Table 1. Open in new tab Statistics of...

	425 d	475 d	495 d
FFM	500	417	607	497	439	563	494	445	551
GLM	503	468	555	496	485	509	491	487	495
Ogata ML (1)	505	471	555	501	492	512	500	499	502
Ogata ML (2)	536	435	684	507	482	554	501	497	505

	425 d	475 d	495 d
FFM	500	417	607	497	439	563	494	445	551
GLM	503	468	555	496	485	509	491	487	495
Ogata ML (1)	505	471	555	501	492	512	500	499	502
Ogata ML (2)	536	435	684	507	482	554	501	497	505

Table 1.

Statistics of forecast eruption time frequency distribution at 85, 95 and 99 per cent for t_e = 500 for four different methods. Ogata's ML (1) for the case that p is known, Ogata's ML (2) for the case that p is unknown. 5 and 95 per cent correspond to the 5 and 95 percentiles, respectively.

	425 d			475 d			495 d
	Mean	5 per cent	95 per cent	Mean	5 per cent	95 per cent	Mean	5 per cent	95 per cent
FFM	500	417	607	497	439	563	494	445	551
GLM	503	468	555	496	485	509	491	487	495
Ogata ML (1)	505	471	555	501	492	512	500	499	502
Ogata ML (2)	536	435	684	507	482	554	501	497	505

	425 d			475 d			495 d
	Mean	5 per cent	95 per cent	Mean	5 per cent	95 per cent	Mean	5 per cent	95 per cent
FFM	500	417	607	497	439	563	494	445	551
GLM	503	468	555	496	485	509	491	487	495
Ogata ML (1)	505	471	555	501	492	512	500	499	502
Ogata ML (2)	536	435	684	507	482	554	501	497	505

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