
Contents
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Origins of Probing Behavior Origins of Probing Behavior
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Features of Probing Features of Probing
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The Audiences of Probing The Audiences of Probing
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Evaluation of Probing: Success or Failure Evaluation of Probing: Success or Failure
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The Benefits of Probing for the Status Quo Power The Benefits of Probing for the Status Quo Power
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3 Revisionist Powers’ Probing Behavior
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Published:August 2017
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Abstract
This chapter discusses the nature of revisionist probing and the form that it takes in various regions. Drawing on historical examples of imperial Germany's use of low-intensity colonial crises to challenge Britain and its allies in the early twentieth century, it argues that rising powers are employing similar techniques in the global periphery to test America's resolve in the twenty-first century. Over the past few years, and with greater frequency and brazenness, regional powers opposed to the United States have been engaging in probing. Russia, Iran, and China in their respective regions have been working under the hypothesis that the United States is retreating, out of choice, fatigue, or weakness, or all three combined.
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