.7) | 0.53 (0.45, 0.6) | 0.60 (0.48, 0.72) | ref | 1.13 (0.95, 1.32) | ref | 7.1 (−2.6, 16.7) | |
Obese | Current | 44.7(42.1, 47.4) | 42.2 (38.6, 46.3) | 0.56 (0.46, 0.66) | 0.63 (0.49, 0.76) | ref | 1.12 (0.95, 1.29) | ref | 6.8 (−2.4, 16) |
Bold: P value < 0.05.
Model 1: PCOSp only.
Model 3: Model 1 + smoking, education, physical activity, 38–54 and 38-54 squared.
Mean covariate profile: covariates were set to be “non-smoker” with mean Visit 2 (1993/1994) level of education (14 years), physical activity (0) and 38–54 (29 kg/m2) for all women.
For “Normal BMI,” 38–54 was set at the 25th percentile (24 kg/m2). For obese, 38–54 was set at the 75th percentile (32.09 kg/m2). Education and physical activity were both set at the mean levels.
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