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Journal Article
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Joseph Engelberg and others
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf029, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf029
Published: 28 April 2025
Journal Article
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Borja Larrain and others
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf026, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf026
Published: 24 April 2025
Journal Article
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Erasmo Giambona and others
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf025, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf025
Published: 18 April 2025
Journal Article
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Quirin Fleckenstein and others
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf024, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf024
Published: 17 April 2025
Journal Article
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Mark Loewenstein and Zhenjiang Qin
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf023, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf023
Published: 16 April 2025
Journal Article
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
James F Albertus
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf021, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf021
Published: 09 April 2025
Journal Article
ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
Jia Li and others
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf022, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf022
Published: 03 April 2025
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Published: 31 March 2025
Figure 2: Macroeconomic news, return expectations, and higher-order beliefs   The figure plots coefficients from contemporaneous regressions of changes in quarterly average 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month excess return expectations, HO belief , and Overvaluation on measures of macroeconomic news. The measure of
Journal Article
Hongye Guo
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf020, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf020
Published: 31 March 2025
Image
Published: 31 March 2025
Figure 4: Predictive power of earnings in period 0E on earnings in future periods   This figure is an example of the predictive power of the earnings announced in period 0E on earnings in future periods, namely the regression loadings of these future earnings on 0E earnings. The “E” periods represent the ear
Image
Published: 31 March 2025
Figure 2: The expected stock market returns and the 1-month Treasury rates   The blue line (exp_ret) of this figure plots the expected stock market return as in method 6 of Table 4 . The dashed red line (rf) is the 1-month Treasury rates. The unit is percent per month.
Image
Published: 31 March 2025
Figure 3: Continuation vs. reversal strength across decades   This figure plots the strength of the continuation arm of the return, represented by in Table A1 against the strength of the reversal, represented by . Each decade in the CRSP history is represented by a point. The blue line is fitted acr
Image
Published: 31 March 2025
Figure 5: Loadings of E(arly) and L(ate) period earnings on past earnings shocks   The left panel of this figure is an example of the loadings of the earnings announced in period 0E on past earnings shocks. The “E” periods represent the early half of the earnings cycle and are newsy. The “L” periods represen
Journal Article
Paul Schmidt-Engelbertz and Kaushik Vasudevan
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf019, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf019
Published: 31 March 2025
Image
Published: 31 March 2025
Figure 1: Higher-order beliefs and perceived valuations   The figure plots the time-series quarterly averages of a H igher- o rder belief measure and a perceived Overvaluation measure. The Overvaluation measure is constructed by mapping the responses to question (ii.b) regarding perceptions of stock m
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Published: 31 March 2025
Figure 3: Nonfundamental speculation, overreaction, and reversal The figure plots the asset price in period given , for different levels of strategic sophistication, . The blue line represents speculators’ cumulative return expectations from period to . The red line represents the average re
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Published: 31 March 2025
Figure 1: Timing of independent and dependent variables in the U.S. market return forecasting regression   This figure shows how the independent variables, , in the U.S. return forecasting regression progress as the dependent variable moves forward. Notice is the j th most recent newsy month stri
Journal Article
Paul Voss
The Review of Financial Studies, hhaf018, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf018
Published: 25 March 2025
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Published: 25 March 2025
Figure 1: Timeline of baseline model   Figure summarizing the timing of the game depicted in the text.
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Published: 25 March 2025
Figure 3: Managerial incentives     as a function of the level of short-term debt   Figure depicting M’s incentives to exert effort. M’s incentives are hump-shaped in , attaining their maximum at .