
Contents
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A First Glance A First Glance
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Popularity of Initiatives Popularity of Initiatives
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Legislative Outcomes Legislative Outcomes
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Testing Testing
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Measurement of Key Variables Measurement of Key Variables
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Empirical Model Empirical Model
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Measurement of Instruments and Control Variables Measurement of Instruments and Control Variables
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Instruments Instruments
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Budget Share (Instrument 1). Budget Share (Instrument 1).
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Unified Government (Instrument 2). Unified Government (Instrument 2).
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Control Variables Control Variables
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Prior Media Salience. Prior Media Salience.
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Public Concern. Public Concern.
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Personal Popularity. Personal Popularity.
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Priority. Priority.
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Targeted Address. Targeted Address.
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% Change in Gross Domestic Product (%∆gdp). % Change in Gross Domestic Product (%∆gdp).
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Individnal Presidents. Individnal Presidents.
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Results Results
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Caveats Caveats
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Conclusion Conclusion
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Three Domestic Policy Appeals
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Published:December 2005
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Abstract
This chapter examines domestic policy appeals. The chapter begins by presenting summary statistics for all nationally televised discretionary speeches from the presidential administrations of Eisenhower through Clinton. These summary data establish for a broad range of policy areas basic patterns regarding the appeals, such as the popularity of the publicized initiatives. The chapter proceeds to develop analysis that compares policymaking when presidents do and do not go public, and that accounts for the possibility presidents go public strategically. In particular, it analyzes annual budgetary negotiations for a recurring set of policy issues during presidencies from the Eisenhower one through to the Clinton one. The policy issues range from the environment to economic development to drug control. For each issue and year, data are collected on whether the president made a public appeal as well as on a variety of control variables, including whether the issue was a presidential priority, media coverage of the issue, and, where available, citizens' policy preferences. Using these data the chapter estimates how political factors affect the likelihood of domestic policy appeals and the legislative influence obtained from them.
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