Table 2.

Associations Between Region of Birth/Ethnicity Group and CKD/ESKD

CKDESKD
Univariable EstimatesaMultivariable EstimatesaUnivariable EstimatesaMultivariable Estimatesa
IRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P Value
Region
 East Africa1111
 Southern Africa1.55 (1.06–2.27).02291.51 (1.02–2.25).04092.60 (1.11–6.08).02783.14 (1.26–7.84).0142
 West Africa2.95 (1.99–4.36)<.00012.59 (1.71–3.94)<.00016.14 (2.63–14.3)<.00016.35 (2.53–15.96)<.0001
 Caribbean2.30 (1.52–3.48)<.00012.06 (1.29–3.31).00273.55 (1.42–8.89).00695.26 (1.91–14.43).0013
Ageb
 Per 10 years1.83 (1.62–2.07)<.00012.08 (1.83–2.36)<.00011.11 (0.86–1.43).43951.20 (0.91–1.57)0.1917
Sex
 Male1111
 Female0.74 (0.57–0.96).02381.05 (0.78–1.42).73360.57 (0.35–0.93).0240.54 (0.31–0.93).0275
Mode of HIV acquisition
 Heterosexual1111
 Other0.54 (0.34–0.86).00880.50 (0.28–0.87).01450.38 (0.14–1.04).05960.19 (0.05–0.65).0083
Current CD4 countb
 Per 50 cells/mm0.86 (0.84–0.89)<.00010.91 (0.88–0.94)<.00010.85 (0.80–0.90)<.00010.92 (0.86–0.98).0085
Nadir CD4 countb
 Per 50 cells/mm0.87 (0.83–0.92)<.00010.89 (0.84–0.94)<.00010.87 (0.79–0.96).00660.85 (0.76–0.96).007
AIDSb
 No11
 Yes1.20 (0.90–1.61).21751.51 (0.89–2.55).1278
ART/viral loadb
 ART-naive/VL >100001111
 ART-naive/VL <100000.24 (0.13–0.46)<.00010.28 (0.14–0.58).00050.32 (0.10–1.01).05120.53 (0.16–1.73).2919
 ART-experienced/VL <500.22 (0.15–0.32)<.00010.18 (0.11–0.28)<.00010.22 (0.11–0.46)<.00010.34 (0.14–0.82).0162
 ART-experienced/VL 51–10000.44 (0.27–0.73).00140.29 (0.16–0.52)<.00010.33 (0.11–0.96).04260.41 (0.13–1.28).1233
 ART-experienced/VL 1000–100000.42 (0.22–0.82).01110.35 (0.17–0.71).00370.59 (0.19–1.89).37430.72 (0.22–2.41).5942
 ART-experienced/VL >100000.66 (0.40–1.08).09880.40 (0.22–0.70).00151.11 (0.47–2.62).80951.02 (0.40–2.59).9725
Current TDFb
 No1111
 Yes0.35 (0.25–0.48)<.00010.41 (0.29–0.58)<.00010.06 (0.02–0.2)<.00010.05 (0.01–0.21)<.0001
Current PIb
 No111
 Yes1.11 (0.85–1.46).44511.50 (1.08–2.08).01531.01 (0.6–1.7).974
CKDESKD
Univariable EstimatesaMultivariable EstimatesaUnivariable EstimatesaMultivariable Estimatesa
IRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P Value
Region
 East Africa1111
 Southern Africa1.55 (1.06–2.27).02291.51 (1.02–2.25).04092.60 (1.11–6.08).02783.14 (1.26–7.84).0142
 West Africa2.95 (1.99–4.36)<.00012.59 (1.71–3.94)<.00016.14 (2.63–14.3)<.00016.35 (2.53–15.96)<.0001
 Caribbean2.30 (1.52–3.48)<.00012.06 (1.29–3.31).00273.55 (1.42–8.89).00695.26 (1.91–14.43).0013
Ageb
 Per 10 years1.83 (1.62–2.07)<.00012.08 (1.83–2.36)<.00011.11 (0.86–1.43).43951.20 (0.91–1.57)0.1917
Sex
 Male1111
 Female0.74 (0.57–0.96).02381.05 (0.78–1.42).73360.57 (0.35–0.93).0240.54 (0.31–0.93).0275
Mode of HIV acquisition
 Heterosexual1111
 Other0.54 (0.34–0.86).00880.50 (0.28–0.87).01450.38 (0.14–1.04).05960.19 (0.05–0.65).0083
Current CD4 countb
 Per 50 cells/mm0.86 (0.84–0.89)<.00010.91 (0.88–0.94)<.00010.85 (0.80–0.90)<.00010.92 (0.86–0.98).0085
Nadir CD4 countb
 Per 50 cells/mm0.87 (0.83–0.92)<.00010.89 (0.84–0.94)<.00010.87 (0.79–0.96).00660.85 (0.76–0.96).007
AIDSb
 No11
 Yes1.20 (0.90–1.61).21751.51 (0.89–2.55).1278
ART/viral loadb
 ART-naive/VL >100001111
 ART-naive/VL <100000.24 (0.13–0.46)<.00010.28 (0.14–0.58).00050.32 (0.10–1.01).05120.53 (0.16–1.73).2919
 ART-experienced/VL <500.22 (0.15–0.32)<.00010.18 (0.11–0.28)<.00010.22 (0.11–0.46)<.00010.34 (0.14–0.82).0162
 ART-experienced/VL 51–10000.44 (0.27–0.73).00140.29 (0.16–0.52)<.00010.33 (0.11–0.96).04260.41 (0.13–1.28).1233
 ART-experienced/VL 1000–100000.42 (0.22–0.82).01110.35 (0.17–0.71).00370.59 (0.19–1.89).37430.72 (0.22–2.41).5942
 ART-experienced/VL >100000.66 (0.40–1.08).09880.40 (0.22–0.70).00151.11 (0.47–2.62).80951.02 (0.40–2.59).9725
Current TDFb
 No1111
 Yes0.35 (0.25–0.48)<.00010.41 (0.29–0.58)<.00010.06 (0.02–0.2)<.00010.05 (0.01–0.21)<.0001
Current PIb
 No111
 Yes1.11 (0.85–1.46).44511.50 (1.08–2.08).01531.01 (0.6–1.7).974

Abbreviations: AIDS, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; ART, antiretroviral therapy; CI, confidence interval; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESKD, end-stage kidney disease; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; IRR, incidence rate ratio; PI, protease inhibitor; TDF, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate; VL, viral load.

a Poisson regression analysis; multivariable models included region, age, sex, mode of HIV acquisition, current and nadir CD4 cell count, immunovirological status, and TDF exposure (CKD only). For all parameters except age and CD4 count, the IRR is reported in relation to the first parameter in each group.

bTime updated variable.

Table 2.

Associations Between Region of Birth/Ethnicity Group and CKD/ESKD

CKDESKD
Univariable EstimatesaMultivariable EstimatesaUnivariable EstimatesaMultivariable Estimatesa
IRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P Value
Region
 East Africa1111
 Southern Africa1.55 (1.06–2.27).02291.51 (1.02–2.25).04092.60 (1.11–6.08).02783.14 (1.26–7.84).0142
 West Africa2.95 (1.99–4.36)<.00012.59 (1.71–3.94)<.00016.14 (2.63–14.3)<.00016.35 (2.53–15.96)<.0001
 Caribbean2.30 (1.52–3.48)<.00012.06 (1.29–3.31).00273.55 (1.42–8.89).00695.26 (1.91–14.43).0013
Ageb
 Per 10 years1.83 (1.62–2.07)<.00012.08 (1.83–2.36)<.00011.11 (0.86–1.43).43951.20 (0.91–1.57)0.1917
Sex
 Male1111
 Female0.74 (0.57–0.96).02381.05 (0.78–1.42).73360.57 (0.35–0.93).0240.54 (0.31–0.93).0275
Mode of HIV acquisition
 Heterosexual1111
 Other0.54 (0.34–0.86).00880.50 (0.28–0.87).01450.38 (0.14–1.04).05960.19 (0.05–0.65).0083
Current CD4 countb
 Per 50 cells/mm0.86 (0.84–0.89)<.00010.91 (0.88–0.94)<.00010.85 (0.80–0.90)<.00010.92 (0.86–0.98).0085
Nadir CD4 countb
 Per 50 cells/mm0.87 (0.83–0.92)<.00010.89 (0.84–0.94)<.00010.87 (0.79–0.96).00660.85 (0.76–0.96).007
AIDSb
 No11
 Yes1.20 (0.90–1.61).21751.51 (0.89–2.55).1278
ART/viral loadb
 ART-naive/VL >100001111
 ART-naive/VL <100000.24 (0.13–0.46)<.00010.28 (0.14–0.58).00050.32 (0.10–1.01).05120.53 (0.16–1.73).2919
 ART-experienced/VL <500.22 (0.15–0.32)<.00010.18 (0.11–0.28)<.00010.22 (0.11–0.46)<.00010.34 (0.14–0.82).0162
 ART-experienced/VL 51–10000.44 (0.27–0.73).00140.29 (0.16–0.52)<.00010.33 (0.11–0.96).04260.41 (0.13–1.28).1233
 ART-experienced/VL 1000–100000.42 (0.22–0.82).01110.35 (0.17–0.71).00370.59 (0.19–1.89).37430.72 (0.22–2.41).5942
 ART-experienced/VL >100000.66 (0.40–1.08).09880.40 (0.22–0.70).00151.11 (0.47–2.62).80951.02 (0.40–2.59).9725
Current TDFb
 No1111
 Yes0.35 (0.25–0.48)<.00010.41 (0.29–0.58)<.00010.06 (0.02–0.2)<.00010.05 (0.01–0.21)<.0001
Current PIb
 No111
 Yes1.11 (0.85–1.46).44511.50 (1.08–2.08).01531.01 (0.6–1.7).974
CKDESKD
Univariable EstimatesaMultivariable EstimatesaUnivariable EstimatesaMultivariable Estimatesa
IRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P ValueIRR (95% CI)P Value
Region
 East Africa1111
 Southern Africa1.55 (1.06–2.27).02291.51 (1.02–2.25).04092.60 (1.11–6.08).02783.14 (1.26–7.84).0142
 West Africa2.95 (1.99–4.36)<.00012.59 (1.71–3.94)<.00016.14 (2.63–14.3)<.00016.35 (2.53–15.96)<.0001
 Caribbean2.30 (1.52–3.48)<.00012.06 (1.29–3.31).00273.55 (1.42–8.89).00695.26 (1.91–14.43).0013
Ageb
 Per 10 years1.83 (1.62–2.07)<.00012.08 (1.83–2.36)<.00011.11 (0.86–1.43).43951.20 (0.91–1.57)0.1917
Sex
 Male1111
 Female0.74 (0.57–0.96).02381.05 (0.78–1.42).73360.57 (0.35–0.93).0240.54 (0.31–0.93).0275
Mode of HIV acquisition
 Heterosexual1111
 Other0.54 (0.34–0.86).00880.50 (0.28–0.87).01450.38 (0.14–1.04).05960.19 (0.05–0.65).0083
Current CD4 countb
 Per 50 cells/mm0.86 (0.84–0.89)<.00010.91 (0.88–0.94)<.00010.85 (0.80–0.90)<.00010.92 (0.86–0.98).0085
Nadir CD4 countb
 Per 50 cells/mm0.87 (0.83–0.92)<.00010.89 (0.84–0.94)<.00010.87 (0.79–0.96).00660.85 (0.76–0.96).007
AIDSb
 No11
 Yes1.20 (0.90–1.61).21751.51 (0.89–2.55).1278
ART/viral loadb
 ART-naive/VL >100001111
 ART-naive/VL <100000.24 (0.13–0.46)<.00010.28 (0.14–0.58).00050.32 (0.10–1.01).05120.53 (0.16–1.73).2919
 ART-experienced/VL <500.22 (0.15–0.32)<.00010.18 (0.11–0.28)<.00010.22 (0.11–0.46)<.00010.34 (0.14–0.82).0162
 ART-experienced/VL 51–10000.44 (0.27–0.73).00140.29 (0.16–0.52)<.00010.33 (0.11–0.96).04260.41 (0.13–1.28).1233
 ART-experienced/VL 1000–100000.42 (0.22–0.82).01110.35 (0.17–0.71).00370.59 (0.19–1.89).37430.72 (0.22–2.41).5942
 ART-experienced/VL >100000.66 (0.40–1.08).09880.40 (0.22–0.70).00151.11 (0.47–2.62).80951.02 (0.40–2.59).9725
Current TDFb
 No1111
 Yes0.35 (0.25–0.48)<.00010.41 (0.29–0.58)<.00010.06 (0.02–0.2)<.00010.05 (0.01–0.21)<.0001
Current PIb
 No111
 Yes1.11 (0.85–1.46).44511.50 (1.08–2.08).01531.01 (0.6–1.7).974

Abbreviations: AIDS, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; ART, antiretroviral therapy; CI, confidence interval; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESKD, end-stage kidney disease; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; IRR, incidence rate ratio; PI, protease inhibitor; TDF, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate; VL, viral load.

a Poisson regression analysis; multivariable models included region, age, sex, mode of HIV acquisition, current and nadir CD4 cell count, immunovirological status, and TDF exposure (CKD only). For all parameters except age and CD4 count, the IRR is reported in relation to the first parameter in each group.

bTime updated variable.

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