
Contents
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8.1 Introduction 8.1 Introduction
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8.2 Theoretical Expectations 8.2 Theoretical Expectations
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8.3 Data 8.3 Data
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8.4 Contextual Complexity and Prime-Ministerial Performance 8.4 Contextual Complexity and Prime-Ministerial Performance
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8.5 Interaction Effects between Careers and Context 8.5 Interaction Effects between Careers and Context
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8.6 Conclusion 8.6 Conclusion
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8 Contextual Factors and Prime-Ministerial Performance
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Published:January 2025
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Abstract
This chapter investigates how the institutional, political, and economic context affect prime-ministerial performance in post-communist Central and Eastern Europe. It reveals that particular factors in all three contextual dimensions create both favourable and unfavourable conditions for prime ministers (PMs) in performing their tasks. On the political context dimension, PMs are aided in their performance by having strong parliamentary representation of their own party and a ‘safety margin’ provided by an oversized cabinet. On the economic dimension, higher government debt and declines in gross domestic product negatively affect prime-ministerial performance, while, on the institutional dimension, extensive presidential powers, together with control of the presidency by a fellow partisan, have a beneficial effect on PMs’ success in office. Finally, an interactionist analysis reveals that PMs with previous political experience perform better when they command strong legislative powers.
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