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Nelleke M Korteland, Jonathan R G Etnel, Bardia Arabkhani, M Mostafa Mokhles, Arezo Mohamad, Jolien W Roos-Hesselink, Ad J J C Bogers, Johanna J M Takkenberg, Mechanical aortic valve replacement in non-elderly adults: meta-analysis and microsimulation, European Heart Journal, Volume 38, Issue 45, 01 December 2017, Pages 3370–3377, https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehx199
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Abstract
To support decision-making regarding prosthetic valve selection in non-elderly adults, we aim to provide a detailed overview of outcome after contemporary mechanical aortic valve replacement (AVR).
A systematic review was conducted for papers reporting clinical outcome after AVR with bileaflet mechanical valves with a mean patient age ≥18 and ≤55 years, published between 1 January 1995 and 31 December 2015. Through meta-analysis outcomes were pooled and entered into a microsimulation model to calculate (event-free) life expectancy and lifetime event risk. Twenty-nine publications, encompassing a total of 5728 patients with 32 515 patient-years of follow-up (pooled mean follow-up: 5.7 years), were included. Pooled mean age at surgery was 48.0 years. Pooled early mortality risk was 3.15% (95% confidence interval (CI):2.37–4.23), late mortality rate was 1.55%/year (95%CI:1.25–1.92); 38.7% of late deaths were valve-related. Pooled thromboembolism rate was 0.90%/year (95%CI:0.68–1.21), major bleeding 0.85%/year (95%CI:0.65–1.12), nonstructural valve dysfunction 0.39%/year (95%CI:0.21–0.76), endocarditis 0.41%/year (95%CI:0.29–0.57), valve thrombosis 0.14%/year (95%CI:0.08–0.25), structural valve deterioration 0.00%/year (zero events observed), and reintervention 0.51%/year (95%CI:0.37–0.71), mostly due to nonstructural valve dysfunction and endocarditis. For a 45-year-old, for example, this translated to an estimated life expectancy of 19 years (general population: 34 years) and lifetime risks of thromboembolism, bleeding and reintervention of 18%, 15%, and 10%, respectively.
This study demonstrates that outcome after mechanical AVR in non-elderly adults is characterized by suboptimal survival and considerable lifetime risk of anticoagulation-related complications, but also reoperation. Non-elderly adult patients who are facing prosthetic valve selection are entitled to conveyance of evidence-based estimates of the risks and benefits of both mechanical and biological valve options in a shared decision-making process.
- anticoagulation
- heart valve prosthesis
- endocarditis
- thrombosis
- thromboembolism
- hemorrhage
- aortic valve replacement
- heterogeneity
- adult
- decision making
- follow-up
- life expectancy
- repeat surgery
- surgical procedures, operative
- mortality
- treatment outcome
- older adult
- evidence-based practice
- shared decision making
- mechanical prosthetic aortic valve replacement
- lifetime risk