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Homayoon Farzadegan, Joan S. Chmiel, Nancy Odaka, Linda Ward, Linda Poggensee, Alfred Saah, John P. Phair, Association of Antibody to Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 Core Protein (p24), CD4 Lymphocyte Number, and AIDS-Free Time, The Journal of Infectious Diseases, Volume 166, Issue 6, December 1992, Pages 1217–1222, https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/166.6.1217
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Abstract
Serum antibody to p24 (anti-p24) and p24 antigen, alone and in combination with CD4+ lymphocyte number, were evaluated as predictors of progression of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection. Two hundred six HIV-I-prevalent seropositive men in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study since 1984–1985 were studied cross-sectionally and 84 seroconverters were evaluated longitudinally. Cross-sectional analyses revealed significant associations among titer of anti-p24, CD4+ cell count, disease status (Centers for Disease Control class), and progression to AIDS. A high titer of anti-p24 was associated with lack of p24 antigenemia. Longitudinal studies of seroconverters demonstrated that a low titer of anti-p24, low CD4+ cell count, and detection of HIV-I p24 antigen are individually strong predictors of AIDS, but only low CD4+ cell count retains its independent predictive value in multivariate analysis of the three markers during the period immediately after infection with HIV-1.