Table 1:
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Methods for prediction of rare events

Statistical forecasting
Expert judgement
Structured judgemental decomposition
Structured analogies
Statistical forecasting with judgemental intervention or adjustment
Delphi
Prediction markets
Scenario planning
Statistical forecasting
Expert judgement
Structured judgemental decomposition
Structured analogies
Statistical forecasting with judgemental intervention or adjustment
Delphi
Prediction markets
Scenario planning
Table 1:
Open in new tab

Methods for prediction of rare events

Statistical forecasting
Expert judgement
Structured judgemental decomposition
Structured analogies
Statistical forecasting with judgemental intervention or adjustment
Delphi
Prediction markets
Scenario planning
Statistical forecasting
Expert judgement
Structured judgemental decomposition
Structured analogies
Statistical forecasting with judgemental intervention or adjustment
Delphi
Prediction markets
Scenario planning
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